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086 

FNUS54 KMRX 031613 AAA

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...UPDATED

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

1113 AM EST MON NOV 3 2014



.DISCUSSION...

HIGH PRESSURE WILL OVER THE AREA WILL SHIFT SOUTHEAST 

THROUGH THE MID WEEK. THIS WILL BRING A WARMING TREND. A COLD FRONT 

IS FORECAST TO MOVE INTO THE AREA BY WEDNESDAY NIGHT.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-041715-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

1113 AM EST MON NOV 3 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      58-63 (+16)  33-38 (+11)  61-66        

RH % (24H TREND)      20-25 (-13)  69-74 (-3)   26-31        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  5        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3400                      3100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  6                     SW 14        

DISPERSION            7 POOR                    12 POOR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S  5         

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  5        LGT/VAR      SW  7        



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN

THE 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 40S. SOUTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO

LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS

IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID

30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-041715-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

1113 AM EST MON NOV 3 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           CLEAR        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      56-61 (+15)  32-37 (+13)  59-64        

RH % (24H TREND)      18-23 (-13)  66-71 (-13)  25-30        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  5        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3700                      3100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W  5                      SW 10        

DISPERSION            3 VERY POOR               3 VERY POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  6        



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S.

SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

40S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS

IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-041715-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

1113 AM EST MON NOV 3 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      56-61 (+14)  30-35 (+10)  59-64        

RH % (24H TREND)      14-19 (-10)  75-80 (+4)   26-31        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S  5         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  6        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3900                      3700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  6                     S 14         

DISPERSION            4 VERY POOR               6 VERY POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S  6         

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  6         SW  8 G16    



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S.

SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID

40S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-041715-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

1113 AM EST MON NOV 3 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      59-64 (+11)  30-35 (+7)   62-67        

RH % (24H TREND)      17-22 (-6)   81-86 (+1)   27-32        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S  5         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  6         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3600                      3300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S  7                      S 15         

DISPERSION            8 POOR                    15 GEN POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S  6         

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  5         S  7         



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.

SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER

50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO

LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO

MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-041715-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

1113 AM EST MON NOV 3 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      60-65 (+10)  29-34 (+7)   61-66        

RH % (24H TREND)      15-20 (-3)   79-84 (+7)   27-32        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  6         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3700                      3300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S  5                      S 13         

DISPERSION            5 VERY POOR               11 POOR      

MAX LVORI             3                         4            

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S  5         

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  7         



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER

50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID

50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COOLER. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 40S

TO LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-041715-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

1113 AM EST MON NOV 3 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      59-64 (+14)  32-37 (+10)  62-67        

RH % (24H TREND)      21-26 (-10)  72-77 (-7)   26-31        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3300                      2800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  3                     SW 10        

DISPERSION            5 VERY POOR               12 POOR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  6        



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN

THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO

LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS

IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID

30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-041715-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

1113 AM EST MON NOV 3 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      60-65 (+13)  35-40 (+10)  63-68        

RH % (24H TREND)      21-26 (-9)   73-78 (-5)   27-32        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  6        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3200                      3000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  7                     SW 16        

DISPERSION            10 POOR                   24 FAIR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S  5         

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  7        



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 60S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER

50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COOLER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN

THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-041715-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

1113 AM EST MON NOV 3 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      61-66 (+11)  35-40 (+10)  64-69        

RH % (24H TREND)      20-25 (-5)   76-81 (-1)   28-33        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  6         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3200                      3000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S  7                      S 17         

DISPERSION            12 POOR                   28 FAIR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S  5         

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  7         



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 60S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS NEAR 50. SOUTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



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