

417 

FNUS54 KMRX 290715

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

315 AM EDT WED OCT 29 2014



.DISCUSSION...

A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA TODAY WITH RAIN...BUT RAIN

WILL END OVER THE PLATEAU AROUND 14Z...AND END OVER THE MOUNTAINS

BY 21Z. TEMPERATURES WILL COOL BEHIND THE FRONT AND REMAIN AT OR 

BELOW SEASONAL NORMALS THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK. 





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-300815-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

315 AM EDT WED OCT 29 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      58-63 (-13)  33-38 (-14)  54-59        

RH % (24H TREND)      48-53 (+5)   91-96 (+9)   37-42        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM                                   

PRECIP END            5 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.06         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5300                      5000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 12                     NW  8        

DISPERSION            32 FAIR                   20 GEN POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  6        LGT/VAR      NW  5        



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S.

LIGHT WINDS. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO

UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY. COLDER. LOWS IN

THE 20S TO MID 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.

COLDER. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER

50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.

HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-300815-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

315 AM EDT WED OCT 29 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      57-62 (-12)  32-37 (-14)  52-57        

RH % (24H TREND)      49-54 (+5)   91-96 (+6)   36-41        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  6        LGT/VAR      NW  5        

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM                                   

PRECIP END            5 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.14         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5100                      5100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 13                     NW 12        

DISPERSION            24 FAIR                   22 FAIR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  5                     LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  8 G15    NW  5        NW  6        



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING

LIGHT. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S

TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...SNOW SHOWERS AND SHOWERS LIKELY. COLDER. LOWS IN

THE 20S TO MID 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY. COLDER. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S

TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO

MID 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-300815-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

315 AM EDT WED OCT 29 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      59-64 (-8)   32-37 (-12)  54-59        

RH % (24H TREND)      46-51 (+3)   93-98 (+4)   31-36        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  5         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM                                   

PRECIP END            5 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.13         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5100                      5100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N 12                      NW  7        

DISPERSION            16 GEN POOR               12 POOR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  5                     LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  7         LGT/VAR      NW  6        



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO

LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY. COLDER. LOWS IN

THE LOWER 20S TO MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.

COLDER. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO 40S. EAST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 50S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S

TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-300815-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

315 AM EDT WED OCT 29 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      63-68 (-6)   33-38 (-14)  61-66        

RH % (24H TREND)      42-47 (-1)   93-98 (+7)   28-33        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  5         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM                                   

PRECIP END            5 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.13         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4900                      5100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N 13                      N  8         

DISPERSION            30 FAIR                   23 FAIR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  6         LGT/VAR      NW  5        



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S. NORTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE

WEST EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO

LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO

LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S

TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-300815-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

315 AM EDT WED OCT 29 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      64-69 (-5)   32-37 (-12)  62-67        

RH % (24H TREND)      44-49 (+1)   95-100 (+10) 25-30        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM                                   

PRECIP END            5 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.14         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5100                      5600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N 12                      N  8         

DISPERSION            27 FAIR                   24 FAIR      

MAX LVORI             4                         4            

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  5        LGT/VAR      NW  5        



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S. NORTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO

15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COOLER. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S.

NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER

50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-300815-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

315 AM EDT WED OCT 29 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      61-66 (-12)  33-38 (-16)  57-62        

RH % (24H TREND)      44-49 (+2)   94-99 (+11)  32-37        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM                                   

PRECIP END            5 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.09         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5100                      4800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW  9                     NW  7        

DISPERSION            28 FAIR                   18 GEN POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  5        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER

40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLDER.

HIGHS IN THE 30S TO 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID

50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-300815-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

315 AM EDT WED OCT 29 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      62-67 (-10)  35-40 (-13)  59-64        

RH % (24H TREND)      37-42 (-8)   90-95 (+5)   32-37        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM                                   

PRECIP END            2 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.05         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5100                      4700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N  9                      NW  6        

DISPERSION            31 FAIR                   18 GEN POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  5        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER

40S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

40S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE

SOUTHWEST EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COOLER. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S.

NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER

50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-300815-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

315 AM EDT WED OCT 29 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      63-68 (-9)   37-42 (-13)  61-66        

RH % (24H TREND)      36-41 (-10)  88-93 (+2)   31-36        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  6         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM                                   

PRECIP END            2 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.07         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4700                      4500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N 12                      N  9         

DISPERSION            36 FAIR                   25 FAIR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     N  6                      LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  8 G16     LGT/VAR      NW  5        



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER

40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING

BECOMING LIGHT. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST

5 TO 15 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLDER.

LOWS IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. COOLER. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S.

NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER

60S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO

UPPER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



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