

146 

FNUS54 KMRX 221840

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

240 PM EDT WED OCT 22 2014



.DISCUSSION...

HIGH PRESSURE WILL LINGER OVER THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN REGION FOR 

SEVERAL DAYS...BRINGING DRY AND TRANQUIL CONDITIONS THROUGH EARLY 

NEXT WEEK. A WARMING TREND WILL DEVELOP ON FRIDAY...WITH ABOVE 

NORMAL TEMPERATURES EXPECTED THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-231945-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

240 PM EDT WED OCT 22 2014



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      32-37 (-8)   57-62 (+8)   34-39        60-65        

RH % (24H TREND)      93-98 (+4)   38-43 (-20)  84-89        33-38        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N  5                      LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  6         N  5         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3500                      3400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 12                      NW  6        

DISPERSION                         13 GEN POOR               7 POOR       

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N  6                      LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  8 G16     N  6         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S 

TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S 

TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 

40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-231945-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

240 PM EDT WED OCT 22 2014



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      32-37 (-5)   56-61 (+8)   34-39        59-64        

RH % (24H TREND)      93-98 (+4)   39-44 (-19)  83-88        35-40        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  6                     LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  7 G16     NW  6        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3600                      3500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 14                     NW  8        

DISPERSION                         8 POOR                    4 VERY POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  8 G18                 LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  9 G20     NW  8 G17    LGT/VAR      NW  5        



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST 

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S 

TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 

60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS 

THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-231945-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

240 PM EDT WED OCT 22 2014



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      32-37 (-3)   56-61 (+5)   34-39        59-64        

RH % (24H TREND)      93-98 (+6)   38-43 (-12)  84-89        34-39        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NE  5                     LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NE  7        N  5         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3700                      3800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NE 12                     N  7         

DISPERSION                         6 VERY POOR               4 VERY POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NE  6                     LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NE  8 G18    N  6         LGT/VAR      N  5         



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS 

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 40S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. EAST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO 

MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO 

MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 40S. 

HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.



$$



TNZ087-102-231945-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

240 PM EDT WED OCT 22 2014



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      34-39 (-2)   60-65 (+4)   36-41        63-68        

RH % (24H TREND)      88-93 (-1)   37-42 (-8)   81-86        33-38        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N  5                      LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NE  6        N  6         LGT/VAR      N  5         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3100                      3300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 12                      N  7         

DISPERSION                         9 POOR                    7 POOR       

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N  6                      LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NE  7 G17    N  7         LGT/VAR      N  6         



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS 

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. EAST WINDS UP TO 

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S 

TO MID 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO 

MID 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS 

THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-231945-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

240 PM EDT WED OCT 22 2014



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      31-36 (-4)   59-64 (+3)   33-38        62-67        

RH % (24H TREND)      92-97 (+2)   37-42 (-7)   82-87        33-38        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  6         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3500                      3500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 10                      NW  7        

DISPERSION                         10 POOR                   6 VERY POOR  

MAX LVORI                          6                         4            

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N  5                      LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  7 G15     N  5         LGT/VAR      NW  6        



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.

NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 

60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS 

THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-231945-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

240 PM EDT WED OCT 22 2014



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      33-38 (-7)   60-65 (+7)   35-40        63-68        

RH % (24H TREND)      93-98 (+8)   36-41 (-17)  88-93        32-37        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3400                      3000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N  9                      N  6         

DISPERSION                         15 GEN POOR               8 POOR       

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  5         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. WEST 

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 40S. WEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 

60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 

60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS 

THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-231945-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

240 PM EDT WED OCT 22 2014



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      34-39 (-4)   61-66 (+5)   37-42        64-69        

RH % (24H TREND)      90-95 (+1)   36-41 (-12)  84-89        33-38        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3000                      3000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NE 10                     N  6         

DISPERSION                         15 GEN POOR               9 POOR       

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NE  5                     LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NE  5        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.

NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. WEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. EAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 

60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS 

THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-231945-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

240 PM EDT WED OCT 22 2014



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      36-41 (-2)   62-67 (+3)   38-43        65-70        

RH % (24H TREND)      86-91 (0)    36-41 (-6)   86-91        33-38        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NE  5                     LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NE  5        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2800                      2900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NE 12                     N  7         

DISPERSION                         17 GEN POOR               11 POOR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NE  6                     LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NE  6        N  5         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS 

THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST 

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. EAST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE 70S. SOUTH WINDS 

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 

50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 

50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



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