

200 

FNUS54 KMRX 291944

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

344 PM EDT WED OCT 29 2014



.DISCUSSION...

COOLER AND DRIER AIR WILL MOVE INTO THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN REGION 

TONIGHT...BEHIND THE PASSAGE OF A COLD FRONT. ANOTHER STRONGER COLD 

FRONT WILL THEN MOVE INTO THE REGION ON HALLOWEEN...BRINGING THE 

POSSIBILITY OF SNOWFALL ACCUMULATIONS ACROSS THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS 

AND MUCH COLDER TEMPERATURES FOR THE WEEKEND. 





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-302045-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

344 PM EDT WED OCT 29 2014



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      33-38 (-12)  53-58 (-1)   34-39        50-55        

RH % (24H TREND)      89-94 (-2)   42-47 (-15)  89-94        52-57        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            60           

PRECIP DURATION                                              2            

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 8 AM         

PRECIP END                                                   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.11         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4900                      3900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW  6                     W  6         

DISPERSION                         15 GEN POOR               9 POOR       

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  5         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 

UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.

NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE 20S.

NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. WARMER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN

THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.

HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. 

HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-302045-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

344 PM EDT WED OCT 29 2014



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      32-37 (-16)  52-57 (0)    34-39        49-54        

RH % (24H TREND)      89-94 (-5)   41-46 (-19)  88-93        50-55        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W  5         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            60           

PRECIP DURATION                                              1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 12 PM        

PRECIP END                                                   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.12         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4900                      4200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW  8                     W  7         

DISPERSION                         15 GEN POOR               8 POOR       

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  6        NW  5        LGT/VAR      W  6         



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...SNOW SHOWERS AND RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 

UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.

NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE MID 20S

TO LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS 

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. WARMER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 

MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 

40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. 

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-302045-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

344 PM EDT WED OCT 29 2014



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      33-38 (-15)  52-57 (0)    34-39        52-57        

RH % (24H TREND)      86-91 (-7)   38-43 (-23)  87-92        44-49        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W  5         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            60           

PRECIP DURATION                                              1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 12 PM        

PRECIP END                                                   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.14         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4900                      4900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW  8                     W  7         

DISPERSION                         11 POOR                   10 POOR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      N  5         LGT/VAR      W  6         



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 20S TO MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SNOW SHOWERS AND RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

20S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S

TO LOWER 30S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST 

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO 

LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 

40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 40S. 

HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-302045-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

344 PM EDT WED OCT 29 2014



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      34-39 (-15)  56-61 (0)    36-41        57-62        

RH % (24H TREND)      85-90 (-8)   38-43 (-17)  87-92        39-44        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW  5        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            30           

PRECIP DURATION                                              1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 12 PM        

PRECIP END                                                   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.08         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4700                      5000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N  9                      NW  7        

DISPERSION                         19 GEN POOR               19 GEN POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW  6        LGT/VAR      NW  5        



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND RAIN SHOWERS. 

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. 

NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. EAST WINDS 

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S 

TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. 

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-302045-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

344 PM EDT WED OCT 29 2014



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      33-38 (-17)  56-61 (+1)   34-39        57-62        

RH % (24H TREND)      86-91 (-8)   37-42 (-18)  84-89        40-45        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NW  5        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            40           

PRECIP DURATION                                              1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 4 PM         

PRECIP END                                                   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.08         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4900                      5000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N  8                      NW  7        

DISPERSION                         18 GEN POOR               16 GEN POOR  

MAX LVORI                          4                         4            

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  5         NW  5        LGT/VAR      NW  6        



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S.

NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST 

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S

TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 

40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. 

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-302045-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

344 PM EDT WED OCT 29 2014



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      34-39 (-14)  55-60 (-1)   35-40        54-59        

RH % (24H TREND)      91-96 (-1)   39-44 (-17)  90-95        46-51        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            50           

PRECIP DURATION                                              1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 12 PM        

PRECIP END                                                   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.10         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4800                      3900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW  6                     W  6         

DISPERSION                         17 GEN POOR               12 POOR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W  5         



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. HIGHS IN

THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE MID 20S

TO LOWER 30S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. WARMER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 

MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 

40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. 

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-302045-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

344 PM EDT WED OCT 29 2014



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      35-40 (-11)  57-62 (0)    36-41        54-59        

RH % (24H TREND)      88-93 (-4)   37-42 (-16)  89-94        41-46        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W  5         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            40           

PRECIP DURATION                                              1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 8 AM         

PRECIP END                                                   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.10         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4500                      3800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N  6                      W  6         

DISPERSION                         16 GEN POOR               13 GEN POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W  7 G15     



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.

HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. 

NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S 

TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. 

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. 

HIGHS IN THE 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-302045-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

344 PM EDT WED OCT 29 2014



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      36-41 (-11)  59-64 (+1)   37-42        57-62        

RH % (24H TREND)      85-90 (-5)   37-42 (-16)  85-90        33-38        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NW  5        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            30           

PRECIP DURATION                                              1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 12 PM        

PRECIP END                                                   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.05         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4200                      4200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N  8                      NW  7        

DISPERSION                         20 GEN POOR               19 GEN POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NW  7 G18    



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 30S. 

NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH

WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S.

NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S 

TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. 

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. 

HIGHS IN THE 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



