

009 

FNUS54 KMRX 280732

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

332 AM EDT TUE OCT 28 2014



.DISCUSSION...

 THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN REGION WILL SEE ONE MORE DAY 

OF UNSEASONABLY WARM AND DRY CONDITIONS TODAY.  THEN...A COLD FRONT 

WILL BRING RAIN SHOWERS TO THE AREA LATE TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY. 

COOLER TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED BEHIND THIS FRONT FOR THE REST OF 

THE WEEK.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-290845-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

332 AM EDT TUE OCT 28 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      74-79 (-2)   50-55 (-1)   58-63        

RH % (24H TREND)      37-42 (+1)   92-97 (+13)  47-52        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  5                      NW  6        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  7        LGT/VAR      W  7         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            80           50           

PRECIP DURATION                    5            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       8 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   2 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.33         0.14         

LAL                   1            2            1            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4800                      3800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 20                     W 16         

DISPERSION            47 GEN GOOD               24 FAIR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  6 G16                  NW  8 G16    

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  9 G17    LGT/VAR      W  8 G16     



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER

40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING

LIGHT. 

.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER

40S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN

THE MID 30S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S

TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-290845-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

332 AM EDT TUE OCT 28 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      71-76 (-2)   50-55 (+3)   57-62        

RH % (24H TREND)      36-41 (-1)   93-98 (+20)  56-61        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   NW  6        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W  7         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            80           60           

PRECIP DURATION                    3            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       11 PM        CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   2 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.09         0.18         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4800                      4100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 14                     NW 16        

DISPERSION            24 FAIR                   19 GEN POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  5                     NW  8 G16    

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  5        LGT/VAR      W  9 G16     



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S.

LIGHT WINDS. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID

30S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID

40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER

50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-290845-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

332 AM EDT TUE OCT 28 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      69-74 (-4)   48-53 (+1)   56-61        

RH % (24H TREND)      36-41 (0)    95-100 (+27) 55-60        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  6                     N  6         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  6        SW  5        LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            70           60           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       11 PM        CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   2 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.16         0.16         

LAL                   1            2            1            

LASI                  5                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4900                      4300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 17                     NW 13        

DISPERSION            26 FAIR                   13 GEN POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  7                     N  7         

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  7        SW  6        NW  6        



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER

40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S.

LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHEAST LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

MID 40S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN

THE MID 30S TO LOWER 50S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S

TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

40S TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-290845-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

332 AM EDT TUE OCT 28 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      72-77 (-5)   50-55 (+4)   62-67        

RH % (24H TREND)      37-42 (-1)   95-100 (+18) 50-55        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  5                      N  7         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  6        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            60           50           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       11 PM        CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   2 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.14         0.11         

LAL                   1            2            1            

LASI                  5                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4600                      3800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 16                     N 14         

DISPERSION            36 FAIR                   21 FAIR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  6                      N  9         

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  8 G16    S  5         N  6         



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S. NORTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S. LIGHT WINDS

BECOMING NORTHEAST LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. COOLER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN

THE 40S TO 50S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-290845-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

332 AM EDT TUE OCT 28 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      72-77 (-4)   49-54 (+7)   61-66        

RH % (24H TREND)      35-40 (-3)   95-100 (+15) 54-59        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   NW  6        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  6        LGT/VAR      N  6         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            60           50           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       11 PM        CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   2 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.08         0.12         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4600                      3900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 16                     N 13         

DISPERSION            31 FAIR                   18 GEN POOR  

MAX LVORI             4                         5            

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  5                      NW  7        

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  7 G15    LGT/VAR      N  7         



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S. NORTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S. NORTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID

40S TO UPPER 50S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S

TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-290845-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

332 AM EDT TUE OCT 28 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      74-79 (-2)   50-55 (+2)   61-66        

RH % (24H TREND)      35-40 (-3)   95-100 (+13) 47-52        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   NW  6        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  5        LGT/VAR      W  6         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            80           50           

PRECIP DURATION                    3            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       8 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   2 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.27         0.16         

LAL                   1            2            1            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4700                      3800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 16                     W 14         

DISPERSION            45 GEN GOOD               29 FAIR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  5 G15                  NW  8 G15    

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  7 G16    LGT/VAR      W  7 G15     



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER

40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING

LIGHT. 

.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER

40S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. COOLER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN

THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-290845-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

332 AM EDT TUE OCT 28 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      73-78 (-5)   51-56 (-3)   61-66        

RH % (24H TREND)      40-45 (+2)   93-98 (+11)  40-45        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  7        SW  5        LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            80           30           

PRECIP DURATION                    5            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   11 AM        

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.42         0.09         

LAL                   1            2            1            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4300                      3600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 18                     NW 13        

DISPERSION            49 GEN GOOD               26 FAIR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  6 G15                  N  6         

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  9 G17    SW  6        NW  6        



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER

40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING

BECOMING LIGHT. 

.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER

40S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S

TO MID 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO

UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-290845-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

332 AM EDT TUE OCT 28 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      74-79 (-5)   52-57 (+1)   63-68        

RH % (24H TREND)      43-48 (+3)   91-96 (+6)   42-47        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   N  6         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  6         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            70           30           

PRECIP DURATION                    3            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       8 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   11 AM        

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.31         0.08         

LAL                   1            2            1            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4200                      3400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 16                     N 14         

DISPERSION            44 GEN GOOD               26 FAIR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  5                     N  7         

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  8 G15     SW  5        N  5         



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER

40S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.

NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. NORTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. COOLER. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN

THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID

60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



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