

546 

FNUS54 KMRX 050917

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

417 AM EST WED NOV 5 2014



.DISCUSSION...

HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE AREA WILL SHIFT SOUTHEAST AS A COLD FRONT

APPROACHES FROM THE WEST. DRY CONDITIONS EARLY THIS MORNING WILL

CHANGE THIS AFTERNOON...WITH CLOUDS GRADUALLY LOWERING THROUGH THE

DAY. RAINFALL WILL SPREAD ACROSS THE REGION LATE TODAY AND INCREASE

TONIGHT AND CONTINUE INTO THURSDAY. 



VAZ001-002-005-006-008-061030-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

417 AM EST WED NOV 5 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      58-63 (-5)   46-51 (+5)   55-60        

RH % (24H TREND)      36-41 (+11)  95-100 (+23) 53-58        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SW  8 G16    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W 11 G19     

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           90           30           

PRECIP DURATION       1            8            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.13         0.38         0.06         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4500                      5200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  8                     W 24         

DISPERSION            16 GEN POOR               66 GOOD      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SW  9 G20    

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  6         LGT/VAR      W 13 G24     



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S.

WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO

LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS

IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO

LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-061030-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

417 AM EST WED NOV 5 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      57-62 (-4)   45-50 (+8)   53-58        

RH % (24H TREND)      33-38 (+9)   95-100 (+22) 53-58        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   W  7 G16     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W 12 G24     

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           90           50           

PRECIP DURATION       1            5            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          4 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.14         0.05         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4400                      5600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  7                     W 26         

DISPERSION            8 POOR                    62 GOOD      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   W  8 G20     

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  5        W 15 G30     



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 20S TO UPPER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO

LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID

40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-061030-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

417 AM EST WED NOV 5 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      57-62 (-3)   45-50 (+7)   53-58        

RH % (24H TREND)      39-44 (+13)  95-100 (+21) 43-48        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  6                     W  9 G19     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  6        SW  8 G20    W 12 G23     

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           90           50           

PRECIP DURATION       1            5            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          4 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.19         0.03         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4200                      5300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 12                     W 23         

DISPERSION            11 POOR                   44 GEN GOOD  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  8 G15                 W 11 G24     

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  8 G18    SW 10 G25    W 15 G28     



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

MID 30S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S.

WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

30S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER

40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-061030-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

417 AM EST WED NOV 5 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      60-65 (-2)   48-53 (+9)   59-64        

RH % (24H TREND)      43-48 (+16)  95-100 (+14) 41-46        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  6                      W  7 G16     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  7         SW  5        W 11 G19     

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           90           50           

PRECIP DURATION       1            5            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          4 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   1 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.18         0.03         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3500                      4800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 14                     W 20         

DISPERSION            16 GEN POOR               46 GEN GOOD  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  7 G15                  W  9 G20     

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  9 G16     SW  7 G16    W 13 G23     



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO UPPER

30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S.

NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S TO MID 30S.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S

TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID

40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-061030-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

417 AM EST WED NOV 5 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      61-66 (0)    49-54 (+13)  60-65        

RH % (24H TREND)      43-48 (+16)  95-100 (+10) 36-41        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   W  7 G15     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  6        LGT/VAR      W 10 G19     

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           90           50           

PRECIP DURATION       1            5            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          4 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   1 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.14         0.05         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4600                      5200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  9                     W 21         

DISPERSION            18 GEN POOR               51 GEN GOOD  

MAX LVORI             5                         4            

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  5                      W  9 G18     

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  7        SW  5        W 13 G24     



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S.

NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST

WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S.

WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S

TO LOWER 50S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S

TO UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-061030-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

417 AM EST WED NOV 5 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      59-64 (-4)   46-51 (+7)   58-63        

RH % (24H TREND)      42-47 (+16)  95-100 (+17) 46-51        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SW  7 G16    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W 11 G19     

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           90           40           

PRECIP DURATION       1            5            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          1 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.05         0.30         0.04         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3800                      4900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 10                     W 23         

DISPERSION            21 FAIR                   69 GOOD      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SW  9 G20    

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  5        LGT/VAR      W 14 G24     



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS

IN THE 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO

MID 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND

30. HIGHS IN THE 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S

TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-061030-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

417 AM EST WED NOV 5 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      58-63 (-5)   48-53 (+5)   58-63        

RH % (24H TREND)      45-50 (+17)  95-100 (+22) 45-50        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   W  8 G17     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  5        LGT/VAR      W 11 G18     

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           90           30           

PRECIP DURATION       2            8            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.22         0.38         0.02         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3400                      4700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 14                     W 23         

DISPERSION            26 FAIR                   68 GOOD      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  5                      W 10 G21     

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  7 G15    LGT/VAR      W 13 G23     



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS

IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST AFTER

MIDNIGHT. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO

UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S

TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-061030-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

417 AM EST WED NOV 5 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      60-65 (-4)   50-55 (+6)   59-64        

RH % (24H TREND)      51-56 (+22)  95-100 (+17) 42-47        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  5                      W  7 G16     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  6        LGT/VAR      W 10 G18     

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           80           30           

PRECIP DURATION       1            8            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   1 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.06         0.39         0.01         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2700                      4500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 17                     W 22         

DISPERSION            24 FAIR                   63 GOOD      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  6 G15                  W  9 G20     

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  7 G15    SW  5        W 13 G22     



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S.

NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S

TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S

TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TD/SON



