

544 

FNUS54 KMRX 271429

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

1029 AM EDT MON OCT 27 2014



.DISCUSSION...

AN UNSEASONABLY WARM AND DRY PATTERN WILL LINGER OVER THE SOUTHERN 

APPALACHIAN REGION THROUGH TUESDAY...WITH A COLD FRONT MOVING INTO 

THE REGION ON TUESDAY NIGHT BRINGING THE NEXT CHANCE FOR RAIN. 

TEMPERATURES WILL ONLY COOL SLIGHTLY BEHIND THIS FRONT FOR THE REST 

OF THE WEEK.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-281530-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

1029 AM EDT MON OCT 27 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           CLEAR        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      75-80 (+9)   50-55 (+10)  74-79        

RH % (24H TREND)      31-36 (-2)   83-88 (+3)   34-39        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S  7 G17     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  5         LGT/VAR      SW  8 G17    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4000                      4900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 10                      SW 23        

DISPERSION            18 GEN POOR               58 GEN GOOD  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S  9 G22     

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  6         LGT/VAR      SW 10 G22    



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S.

WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID

50S TO UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO

LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. NORTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO

LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID

40S TO UPPER 50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER

50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-281530-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

1029 AM EDT MON OCT 27 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           CLEAR        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      72-77 (+8)   49-54 (+10)  71-76        

RH % (24H TREND)      31-36 (-4)   77-82 (-4)   35-40        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SW  6        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  6        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4600                      4600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S  9                      SW 15        

DISPERSION            13 GEN POOR               22 FAIR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SW  7 G15    

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  5         SW  7 G15    



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO

LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID

60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO

LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

40S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-281530-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

1029 AM EDT MON OCT 27 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           CLEAR        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      72-77 (+6)   48-53 (+8)   70-75        

RH % (24H TREND)      31-36 (-10)  77-82 (-2)   33-38        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SW  7 G15    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  5         SW  7 G15    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4400                      4800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  9                     SW 22        

DISPERSION            10 POOR                   30 FAIR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SW  9 G18    

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  6 G16     SW  9 G18    



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S

TO UPPER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE 30S TO

LOWER 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 60S.

NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S

TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S

TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-281530-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

1029 AM EDT MON OCT 27 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           CLEAR        MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      76-81 (+4)   47-52 (+5)   73-78        

RH % (24H TREND)      32-37 (-9)   88-93 (-3)   34-39        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S  7         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  5         LGT/VAR      SW  7        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3600                      4500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 10                      SW 18        

DISPERSION            14 GEN POOR               37 FAIR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S  8 G17     

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  6         S  5         SW  9 G17    



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID

50S TO LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO

LOWER 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

50S TO LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

40S TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER

50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-281530-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

1029 AM EDT MON OCT 27 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           CLEAR        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      75-80 (+4)   44-49 (+7)   73-78        

RH % (24H TREND)      32-37 (-7)   95-100 (-1)  32-37        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S  5         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  5         LGT/VAR      SW  6        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3800                      4400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 10                      SW 16        

DISPERSION            13 GEN POOR               28 FAIR      

MAX LVORI             6                         4            

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S  7 G15     

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  6         LGT/VAR      SW  8 G15    



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO

LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE 30S TO MID

40S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. NORTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

50S TO LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO

MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-281530-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

1029 AM EDT MON OCT 27 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           CLEAR        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      75-80 (+6)   48-53 (+6)   74-79        

RH % (24H TREND)      33-38 (-2)   87-92 (-1)   34-39        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S  6         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  7        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3800                      4800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S  8                      SW 20        

DISPERSION            16 GEN POOR               55 GEN GOOD  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S  7 G18     

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  8 G18    



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO

UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO

LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING

BECOMING LIGHT. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S.

NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER

50S TO MID 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER

50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-281530-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

1029 AM EDT MON OCT 27 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           CLEAR        MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      77-82 (+6)   52-57 (+6)   74-79        

RH % (24H TREND)      35-40 (-5)   87-92 (-3)   37-42        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SW  7 G15    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  8 G15    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3500                      4600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 10                      SW 23        

DISPERSION            19 GEN POOR               66 GOOD      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SW  8 G19    

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  6         LGT/VAR      SW 10 G19    



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S.

WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

50S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS IN THE 30S TO MID

40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. NORTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID

50S TO LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER

50S TO MID 60S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-281530-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

1029 AM EDT MON OCT 27 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           CLEAR        MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      78-83 (+4)   53-58 (+4)   75-80        

RH % (24H TREND)      37-42 (-7)   90-95 (-2)   40-45        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S  7 G15     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  6         LGT/VAR      SW  8        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3200                      3900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 10                      SW 18        

DISPERSION            20 GEN POOR               45 GEN GOOD  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S  9 G18     

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  7         LGT/VAR      SW 10 G18    



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

50S TO LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS IN THE 30S TO MID

40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. NORTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

50S TO LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO MID 60S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



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