

493 

FNUS54 KMRX 271832

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

232 PM EDT MON OCT 27 2014



.DISCUSSION...

THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN REGION WILL SEE ONE MORE DAY 

OF UNSEASONABLY WARM AND DRY CONDITIONS FOR TUESDAY.  THEN...A COLD 

FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE AREA LATE TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY... 

BRINGING THE NEXT CHANCE FOR RAIN. TEMPERATURES WILL COOL SLIGHTLY 

BEHIND THIS FRONT FOR THE REST OF THE WEEK.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-281945-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

232 PM EDT MON OCT 27 2014



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      50-55 (+10)  74-79 (-2)   50-55        60-65        

RH % (24H TREND)      92-97 (+12)  35-40 (0)    87-92        44-49        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  5                      LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  7 G15    LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            60           30           

PRECIP DURATION                                 2            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    8 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   2 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.25         0.08         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5300                      5100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 22                     W 10         

DISPERSION                         60 GEN GOOD               28 FAIR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  7 G17                  LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  9 G18    SW  6        W  6         



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER

40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER

40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING

LIGHT. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. COOLER. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN

THE UPPER 30S TO MID 50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. WARMER. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-281945-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

232 PM EDT MON OCT 27 2014



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      49-54 (+10)  71-76 (-2)   49-54        58-63        

RH % (24H TREND)      86-91 (+6)   35-40 (-1)   87-92        50-55        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  5         SW  5        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            50           50           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    11 PM        CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   5 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.07         0.11         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5600                      5500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 14                     W  9         

DISPERSION                         33 FAIR                   21 FAIR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  5                     NW  5        

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  6         SW  6        SW  6        NW  5        



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER

40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER

40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 30S TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID

40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

40S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-281945-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

232 PM EDT MON OCT 27 2014



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      48-53 (+8)   69-74 (-4)   49-54        59-64        

RH % (24H TREND)      88-93 (+9)   33-38 (-3)   89-94        45-50        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  7                      LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  6         SW  7 G15    SW  7        LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            50           50           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    8 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   5 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.12         0.12         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5500                      5200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 20                     W  7         

DISPERSION                         40 FAIR                   10 POOR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  8 G17                  LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  7 G17     SW  9 G19    SW  8 G18    LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 60S. NORTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER

40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN

THE UPPER 40S TO MID 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. COOLER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN

THE UPPER 30S TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO

LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID

40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-281945-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

232 PM EDT MON OCT 27 2014



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      47-52 (+5)   73-78 (-4)   51-56        64-69        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+6)  34-39 (-4)   88-93        43-48        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  6                      LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  5         SW  7        S  5         LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            40           40           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    8 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   5 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.11         0.11         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5100                      4600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 17                     NW  7        

DISPERSION                         46 GEN GOOD               14 GEN POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  7 G16                  LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  6 G16     SW  9 G17    S  6         N  5         



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. NORTH WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER

40S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S.

NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. COOLER. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN

THE MID 40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER

50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-281945-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

232 PM EDT MON OCT 27 2014



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      44-49 (+7)   73-78 (-3)   50-55        64-69        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+2)  32-37 (-6)   90-95        45-50        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  7        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            30           40           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    11 PM        CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   5 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.08         0.10         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5600                      4200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 16                     NW  8        

DISPERSION                         45 GEN GOOD               12 POOR      

MAX LVORI                          4                         5            

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  6                      LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  5        SW  8 G16    LGT/VAR      NW  5        



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S.

NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. NORTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. NORTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S.

NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO

MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-281945-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

232 PM EDT MON OCT 27 2014



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      48-53 (+6)   73-78 (-3)   50-55        63-68        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+8)  35-40 (-3)   89-94        42-47        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  6        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            50           30           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    8 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   5 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.20         0.11         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4600                      5000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 16                     W  8         

DISPERSION                         45 GEN GOOD               23 FAIR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  5 G15                  LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  8 G17    SW  5        LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER

40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING

LIGHT. 

.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER

40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING

LIGHT. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. COOLER. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN

THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER

50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-281945-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

232 PM EDT MON OCT 27 2014



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      52-57 (+6)   73-78 (-5)   52-57        62-67        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+7)  40-45 (+3)   88-93        40-45        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  5                      LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  8 G15    SW  5        LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            60           30           

PRECIP DURATION                                 2            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   2 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.39         0.06         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4600                      4800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 21                     NW  7        

DISPERSION                         60 GEN GOOD               22 FAIR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  6 G17                  LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW 10 G19    SW  6        LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER

40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. NORTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER

40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 70S. NORTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID

40S TO LOWER 60S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-281945-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

232 PM EDT MON OCT 27 2014



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      53-58 (+4)   75-80 (-4)   54-59        64-69        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+6)  40-45 (+1)   86-91        40-45        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  5                      LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  7         SW  5        LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            60           40           

PRECIP DURATION                                 2            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    8 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   2 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.32         0.09         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4800                      4500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 20                     NW 10        

DISPERSION                         61 GOOD                   29 FAIR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  6 G16                  N  5         

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  5         S  9 G18     SW  6 G15    N  5         



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER

40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. NORTH WINDS

5 TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS NEAR 40. NORTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S.

NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

40S TO LOWER 60S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO

UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



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