

441 

FNUS54 KMRX 022001

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

301 PM EST SUN NOV 2 2014



.DISCUSSION...

HIGH PRESSURE WILL DOMINATE OUT WEATHER FOR THE FIRST 

PART OF THE WEEK...ALONG WITH A WARMING TREND. A COLD FRONT IS 

FORECAST TO MOVE INTO THE AREA BY WEDNESDAY NIGHT.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-032115-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

301 PM EST SUN NOV 2 2014



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      22-27 (-1)   57-62 (+15)  33-38        62-67        

RH % (24H TREND)      75-80 (-15)  19-24 (-22)  70-75        28-33        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3500                      2700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW  7                     SW  9        

DISPERSION                         8 POOR                    5 VERY POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  5        LGT/VAR      SW  5        



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN

THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 40S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO

UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND

30. HIGHS IN THE 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID

30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-032115-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

301 PM EST SUN NOV 2 2014



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      19-24 (-4)   55-60 (+14)  30-35        60-65        

RH % (24H TREND)      75-80 (-16)  18-23 (-22)  67-72        28-33        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3700                      3000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W  5                      SW  6        

DISPERSION                         3 VERY POOR               1 VERY POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  6 G17    LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN

THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO

UPPER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-032115-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

301 PM EST SUN NOV 2 2014



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      20-25 (-3)   55-60 (+13)  31-36        60-65        

RH % (24H TREND)      76-81 (-12)  12-17 (-20)  67-72        28-33        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  5         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4100                      3500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW  7                     S 12         

DISPERSION                         5 VERY POOR               4 VERY POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   S  5         

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  5         S  6         



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN

THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 60S.

WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID

30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-032115-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

301 PM EST SUN NOV 2 2014



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      23-28 (-2)   58-63 (+10)  33-38        63-68        

RH % (24H TREND)      71-76 (-16)  14-19 (-15)  70-75        28-33        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  6         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3900                      3100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S  7                      S 14         

DISPERSION                         10 POOR                   12 POOR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   S  6         

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  7         



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S.

SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN

THE 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-032115-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

301 PM EST SUN NOV 2 2014



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           CLEAR        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      22-27 (-2)   59-64 (+9)   32-37        62-67        

RH % (24H TREND)      68-73 (-15)  13-18 (-10)  69-74        28-33        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  5         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4100                      3300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S  5                      S 10         

DISPERSION                         7 POOR                    8 POOR       

MAX LVORI                          3                         3            

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  6         



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.

SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN

THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 40S. SOUTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S

TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-032115-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

301 PM EST SUN NOV 2 2014



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      22-27 (-3)   58-63 (+13)  34-39        63-68        

RH % (24H TREND)      81-86 (-7)   19-24 (-19)  70-75        28-33        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3400                      2300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW  3                     SW  6        

DISPERSION                         6 VERY POOR               4 VERY POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN

THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 40S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S.

WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID

30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-032115-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

301 PM EST SUN NOV 2 2014



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      25-30 (0)    59-64 (+12)  35-40        64-69        

RH % (24H TREND)      82-87 (-5)   20-25 (-16)  72-77        28-33        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  5        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3300                      2600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW  8                     SW 13        

DISPERSION                         13 GEN POOR               15 GEN POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   S  5         

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  5        LGT/VAR      SW  6        



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S

TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID

50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-032115-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

301 PM EST SUN NOV 2 2014



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      25-30 (-1)   60-65 (+10)  36-41        65-70        

RH % (24H TREND)      80-85 (-4)   17-22 (-12)  73-78        29-34        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  5         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3300                      2600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S  9                      S 15         

DISPERSION                         17 GEN POOR               19 GEN POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   S  5         

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  6         LGT/VAR      S  6         



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID TO UPPER 40S.

SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER

TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S

TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS NEAR

60. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER

TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



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