

152 

FNUS54 KMRX 061536 AAA

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...UPDATED

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

1036 AM EST THU NOV 6 2014



.DISCUSSION...

LATE TODAY AND TONIGHT SHOWERS WILL RETURN TO NORTHERN SECTIONS AND 

CHANGE TO SNOW SHOWERS IN THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS TONIGHT INTO EARLY

FRIDAY. ONLY MINOR ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED IN THE HIGHEST 

ELEVATIONS.   





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-071645-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

1036 AM EST THU NOV 6 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      55-60 (+2)   32-37 (-15)  42-47        

RH % (24H TREND)      56-61 (+5)   95-100 (-1)  50-55        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  7 G16                 NW  7        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 11 G20     W  9 G20     NW  5        

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SNOW SHOWERS 

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           60           20           

PRECIP DURATION       1            3            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   11 AM        

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.08         0.09         0.01         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5100                      4000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 24                      NW 16        

DISPERSION            63 GOOD                   28 FAIR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  8 G20                 NW  9 G18    

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 14 G25     W 12 G25     NW  7 G16    



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS NEAR 30. WEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLDER.

LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-071645-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

1036 AM EST THU NOV 6 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      52-57 (-2)   31-36 (-14)  41-46        

RH % (24H TREND)      58-63 (+5)   91-96 (-3)   47-52        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  7 G17                  NW 10 G19    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 13 G25     NW 12 G25    NW  7 G16    

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SNOW SHOWERS 

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           70           30           

PRECIP DURATION       1            3            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   11 AM        

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.11         0.10         0.01         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5300                      4400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 23                      NW 20        

DISPERSION            50 GEN GOOD               26 FAIR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  9 G22                  NW 12 G24    

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 17 G32     NW 16 G31    NW  8 G20    



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH AFTER

MIDNIGHT. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

30S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS IN

THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-071645-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

1036 AM EST THU NOV 6 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      52-57 (0)    29-34 (-15)  43-48        

RH % (24H TREND)      53-58 (-1)   92-97 (-4)   41-46        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  9 G20                  NW  6 G15    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 15 G27     NW 11 G25    LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SNOW SHOWERS 

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           50           20           

PRECIP DURATION       1            2            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   11 AM        

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.05         0.08         0.01         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5600                      4100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 24                      NW 15        

DISPERSION            50 GEN GOOD               10 POOR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W 11 G25                  NW  8 G18    

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 18 G34     NW 14 G31    N  5         



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S TO MID 30S. LIGHT

WINDS BECOMING SOUTH LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO 50S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS

IN THE 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 50S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S

TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.

COLDER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S.

NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-071645-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

1036 AM EST THU NOV 6 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      58-63 (0)    33-38 (-14)  50-55        

RH % (24H TREND)      48-53 (-8)   79-84 (-16)  33-38        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  6 G15                  N  7         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 12 G22     NW 11 G22    N  5         

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           20           0            

PRECIP DURATION       1            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.02         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4700                      3600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 21                      N 14         

DISPERSION            49 GEN GOOD               17 GEN POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  8 G19                  N  9 G17     

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 15 G28     NW 13 G28    N  7 G16     



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S TO MID 30S. LIGHT

WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS

IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO 60S.

SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLDER.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-071645-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

1036 AM EST THU NOV 6 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      59-64 (0)    32-37 (-15)  51-56        

RH % (24H TREND)      44-49 (-10)  76-81 (-20)  31-36        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  6 G15                  N  7         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 12 G23     NW 12 G23    N  5         

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           10           0            

PRECIP DURATION       1            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   1 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.01         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6000                      4000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 22                      N 15         

DISPERSION            71 GOOD                   21 FAIR      

MAX LVORI             4                         3            

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  8 G19                  N  9 G16     

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 16 G29     NW 15 G29    N  7 G16     



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S.

LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS

IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO

UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS IN

THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTH WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-071645-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

1036 AM EST THU NOV 6 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      57-62 (+3)   33-38 (-13)  47-52        

RH % (24H TREND)      51-56 (-6)   89-94 (-8)   42-47        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  7 G17                 NW  7        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 13 G23     W 11 G21     NW  5        

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           40           0            

PRECIP DURATION       1            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.05         0.05         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4100                      3700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 24                      NW 14        

DISPERSION            56 GEN GOOD               26 FAIR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  8 G21                 NW  9 G17    

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 16 G28     W 13 G26     NW  6        



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS NEAR 30. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S.

WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

30S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLDER.

LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-071645-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

1036 AM EST THU NOV 6 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      58-63 (+4)   32-37 (-16)  47-52        

RH % (24H TREND)      50-55 (-3)   88-93 (-9)   42-47        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  7 G16                 NW  5        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 11 G19     NW  9 G16    LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           30           0            

PRECIP DURATION       1            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.02         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4400                      3500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 23                      NW 10        

DISPERSION            62 GOOD                   20 GEN POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  9 G20                 NW  6        

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 13 G24     NW 11 G20    LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S.

LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLDER.

LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-071645-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

1036 AM EST THU NOV 6 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      60-65 (0)    33-38 (-16)  49-54        

RH % (24H TREND)      47-52 (-12)  83-88 (-13)  36-41        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  7 G15                  N  6         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 11 G21     NW  9 G17    LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM                                   

PRECIP END            4 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4100                      3300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 23                      N 12         

DISPERSION            58 GEN GOOD               21 FAIR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  8 G19                  N  8 G16     

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 14 G26     NW 12 G22    N  5         



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 30S.

LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS

IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S

TO UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND

40. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLDER.

LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS

5 TO 10 MPH. 



$$



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