

768 

FNUS54 KMRX 251850

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

250 PM EDT SAT OCT 25 2014



.DISCUSSION...

AN UNSEASONABLY WARM AND DRY PATTERN WILL LINGER OVER THE SOUTHERN 

APPALACHIAN REGION FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS...WITH A WEAK COLD 

FRONT TOWARDS THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK BRINGING THE NEXT CHANCE FOR 

RAIN.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-262000-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

250 PM EDT SAT OCT 25 2014



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      45-50 (+14)  67-72 (+4)   42-47        75-80        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (0)   33-38 (-14)  81-86        28-33        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  6                     LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  5         NW  6        LGT/VAR      SW  5        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4500                      3600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 15                     SW 12        

DISPERSION                         32 FAIR                   14 GEN POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  8 G18                 S  5         

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  7 G15     NW  7 G18    LGT/VAR      SW  7        



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. 

SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP 

TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 

50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. HIGHS IN THE 

UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 

50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO

LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 

40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-262000-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

250 PM EDT SAT OCT 25 2014



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      44-49 (+11)  67-72 (+4)   42-47        73-78        

RH % (24H TREND)      88-93 (-6)   33-38 (-5)   80-85        29-34        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  9 G19                 LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  7 G15     NW  8 G19    LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4500                      3800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 18                     SW  9        

DISPERSION                         27 FAIR                   8 POOR       

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW 12 G24                 LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  9 G19     NW 10 G24    LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S.

SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 50. 

WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 60S. 

NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 

50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S

TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 

40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-262000-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

250 PM EDT SAT OCT 25 2014



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      44-49 (+3)   67-72 (+4)   43-48        73-78        

RH % (24H TREND)      88-93 (-5)   35-40 (-4)   82-87        32-37        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  6                     LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  5         NW  5        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4600                      4000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 14                     SW 10        

DISPERSION                         15 GEN POOR               8 POOR       

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  7 G18                 SW  5        

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  7 G16     NW  7 G18    LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S.

SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 

40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S

TO UPPER 60S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S 

TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO 

LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S

TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-262000-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

250 PM EDT SAT OCT 25 2014



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      46-51 (+10)  71-76 (+4)   45-50        76-81        

RH % (24H TREND)      88-93 (-5)   36-41 (-7)   85-90        33-38        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4400                      3600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 10                     S  9         

DISPERSION                         21 FAIR                   12 POOR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   S  5         

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW  5        LGT/VAR      S  5         



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S.

SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 

40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S

TO LOWER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S. 

NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO 

MID 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S 

TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-262000-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

250 PM EDT SAT OCT 25 2014



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      45-50 (+12)  70-75 (+4)   44-49        75-80        

RH % (24H TREND)      86-91 (-7)   34-39 (-6)   73-78        30-35        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  5                     LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW  5        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4500                      3900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 13                     S  9         

DISPERSION                         24 FAIR                   13 GEN POOR  

MAX LVORI                          4                         3            

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  6                     LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  5        NW  7 G15    LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S 

TO LOWER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S. 

NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO 

MID 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. 

NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-262000-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

250 PM EDT SAT OCT 25 2014



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      46-51 (+13)  71-76 (+4)   43-48        77-82        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (0)   32-37 (-11)  86-91        28-33        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  5                      LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  5        W  5         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4300                      3200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 13                     SW  9        

DISPERSION                         32 FAIR                   13 GEN POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  7 G17                  LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  6        W  7 G17     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS NEAR 50.

WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 60S.

NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S. 

WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S 

TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-262000-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

250 PM EDT SAT OCT 25 2014



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      47-52 (+8)   72-77 (+4)   46-51        77-82        

RH % (24H TREND)      92-97 (-1)   34-39 (-15)  87-92        31-36        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3800                      3100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW  9                     SW 10        

DISPERSION                         21 FAIR                   17 GEN POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  5        



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 

TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S

TO LOWER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO 

MID 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S.

NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-262000-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

250 PM EDT SAT OCT 25 2014



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      48-53 (+9)   73-78 (+4)   49-54        78-83        

RH % (24H TREND)      90-95 (-2)   37-42 (-10)  88-93        34-39        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  5         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3700                      3100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW  9                     S 10         

DISPERSION                         20 GEN POOR               17 GEN POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  6         



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID TO UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 50S. 

WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S 

TO LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S 

TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 

50S TO MID 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID

50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 



$$



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