

702 

FNUS54 KMRX 050159 AAA

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...UPDATED

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

859 PM EST TUE NOV 4 2014



.DISCUSSION...

HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE AREA WILL SHIFT SOUTHEAST AS A 

COLD FRONT APPROACHES FROM THE WEST. DRY CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE 

OVERNIGHT...THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...WITH CLOUDS GRADUALLY 

INCREASING THROUGH THE DAY ON WEDNESDAY. RAINFALL WILL SPREAD ACROSS 

THE REGION WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND CONTINUE ON THURSDAY. 





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-060300-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

859 PM EST TUE NOV 4 2014



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      39-44 (+6)   57-62 (-6)   48-53        56-61        

RH % (24H TREND)      78-83 (+12)  39-44 (+18)  91-96        54-59        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SW  8 G16    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W 11 G19     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           90           30           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            8            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.03         0.41         0.13         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2900                      5200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW  8                     W 24         

DISPERSION                         6 VERY POOR               66 GOOD      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SW 10 G20    

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W 13 G24     



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

30S TO UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO

LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S.

HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO

LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S

TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-060300-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

859 PM EST TUE NOV 4 2014



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      37-42 (+5)   57-62 (-4)   45-50        54-59        

RH % (24H TREND)      82-87 (+17)  34-39 (+14)  95-100       54-59        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SW  7 G15    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W 10 G21     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           90           50           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            5            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       4 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.53         0.15         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3500                      5600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW  7                     W 26         

DISPERSION                         3 VERY POOR               62 GOOD      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SW  9 G19    

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W 13 G26     



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

20S TO MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO

LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER

20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID

40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S

TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-060300-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

859 PM EST TUE NOV 4 2014



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      38-43 (+8)   57-62 (-3)   46-51        54-59        

RH % (24H TREND)      83-88 (+11)  38-43 (+18)  95-100       45-50        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SW 10 G19    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  5         LGT/VAR      S  5 G15     W 12 G24     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           90           50           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            5            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       4 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.61         0.08         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4200                      5300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 10                     W 23         

DISPERSION                         9 POOR                    44 GEN GOOD  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  5                     SW 13 G24    

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  6         SW  5        S  7 G19     W 15 G30     



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO UPPER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS

5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

MID 30S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST AFTER

MIDNIGHT. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S

TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS AROUND 30.

HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER

40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S

TO 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-060300-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

859 PM EST TUE NOV 4 2014



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      39-44 (+8)   60-65 (-2)   49-54        60-65        

RH % (24H TREND)      88-93 (+12)  44-49 (+24)  93-98        42-47        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SW  9 G16    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W 10 G18     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           90           50           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            5            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       1 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   1 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.66         0.06         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4100                      4800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 10                      W 20         

DISPERSION                         18 GEN POOR               46 GEN GOOD  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  5                      SW 11 G20    

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  5         S  5         S  5         W 12 G22     



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S TO MID 30S.

NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S TO MID 30S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST AFTER

MIDNIGHT. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S

TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S

TO LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID

40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

40S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-060300-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

859 PM EST TUE NOV 4 2014



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      36-41 (+6)   60-65 (-1)   50-55        61-66        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+22) 44-49 (+24)  94-99        37-42        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SW  8        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W  9 G18     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           90           50           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            5            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       4 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   1 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.64         0.08         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3900                      5200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW  8                     W 21         

DISPERSION                         11 POOR                   51 GEN GOOD  

MAX LVORI                          6                         4            

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SW 10 G18    

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  5        LGT/VAR      W 11 G22     



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID

30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST

WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S.

NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST AFTER MIDNIGHT.

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S

TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S

TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S

TO UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

40S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-060300-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

859 PM EST TUE NOV 4 2014



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      39-44 (+7)   59-64 (-4)   48-53        59-64        

RH % (24H TREND)      85-90 (+11)  42-47 (+21)  95-100       47-52        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SW  7 G15    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W 10 G18     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           90           40           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            5            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.02         0.46         0.09         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3600                      4900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW  9                     W 23         

DISPERSION                         16 GEN POOR               69 GOOD      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SW  8 G19    

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W 13 G22     



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS

IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO

MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER

30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S

TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-060300-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

859 PM EST TUE NOV 4 2014



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      43-48 (+9)   59-64 (-4)   49-54        59-64        

RH % (24H TREND)      80-85 (+10)  45-50 (+22)  93-98        45-50        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SW  8 G16    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W 11 G19     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            30           90           30           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            8            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.05         0.53         0.03         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3000                      4700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 12                     W 23         

DISPERSION                         18 GEN POOR               68 GOOD      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SW  9 G21    

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  5         LGT/VAR      W 13 G23     



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS

IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S.

LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO

UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER

30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S

TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-060300-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

859 PM EST TUE NOV 4 2014



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      44-49 (+9)   60-65 (-4)   50-55        60-65        

RH % (24H TREND)      85-90 (+14)  51-56 (+29)  92-97        43-48        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   W  8         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W 10 G18     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            30           80           30           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            8            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       10 AM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   1 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.04         0.59         0.02         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3400                      4500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 14                     W 22         

DISPERSION                         27 FAIR                   63 GOOD      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  5                      W 10 G18     

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  6         LGT/VAR      W 12 G22     



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER

40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. NORTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 50S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO

LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S

TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



