

331 

FNUS54 KMRX 261850

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

250 PM EDT SUN OCT 26 2014



...BREEZY WINDS EXPECTED ON TUESDAY...



.DISCUSSION...

AN UNSEASONABLY WARM AND DRY PATTERN WILL LINGER OVER THE SOUTHERN 

APPALACHIAN REGION THROUGH TUESDAY...WITH A COLD FRONT MOVING INTO 

THE REGION ON TUESDAY NIGHT BRINGING THE NEXT CHANCE FOR RAIN. 

TEMPERATURES WILL ONLY COOL SLIGHTLY BEHIND THIS FRONT FOR THE REST 

OF THE WEEK.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-272000-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

250 PM EDT SUN OCT 26 2014



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      44-49 (0)    74-79 (+8)   50-55        71-76        

RH % (24H TREND)      86-91 (-6)   33-38 (-2)   87-92        42-47        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SW  7 G16    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  5        S  5         SW  9 G17    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3300                      4500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 10                     SW 23        

DISPERSION                         11 POOR                   48 GEN GOOD  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  5                      SW  9 G20    

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  7        S  6         SW 11 G21    



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 

40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 60S. 

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLDER. 

LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 

30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 

MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S 

TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-272000-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

250 PM EDT SUN OCT 26 2014



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      43-48 (-8)   72-77 (+8)   48-53        69-74        

RH % (24H TREND)      84-89 (+2)   34-39 (-2)   88-93        43-48        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SW  6        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  6 G15     SW  7        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3500                      4000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW  7                     SW 18        

DISPERSION                         4 VERY POOR               20 GEN POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SW  7 G17    

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  8 G18     SW  9 G18    



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS NEAR 50.

WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 60S. 

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLDER. 

LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. WEST 

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 

30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. COOLER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 

UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S 

TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-272000-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

250 PM EDT SUN OCT 26 2014



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      43-48 (-7)   72-77 (+6)   48-53        69-74        

RH % (24H TREND)      92-97 (+6)   35-40 (-7)   90-95        44-49        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SW 10 G20    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  8 G21     SW  9 G18    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3800                      4400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW  9                     SW 23        

DISPERSION                         5 VERY POOR               24 FAIR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  5                     SW 12 G26    

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S 10 G26     SW 12 G23    



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 

40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S

TO UPPER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLDER. 

LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 60S. WEST 

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE 30S. 

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS IN THE 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 

40S TO MID 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 

50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-272000-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

250 PM EDT SUN OCT 26 2014



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      45-50 (-6)   75-80 (+3)   50-55        72-77        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+3)  36-41 (-7)   90-95        42-47        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   S  8 G16     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  8 G17     SW  8 G16    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3400                      4300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S  8                      SW 21        

DISPERSION                         9 POOR                    39 FAIR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   S 10 G20     

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  5         S  9 G22     SW 10 G20    



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 

40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO 

LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLDER. 

LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 

MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 60S. NORTH 

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. COOLER. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 

UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. 

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-272000-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

250 PM EDT SUN OCT 26 2014



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      43-48 (-1)   74-79 (+3)   48-53        71-76        

RH % (24H TREND)      91-96 (-3)   35-40 (-6)   93-98        41-46        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   S  7 G15     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SE  5        SW  8 G16    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3500                      4500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S  7                      SW 18        

DISPERSION                         7 POOR                    35 FAIR      

MAX LVORI                          6                         4            

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   S  9 G19     

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  5         SE  7 G15    SW 10 G20    



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 

40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO

LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLDER. 

LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 

10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 60S. NORTH 

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. COOLER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 

50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. 

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-272000-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

250 PM EDT SUN OCT 26 2014



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      45-50 (-2)   76-81 (+7)   51-56        73-78        

RH % (24H TREND)      89-94 (0)    33-38 (-3)   89-94        41-46        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   S  5         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  8 G16    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2800                      4000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW  7                     SW 20        

DISPERSION                         7 POOR                    42 GEN GOOD  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   S  6 G18     

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SE  5        SW 10 G20    



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 

40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 60S. 

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS NEAR 40. NORTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. LIGHT

WINDS. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 

30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. COOLER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 

UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S

TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-272000-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

250 PM EDT SUN OCT 26 2014



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      47-52 (-1)   77-82 (+6)   52-57        74-79        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+4)  36-41 (-6)   90-95        44-49        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   S  7 G16     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  9 G17    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2600                      3800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW  8                     SW 23        

DISPERSION                         9 POOR                    50 GEN GOOD  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   S  9 G20     

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  5        S  5 G17     SW 11 G21    



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 

TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 

60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID

40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 

MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S 

TO MID 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. 

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. 

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-272000-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

250 PM EDT SUN OCT 26 2014



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      50-55 (+1)   78-83 (+4)   53-58        75-80        

RH % (24H TREND)      89-94 (-4)   36-41 (-10)  90-95        44-49        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SW  7 G15    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  5         S  6         SW  8        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2700                      3700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S  9                      SW 20        

DISPERSION                         12 POOR                   45 GEN GOOD  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SW  9 G18    

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  6         S  7 G16     SW 10 G18    



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO 

MID 40S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 

10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 60S. 

NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. COOLER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN

THE 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. 

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



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