

318 

FNUS54 KMRX 010706

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

306 AM EDT SAT NOV 1 2014



.DISCUSSION...

THE FIRST WINTER STORM SYSTEM OF THE SEASON WILL 

CONTINUE TO MOVE ACROSS THE AREA TODAY. SIGNIFICANT SNOWFALL 

ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED OVER THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS. TEMPERATURES 

WILL BE UNSEASONABLY COLD THIS WEEKEND...BUT A QUICK WARMING TREND 

WILL DEVELOP EARLY NEXT WEEK.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-020815-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

306 AM EDT SAT NOV 1 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      33-38 (-13)  24-29 (-4)   39-44        

RH % (24H TREND)      76-81 (+8)   95-100 (0)   48-53        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW 10 G18                 NW  7        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 11 G19    NW  9 G19    NW  6        

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SNOW SHOWERS NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          50           0            

PRECIP DURATION       6            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   8 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.16         0.03         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2800                      3900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 22                     NW 14        

DISPERSION            13 GEN POOR               23 FAIR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW 12 G23                 NW  9 G17    

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 13 G24    NW 12 G23    NW  8 G17    



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S. SOUTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID

40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO

UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-020815-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

306 AM EDT SAT NOV 1 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      28-33 (-16)  23-28 (-3)   37-42        

RH % (24H TREND)      77-82 (+5)   95-100 (+1)  49-54        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW 12 G22                 NW  9 G18    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 12 G23    NW 12 G23    NW  8 G17    

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS SNOW         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          70           20           

PRECIP DURATION       8            2            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   10 AM        

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.35         0.06         0.01         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3300                      4000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 28                     NW 18        

DISPERSION            10 POOR                   18 GEN POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW 15 G28                 NW 12 G23    

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 16 G28    NW 15 G28    NW 10 G21    



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID

30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO

20 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO

50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-020815-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

306 AM EDT SAT NOV 1 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      30-35 (-15)  23-28 (-2)   39-44        

RH % (24H TREND)      69-74 (+3)   95-100 (0)   45-50        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW 14 G26                 N  6 G15     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 14 G26    N 10 G22     N  6         

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SNOW SHOWERS NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          60           0            

PRECIP DURATION       6            2                         

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.23         0.06         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3900                      4000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 28                     N 14         

DISPERSION            15 GEN POOR               9 POOR       

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW 17 G32                 N  9 G19     

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 17 G32    N 13 G28     N  7 G15     



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER TEENS TO LOWER

30S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH AFTER

MIDNIGHT. 

.MONDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S.

SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID

30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO

UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-020815-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

306 AM EDT SAT NOV 1 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      37-42 (-13)  25-30 (-3)   44-49        

RH % (24H TREND)      50-55 (-4)   83-88 (-8)   40-45        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW 12 G23                 N  6         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 11 G20    N  9 G19     N  6         

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SNOW SHOWERS NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           20           0            

PRECIP DURATION       4            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   2 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.07         0.01         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3500                      3700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 25                     N 16         

DISPERSION            28 FAIR                   22 FAIR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW 15 G29                 N  8 G17     

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 14 G25    N 12 G23     N  8 G15     



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID

40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

40S TO LOWER 60S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-020815-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

306 AM EDT SAT NOV 1 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      37-42 (-12)  25-30 (-3)   45-50        

RH % (24H TREND)      53-58 (-1)   84-89 (-8)   39-44        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW 13 G24                 N  7         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 12 G23    NW  9 G20    N  6         

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SNOW SHOWERS NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           20           0            

PRECIP DURATION       2            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   2 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.07         0.01         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3600                      3800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 26                     N 15         

DISPERSION            29 FAIR                   19 GEN POOR  

MAX LVORI             4                         3            

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW 17 G30                 N  9 G18     

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 16 G28    NW 12 G25    N  8 G17     



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING

LIGHT. 

.MONDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID

40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S

TO UPPER 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-020815-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

306 AM EDT SAT NOV 1 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      35-40 (-14)  25-30 (-4)   42-47        

RH % (24H TREND)      68-73 (+4)   89-94 (-7)   45-50        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW 10 G18                 NW  5        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 11 G18    NW  8 G16    W  6         

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SNOW SHOWERS NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           30           0            

PRECIP DURATION       7            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   8 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.18         0.03         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2700                      3800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 22                     NW 12        

DISPERSION            22 FAIR                   23 FAIR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW 12 G23                 NW  7        

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 13 G23    NW 10 G20    W  7         



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.MONDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID

40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S

TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-020815-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

306 AM EDT SAT NOV 1 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      36-41 (-14)  25-30 (-4)   45-50        

RH % (24H TREND)      61-66 (-2)   90-95 (-1)   41-46        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW 11 G22                 LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 10 G19    NW  7 G16    LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       2                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM                                   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING                             

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.07         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2900                      3600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 23                     N 12         

DISPERSION            31 FAIR                   24 FAIR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW 14 G27                 N  6         

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 13 G23    NW  9 G20    N  5         



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND

40. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-020815-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

306 AM EDT SAT NOV 1 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      40-45 (-12)  26-31 (-3)   49-54        

RH % (24H TREND)      49-54 (-5)   84-89 (+3)   36-41        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW 13 G23                 NE  5        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 11 G20    N  8 G15     NE  5        

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM                                   

PRECIP END            4 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3100                      3600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 26                     NE 15        

DISPERSION            43 GEN GOOD               32 FAIR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW 16 G28                 NE  7        

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 14 G25    N 10 G19     NE  6        



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S.

EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.MONDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO

LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



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