

508 

FNUS54 KMRX 231913

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

313 PM EDT THU OCT 23 2014



.DISCUSSION...

HIGH PRESSURE WILL LINGER OVER THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN REGION FOR 

THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS...BRINGING DRY AND TRANQUIL CONDITIONS THROUGH 

EARLY NEXT WEEK. A WARMING TREND WILL DEVELOP WITH ABOVE NORMAL 

TEMPERATURES EXPECTED THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK. A WEAK COLD FRONT 

WILL MOVE INTO THE REGION BY THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK...BRINGING THE 

NEXT CHANCE FOR RAIN.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-242015-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

313 PM EDT THU OCT 23 2014



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      35-40 (-6)   62-67 (+5)   38-43        64-69        

RH % (24H TREND)      88-93 (-2)   33-38 (-13)  84-89        45-50        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3800                      3600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N  6                      W  6         

DISPERSION                         9 POOR                    8 POOR       

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  5        



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S. WEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. 

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 50. 

HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. 

HIGHS IN THE 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. 

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-242015-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

313 PM EDT THU OCT 23 2014



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      34-39 (-4)   59-64 (+5)   37-42        61-66        

RH % (24H TREND)      86-91 (-1)   33-38 (-15)  83-88        46-51        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3900                      3900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW  6                     NW  7        

DISPERSION                         6 VERY POOR               6 VERY POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  5 G15     NW  5        LGT/VAR      W  5         



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. 

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 

40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. 

HIGHS IN THE 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS 

IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-242015-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

313 PM EDT THU OCT 23 2014



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      35-40 (0)    59-64 (+5)   38-43        61-66        

RH % (24H TREND)      83-88 (-4)   32-37 (-15)  83-88        45-50        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4200                      4100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW  6                     NW  7        

DISPERSION                         6 VERY POOR               6 VERY POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO UPPER 40S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS UP 

TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 40S. 

HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 40S. HIGHS 

IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 40S. HIGHS 

IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-242015-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

313 PM EDT THU OCT 23 2014



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      37-42 (+7)   63-68 (+5)   40-45        65-70        

RH % (24H TREND)      83-88 (-5)   31-36 (-13)  81-86        42-47        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4000                      3700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W  6                      N  7         

DISPERSION                         10 POOR                   8 POOR       

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW  5        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS 

THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS 

THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 

50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. 

HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 

40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-242015-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

313 PM EDT THU OCT 23 2014



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      34-39 (+2)   63-68 (+5)   37-42        65-70        

RH % (24H TREND)      84-89 (-4)   30-35 (-13)  81-86        41-46        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4000                      3900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W  6                      N  6         

DISPERSION                         9 POOR                    9 POOR       

MAX LVORI                          4                         4            

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW  5        LGT/VAR      NW  5        



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS 

THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 40S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHEAST 

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 

50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. 

HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. 

HIGHS IN THE 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-242015-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

313 PM EDT THU OCT 23 2014



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      36-41 (-5)   64-69 (+5)   39-44        66-71        

RH % (24H TREND)      87-92 (+1)   31-36 (-13)  84-89        43-48        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3500                      3300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N  6                      W  6         

DISPERSION                         10 POOR                   9 POOR       

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST 

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 

50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. 

HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-242015-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

313 PM EDT THU OCT 23 2014



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      38-43 (-1)   65-70 (+5)   41-46        67-72        

RH % (24H TREND)      86-91 (0)    31-36 (-11)  83-88        44-49        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3300                      3100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NE  6                     W  6         

DISPERSION                         10 POOR                   9 POOR       

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID TO UPPER 40S. WEST 

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 

MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 

50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS 

NEAR 70. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 

40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-242015-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

313 PM EDT THU OCT 23 2014



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      39-44 (+4)   67-72 (+5)   42-47        69-74        

RH % (24H TREND)      86-91 (+1)   31-36 (-11)  79-84        43-48        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3400                      3100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N  6                      N  6         

DISPERSION                         12 POOR                   10 POOR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS LESS 

THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS 

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS 

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 

50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. 

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



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