

179 

FNUS54 KMRX 052004

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

304 PM EST WED NOV 5 2014



.DISCUSSION...

RAIN WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN REGION OVERNIGHT 

AND INTO THURSDAY WITH A GOOD CHANCE OF SHOWERS PERSISTING THROUGH 

THE AFTERNOON. AFTER PRECIPITATION TAPERS OFF IN THE VALLEY AND ALONG

THE PLATEAU...SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS MAY PERSIST IN THE MOUNTAINS 

THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING.  





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-062115-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

304 PM EST WED NOV 5 2014



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      46-51 (+5)   54-59 (+1)   32-37        42-47        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+22) 48-53 (+3)   95-100       51-56        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  8 G18                 W  7         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W 10 G19     W 11 G22     LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SNOW SHOWERS 

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           50           60           20           

PRECIP DURATION       8            1            2            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   11 AM        

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.39         0.17         0.09         0.01         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4300                      4000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 24                      NW 16        

DISPERSION                         47 GEN GOOD               28 FAIR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW 10 G23                 W  8 G18     

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W 13 G24     W 14 G28     W  5         



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS NEAR 30. SOUTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER

50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. COOLER. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE

40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-062115-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

304 PM EST WED NOV 5 2014



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      44-49 (+7)   52-57 (-2)   31-36        41-46        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+18) 50-55 (+3)   90-95        50-55        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  7 G19                  NW  9 G19    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W 12 G22     NW 15 G31    NW  5 G15    

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SNOW SHOWERS 

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           50           70           30           

PRECIP DURATION       5            1            2            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   11 AM        

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.27         0.15         0.10         0.01         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4700                      4400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 26                      NW 20        

DISPERSION                         42 GEN GOOD               26 FAIR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  9 G24                  NW 11 G24    

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W 16 G28     NW 19 G39    NW  7 G19    



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

30S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS

IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-062115-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

304 PM EST WED NOV 5 2014



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      44-49 (+6)   52-57 (0)    29-34        43-48        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+16) 39-44 (-11)  89-94        43-48        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  8 G21                  NW  6 G15    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W 13 G24     NW 10 G22    LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SNOW SHOWERS 

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           50           50           20           

PRECIP DURATION       5            1            2            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   11 AM        

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.39         0.11         0.08         0.01         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4400                      4100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 23                      NW 15        

DISPERSION                         26 FAIR                   10 POOR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W 10 G27                  NW  8 G18    

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W 16 G30     NW 12 G28    N  5         



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S TO MID 30S. EAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO 50S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

30S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

40S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS

IN THE 30S TO 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-062115-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

304 PM EST WED NOV 5 2014



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      48-53 (+9)   59-64 (+1)   32-37        50-55        

RH % (24H TREND)      91-96 (+8)   33-38 (-20)  78-83        33-38        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  6 G15                  N  6         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W 11 G20     NW  9 G20    N  6         

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           50           20           0            

PRECIP DURATION       5            1            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.30         0.11         0.02         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3900                      3600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 20                      N 14         

DISPERSION                         31 FAIR                   17 GEN POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  7 G19                  N  7 G15     

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W 14 G25     NW 12 G25    N  7         



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S TO MID 30S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST AFTER

MIDNIGHT. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS

IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO

UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. COOLER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS

IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-062115-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

304 PM EST WED NOV 5 2014



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      48-53 (+12)  60-65 (+1)   31-36        51-56        

RH % (24H TREND)      87-92 (-1)   31-36 (-21)  76-81        32-37        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  6 G16                  N  6         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W 12 G20     NW 10 G21    N  5         

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           50           10           0            

PRECIP DURATION       5            1            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.25         0.13         0.01         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4300                      4000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 21                      N 15         

DISPERSION                         35 FAIR                   21 FAIR      

MAX LVORI                          4                         3            

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  8 G20                  N  8         

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W 14 G25     NW 13 G26    N  7         



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST AFTER

MIDNIGHT. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS

IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO

UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. COOLER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS

IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-062115-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

304 PM EST WED NOV 5 2014



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      46-51 (+7)   57-62 (+3)   33-38        47-52        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+13) 43-48 (-10)  84-89        43-48        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  8 G19                 NW  6        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W 12 G21     W 11 G20     LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           40           40           0            

PRECIP DURATION       8            1            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.36         0.14         0.05         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4000                      3700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 23                      NW 14        

DISPERSION                         51 GEN GOOD               26 FAIR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  9 G24                 NW  8 G17    

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W 15 G26     W 13 G25     LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS NEAR 30. LIGHT WINDS BECOMING

SOUTH LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

30S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. LIGHT

WINDS. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. COOLER. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE

40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-062115-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

304 PM EST WED NOV 5 2014



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      47-52 (+4)   57-62 (+3)   32-37        47-52        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+19) 42-47 (-7)   86-91        44-49        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  7 G15                  LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W  9 G17     NW  8 G17    LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           30           30           0            

PRECIP DURATION       8            1            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.40         0.07         0.02         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3800                      3500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 23                      NW 10        

DISPERSION                         50 GEN GOOD               20 GEN POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  9 G19                  NW  5        

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W 12 G21     NW 10 G22    LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S.

EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH AFTER MIDNIGHT.

.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING

BECOMING LIGHT. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. COOLER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS

IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-062115-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

304 PM EST WED NOV 5 2014



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      50-55 (+6)   59-64 (-1)   32-37        49-54        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+14) 40-45 (-17)  84-89        38-43        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  6                      N  6         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W 10 G19     NW  9 G18    N  5         

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           30           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       8            1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING                             

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   12 PM                                  

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.40         0.04         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3600                      3300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 22                      N 12         

DISPERSION                         46 GEN GOOD               21 FAIR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  8 G16                  N  7 G16     

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W 12 G23     NW 11 G23    N  6         



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 30S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST AFTER

MIDNIGHT. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS

IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 40.

HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. COOLER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS

IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 



$$



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