

819 

FNUS54 KMRX 061940

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

240 PM EST THU NOV 6 2014



.DISCUSSION...SCATTERED SHOWERS WILL DEVELOP THIS EVENING...MAINLY 

ACROSS AREAS NORTH OF INTERSTATE 40. THIS PRECIPITATION WILL FALL AS 

SNOW SHOWERS ACROSS THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS...WITH ONLY VERY MINOR 

ACCUMULATIONS ANTICIPATED. DRY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE 

AREA FOR FRIDAY.

 



VAZ001-002-005-006-008-072045-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

240 PM EST THU NOV 6 2014



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      33-38 (-14)  43-48 (-13)  27-32        52-57        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+1)  52-57 (+3)   90-95        35-40        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  6                     S  5         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  9 G17     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  7        

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           20           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       2            1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING                             

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   11 AM                                  

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.09         0.01         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                                      

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4000                                   

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 20                     N/A          

DISPERSION                         33 FAIR                   0 VERY POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  8 G16                 S  6 G16     

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 12 G22     NW  5        LGT/VAR      SW  9 G16    



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS

IN THE MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. WARMER. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.

HIGHS IN THE 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLDER.

LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-072045-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

240 PM EST THU NOV 6 2014



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      32-37 (-13)  42-47 (-12)  26-31        49-54        

RH % (24H TREND)      90-95 (-2)   51-56 (-2)   89-94        39-44        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  8 G19                 LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 12 G23    NW  8 G16    LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           30           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       2            1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING                             

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   11 AM                                  

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.10         0.01         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                                      

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4400                                   

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 23                     N/A          

DISPERSION                         30 FAIR                   0 VERY POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW 10 G24                 S  5         

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 16 G29    NW  9 G20    LGT/VAR      SW  5        



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS

IN THE 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS NEAR 30. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. WARMER. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S.

SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS IN

THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-072045-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

240 PM EST THU NOV 6 2014



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      30-35 (-14)  45-50 (-10)  26-31        49-54        

RH % (24H TREND)      91-96 (-2)   40-45 (-9)   95-100       31-36        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N  5                      S  5         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 11 G22    LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  5        

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                                   

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM                                                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING                                          

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.08         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                                      

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4100                                   

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 17                     N/A          

DISPERSION                         14 GEN POOR               0 VERY POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N  7 G17                  S  6         

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 14 G27    N  6         LGT/VAR      SW  6        



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS

IN THE 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. WEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. WARMER. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S.

SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS IN

THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

30S TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-072045-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

240 PM EST THU NOV 6 2014



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      34-39 (-13)  52-57 (-10)  30-35        56-61        

RH % (24H TREND)      77-82 (-12)  34-39 (-9)   84-89        29-34        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N  7                      S  5         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 11 G19    N  5         LGT/VAR      S  5         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                                      

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3600                                   

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 17                      N/A          

DISPERSION                         22 FAIR                   0 VERY POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N  9 G17                  S  7 G17     

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 13 G24    N  7 G16     LGT/VAR      S  7 G15     



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS

IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH

SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 40.

HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLDER.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-072045-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

240 PM EST THU NOV 6 2014



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      33-38 (-14)  53-58 (-10)  29-34        57-62        

RH % (24H TREND)      76-81 (-14)  31-36 (-9)   83-88        25-30        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N  8 G16                  LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 12 G21    N  5         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                                      

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4000                                   

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 18                      N/A          

DISPERSION                         26 FAIR                   0 VERY POOR  

MAX LVORI                          3                         6            

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N 10 G21                  S  6 G15     

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 14 G26    N  7 G15     LGT/VAR      S  5         



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS

IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH

SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS NEAR 30. NORTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 40.

HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS IN

THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-072045-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

240 PM EST THU NOV 6 2014



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      34-39 (-12)  48-53 (-11)  28-33        54-59        

RH % (24H TREND)      86-91 (-7)   43-48 (-6)   94-99        33-38        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  6                      LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 10 G17     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  5        

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                                   

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM                                                

PRECIP END            7 AM                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.05         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                                      

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3700                                   

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 17                     N/A          

DISPERSION                         33 FAIR                   0 VERY POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  7                      LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 12 G21     NW  5        LGT/VAR      SW  7        



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S. WEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. LIGHT

WINDS BECOMING WEST LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLDER.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS NEAR 40. NORTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-072045-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

240 PM EST THU NOV 6 2014



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      34-39 (-14)  49-54 (-12)  29-34        55-60        

RH % (24H TREND)      84-89 (-8)   40-45 (-5)   90-95        33-38        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  9 G16    LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  7        

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                                   

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM                                                

PRECIP END            7 AM                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                                      

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3500                                   

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 14                     N/A          

DISPERSION                         27 FAIR                   0 VERY POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  5                     SW  6 G17    

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 11 G20    LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  9 G17    



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS

IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS NEAR 60. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS

IN THE 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-072045-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

240 PM EST THU NOV 6 2014



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      35-40 (-14)  51-56 (-12)  30-35        58-63        

RH % (24H TREND)      74-79 (-16)  36-41 (-6)   87-92        33-38        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N  6                      LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  9 G17    LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  6        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                                      

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3300                                   

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 15                      N/A          

DISPERSION                         27 FAIR                   0 VERY POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N  8 G15                  S  6 G17     

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 12 G22    LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  7 G17    



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS

IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING

TO THE NORTH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S. SOUTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. WARMER. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. SOUTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS AROUND 60. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COOLER. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE

MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



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