

281 

FNUS54 KMRX 300741

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

341 AM EDT THU OCT 30 2014



.DISCUSSION...

A BRIEF PERIOD OF HIGHER PRESSURE AND DRY AIR WILL ALLOW 

FOR A PLEASANT DAY TODAY WITH QUITE A BIT OF SUNSHINE. HOWEVER... A 

STRONG COLD FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE REGION ON HALLOWEEN...BRINGING 

A COLD WIND AND LIGHT RAIN. TEMPERATURES WILL BE COLD ENOUGH FOR 

SNOWFALL ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS OF SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA AND ALONG THE 

NORTH CAROLINA STATE LINE. IT WILL FEEL LIKE WINTER ON SATURDAY WITH 

HIGH TEMPERATURES ABOUT 15 TO 20 DEGREES BELOW NORMAL. IT WILL NOT 

BE QUITE AS COLD ON SUNDAY BUT WILL STILL BE ABOUT 10 TO 15 DEGREES 

BELOW NORMAL FOR EARLY NOVEMBER. 





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-310845-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

341 AM EDT THU OCT 30 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           CLEAR        PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      52-57 (-2)   35-40 (+1)   49-54        

RH % (24H TREND)      43-48 (-13)  89-94 (-2)   55-60        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W  5         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            80           

PRECIP DURATION                                 4            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.15         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4400                      4000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW  6                     W  8         

DISPERSION            11 POOR                   13 GEN POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W  6         



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...SNOW SHOWERS AND SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 20S TO

LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SNOW SHOWERS AND CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 30S

TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE 20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. WARMER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN

THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID

40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-310845-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

341 AM EDT THU OCT 30 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           CLEAR        PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      49-54 (-3)   35-40 (+2)   48-53        

RH % (24H TREND)      44-49 (-15)  89-94 (-6)   52-57        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W  6         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            80           

PRECIP DURATION                                 3            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    12 PM        

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.12         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4400                      4200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW  7                     W  9         

DISPERSION            10 POOR                   11 POOR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  5        LGT/VAR      W  8 G17     



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...SNOW SHOWERS AND SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO

LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...BREEZY. SNOW SHOWERS AND CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN

THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 25 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE 20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 50S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. WARMER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN

THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID

40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-310845-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

341 AM EDT THU OCT 30 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           CLEAR        PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      51-56 (-1)   35-40 (+2)   51-56        

RH % (24H TREND)      40-45 (-20)  88-93 (-8)   44-49        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NW  6        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            50           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    12 PM        

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.10         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4500                      4500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N  7                      W 10         

DISPERSION            7 POOR                    12 POOR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  5        LGT/VAR      NW  8 G17    



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...SNOW SHOWERS WITH SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 20S TO MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN

THE UPPER 20S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. COLDER.

LOWS IN THE MID TEENS TO LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S TO MID 50S. SOUTH

WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID

40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

40S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-310845-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

341 AM EDT THU OCT 30 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           CLEAR        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      56-61 (0)    36-41 (+2)   58-63        

RH % (24H TREND)      37-42 (-16)  89-94 (-4)   39-44        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NW  7        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            40           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    12 PM        

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.04         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4200                      4100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N  8                      NW  9        

DISPERSION            14 GEN POOR               16 GEN POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  6        LGT/VAR      NW  9 G17    



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND SLIGHT

CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO

15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S TO MID 30S.

NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-310845-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

341 AM EDT THU OCT 30 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           CLEAR        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      55-60 (0)    35-40 (+2)   58-63        

RH % (24H TREND)      37-42 (-16)  87-92 (-8)   39-44        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W  7         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            40           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    12 PM        

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.03         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4400                      4100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N  7                      NW  9        

DISPERSION            12 POOR                   14 GEN POOR  

MAX LVORI             6                         4            

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  5        LGT/VAR      W  9 G17     



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO

20 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.

HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S.

NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-310845-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

341 AM EDT THU OCT 30 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           CLEAR        PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      55-60 (-1)   35-40 (0)    53-58        

RH % (24H TREND)      40-45 (-14)  94-99 (+1)   48-53        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W  6         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            70           

PRECIP DURATION                                 2            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    8 AM         

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.12         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4300                      4000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW  5                     W  9         

DISPERSION            10 POOR                   20 GEN POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W  8 G16     



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO

LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN

THE LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 20S TO MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. WARMER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN

THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID

40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-310845-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

341 AM EDT THU OCT 30 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           CLEAR        PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      57-62 (0)    36-41 (0)    54-59        

RH % (24H TREND)      39-44 (-12)  91-96 (-1)   42-47        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W  6 G15     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            60           

PRECIP DURATION                                 2            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.09         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4000                      4000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N  6                      W 10         

DISPERSION            12 POOR                   25 FAIR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W  8 G19     



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS

IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.

HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID

30S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-310845-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

341 AM EDT THU OCT 30 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           CLEAR        PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      59-64 (+1)   37-42 (0)    57-62        

RH % (24H TREND)      35-40 (-15)  88-93 (+4)   34-39        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NW  7 G18    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            30           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    12 PM        

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.03         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3700                      4000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N  7                      NW 12        

DISPERSION            16 GEN POOR               27 FAIR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NW  9 G22    



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S.

NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S TO MID 30S. NORTH

WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



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