

994 

FNUS54 KMRX 031955

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

255 PM EST MON NOV 3 2014



.DISCUSSION...

HIGH PRESSURE WILL OVER THE AREA WILL SHIFT SOUTHEAST 

THROUGH THE MID WEEK. THIS WILL BRING A WARMING TREND. A COLD FRONT 

IS FORECAST TO MOVE INTO THE AREA BY WEDNESDAY NIGHT.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-042100-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

255 PM EST MON NOV 3 2014



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      33-38 (+11)  62-67 (+4)   41-46        60-65        

RH % (24H TREND)      70-75 (0)    26-31 (+3)   72-77        39-44        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            30           

PRECIP DURATION                                              1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 1 PM         

PRECIP END                                                   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.03         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2700                      3900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW  9                     S  9         

DISPERSION                         5 VERY POOR               15 GEN POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  5        LGT/VAR      S  5         



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO

UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS

IN THE 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLDER. HIGHS

IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.

HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER

30S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO

LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-042100-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

255 PM EST MON NOV 3 2014



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      32-37 (+13)  60-65 (+4)   37-42        58-63        

RH % (24H TREND)      68-73 (-7)   24-29 (+3)   79-84        35-40        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  5         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            20           

PRECIP DURATION                                              1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 1 PM         

PRECIP END                                                   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.01         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3000                      4800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S  5                      S 12         

DISPERSION                         0 VERY POOR               20 GEN POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  7         



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID

40S TO UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS

IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLDER. HIGHS

IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S.

HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS AROUND 30.

HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID

40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-042100-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

255 PM EST MON NOV 3 2014



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      30-35 (+10)  60-65 (+4)   38-43        59-64        

RH % (24H TREND)      72-77 (+2)   22-27 (+4)   74-79        42-47        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  6         S  7         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            20           

PRECIP DURATION                                              1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 1 PM         

PRECIP END                                                   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.01         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3400                      4700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 10                      S 15         

DISPERSION                         2 VERY POOR               18 GEN POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SW  5        

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  5        S  8 G18     S  9 G18     



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER

50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID

40S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.

COLDER. LOWS IN THE 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

MID 30S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID

30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID

30S TO UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER

40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-042100-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

255 PM EST MON NOV 3 2014



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      31-36 (+8)   62-67 (+3)   40-45        64-69        

RH % (24H TREND)      75-80 (-3)   23-28 (+3)   77-82        44-49        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  5         S  7         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            20           

PRECIP DURATION                                              1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 1 PM         

PRECIP END                                                   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.01         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2800                      4600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 10                      S 14         

DISPERSION                         6 VERY POOR               30 FAIR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   S  5         

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  5         S  7         S  9 G16     



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID

50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

40S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. MUCH COLDER. LOWS IN THE 20S TO

UPPER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. EAST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S

TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID

40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-042100-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

255 PM EST MON NOV 3 2014



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      30-35 (+8)   61-66 (+1)   37-42        64-69        

RH % (24H TREND)      73-78 (+2)   21-26 (+4)   84-89        45-50        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  6         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            20           

PRECIP DURATION                                              1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 1 PM         

PRECIP END                                                   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.01         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2900                      5000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S  8                      S 13         

DISPERSION                         4 VERY POOR               28 FAIR      

MAX LVORI                          4                         3            

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  5         S  5         S  9         



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID

50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO

LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MUCH

COLDER. LOWS IN THE 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. EAST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S

TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-042100-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

255 PM EST MON NOV 3 2014



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      32-37 (+10)  63-68 (+4)   40-45        62-67        

RH % (24H TREND)      75-80 (-2)   25-30 (+1)   78-83        41-46        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  5         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            20           

PRECIP DURATION                                              1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 1 PM         

PRECIP END                                                   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.02         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2400                      4000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW  5                     S  8         

DISPERSION                         4 VERY POOR               17 GEN POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  6         



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER

50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

40S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS

IN THE 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. HIGHS

IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.

HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID

30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S

TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-042100-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

255 PM EST MON NOV 3 2014



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      34-39 (+9)   63-68 (+3)   42-47        62-67        

RH % (24H TREND)      74-79 (-2)   25-30 (+1)   80-85        47-52        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  6         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            40           

PRECIP DURATION                                              1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 7 AM         

PRECIP END                                                   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.14         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2500                      4200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 12                     S 13         

DISPERSION                         12 POOR                   31 FAIR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  8 G15     



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID

50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.

COLDER. LOWS IN THE 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. EAST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID

30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S

TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-042100-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

255 PM EST MON NOV 3 2014



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      35-40 (+10)  64-69 (+3)   43-48        64-69        

RH % (24H TREND)      75-80 (0)    24-29 (+2)   84-89        51-56        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  6         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            40           

PRECIP DURATION                                              1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 7 AM         

PRECIP END                                                   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.14         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2600                      4200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 14                      S 16         

DISPERSION                         16 GEN POOR               41 GEN GOOD  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   S  5         

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  5         LGT/VAR      S  9 G16     



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID

50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS NEAR

60. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO

LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S.

NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO

LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S

TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



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