

848 

FNUS54 KMRX 041504 AAA

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...UPDATED

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

1004 AM EST TUE NOV 4 2014



.DISCUSSION...

HIGH PRESSURE WILL WEAKEN AND SHIFT SOUTHEAST THROUGH 

THE MID WEEK. THIS WILL BRING A WARMING TREND. A COLD FRONT IS 

FORECAST TO MOVE INTO THE AREA BY WEDNESDAY NIGHT.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-051615-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

1004 AM EST TUE NOV 4 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      63-68 (+5)   41-46 (+8)   60-65        

RH % (24H TREND)      20-25 (-1)   76-81 (+12)  34-39        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    7 AM         

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.02         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5100                      4300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 18                     SW 12        

DISPERSION            49 GEN GOOD               22 FAIR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SW  5        

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  5        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO

LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS

IN THE 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLDER. HIGHS

IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID

30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO

MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-051615-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

1004 AM EST TUE NOV 4 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      61-66 (+5)   37-42 (+5)   58-63        

RH % (24H TREND)      19-24 (-1)   81-86 (+19)  32-37        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    1 PM         

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.01         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4700                      4600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  7                     SW  9        

DISPERSION            12 POOR                   14 GEN POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S.

SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

40S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS

IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLDER. HIGHS

IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID

30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-051615-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

1004 AM EST TUE NOV 4 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      60-65 (+4)   38-43 (+8)   59-64        

RH % (24H TREND)      19-24 (+1)   84-89 (+13)  37-42        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    1 PM         

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.01         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4700                      4700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 13                     SW 12        

DISPERSION            17 GEN POOR               16 GEN POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SW  5        

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  6        SW  6        S  5         



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER

50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE

WEST IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS

IN THE 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER

50S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND LIGHT FREEZING

RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S.

WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID

40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-051615-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

1004 AM EST TUE NOV 4 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      62-67 (+3)   40-45 (+9)   64-69        

RH % (24H TREND)      19-24 (-1)   86-91 (+11)  38-43        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  6         LGT/VAR      S  5         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    1 PM         

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.01         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4000                      4800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 13                      S 13         

DISPERSION            23 FAIR                   30 FAIR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  5                      S  5         

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  7         S  5         S  6         



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID

50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER

50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST

IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MUCH

COLDER. LOWS IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COOLER. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID

50S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-051615-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

1004 AM EST TUE NOV 4 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      61-66 (+1)   37-42 (+7)   65-70        

RH % (24H TREND)      20-25 (+3)   94-99 (+23)  38-43        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  5         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    1 PM         

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.01         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4700                      5400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 10                     SW 12        

DISPERSION            23 FAIR                   32 FAIR      

MAX LVORI             3                         4            

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S  5         

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  6         LGT/VAR      S  6         



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID

50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO

MID 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MUCH

COLDER. LOWS IN THE 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COOLER. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S.

NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-051615-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

1004 AM EST TUE NOV 4 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      63-68 (+4)   40-45 (+8)   62-67        

RH % (24H TREND)      20-25 (-2)   82-87 (+10)  38-43        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    1 PM         

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.01         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4300                      4000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 13                     SW  9        

DISPERSION            31 FAIR                   21 FAIR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER

50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO

LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS

IN THE 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. HIGHS

IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID

30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.

HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S

TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-051615-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

1004 AM EST TUE NOV 4 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      63-68 (+3)   43-48 (+9)   62-67        

RH % (24H TREND)      21-26 (-2)   79-84 (+10)  41-46        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  5        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            30           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    7 AM         

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.04         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4000                      4100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 18                     SW 13        

DISPERSION            46 GEN GOOD               33 FAIR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  6        LGT/VAR      S  5         



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH INCREASING TO 10 TO

15 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.

COLDER. LOWS IN THE 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COOLER. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER

50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-051615-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

1004 AM EST TUE NOV 4 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      64-69 (+3)   44-49 (+9)   64-69        

RH % (24H TREND)      21-26 (-1)   85-90 (+16)  45-50        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  6         LGT/VAR      S  6         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            30           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    7 AM         

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.04         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4500                      4300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 20                     S 15         

DISPERSION            56 GEN GOOD               41 GEN GOOD  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  5                      S  5         

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  8 G15     S  5         S  7 G15     



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO

LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO

MID 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



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