

120 

FNUS54 KMRX 220732

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

332 AM EDT WED OCT 22 2014



.DISCUSSION...

NORTHERLY WINDS WILL HELP MAINTAIN A COOL AIR MASS 

ACROSS THE REGION TODAY...AS WELL AS SOME CLOUDS OVER SOUTHWEST 

VIRGINIA AND NORTHEAST TENNESSEE. THE SKY WILL CLEAR BY TONIGHT AND 

PATCHY FOG AND FROST WILL BE POSSIBLE. DRY WEATHER AND A WARMING 

TREND WILL OCCUR ON THURSDAY...BEFORE ANOTHER COLD FRONT BRINGS A 

SHOT OF COOLER AIR FOR FRIDAY. THEREAFTER...A MORE BROADER HIGH 

PRESSURE RIDGE WILL PROMOTE EVEN WARMER CONDITIONS...ALONG WITH 

CONTINUED DRY WEATHER THIS WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. 





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-230845-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

332 AM EDT WED OCT 22 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      49-54 (-8)   32-37 (-4)   57-62        

RH % (24H TREND)      56-61 (0)    95-100 (+8)  38-43        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  5         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3400                      4000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N 10                      N 10         

DISPERSION            12 POOR                   17 GEN POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     N  5                      LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  6         LGT/VAR      NW  5        



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. PATCHY FROST. LOWS IN THE 30S TO

LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING

BECOMING LIGHT. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.

LIGHT WINDS. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. WEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S

TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO

MID 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S

TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-230845-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

332 AM EDT WED OCT 22 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      47-52 (-9)   33-38 (-2)   55-60        

RH % (24H TREND)      49-54 (-5)   89-94 (+4)   33-38        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  5                     NW  6        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  6        N  5         NW  6        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3500                      4200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 14                     NW 14        

DISPERSION            7 POOR                    16 GEN POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  7                     NW  7 G16    

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  8 G17    N  6         NW  8 G16    



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.

WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 40. NORTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 70S.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S

TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

50S TO MID 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 50S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-230845-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

332 AM EDT WED OCT 22 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      50-55 (-9)   33-38 (-2)   58-63        

RH % (24H TREND)      38-43 (-8)   84-89 (+3)   21-26        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     N  5                      LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  5         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3700                      4300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N 13                      NE 12        

DISPERSION            6 VERY POOR               11 POOR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     N  7                      N  5         

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  7 G15     NE  5        N  5         



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. NORTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 60S. NORTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS NEAR 40. NORTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 70S. NORTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER

70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO

MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-230845-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

332 AM EDT WED OCT 22 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       CLEAR        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      56-61 (-9)   34-39 (-2)   63-68        

RH % (24H TREND)      35-40 (-4)   83-88 (+2)   24-29        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     N  5                      LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  6         LGT/VAR      N  5         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3100                      3700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N 14                      NE 14        

DISPERSION            11 POOR                   18 GEN POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     N  7                      N  5         

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  7 G16     NE  5        N  6         



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. PATCHY FROST. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING

BECOMING LIGHT. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S.

NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS NEAR 40. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO

MID 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER

60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-230845-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

332 AM EDT WED OCT 22 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       CLEAR        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      57-62 (-8)   33-38 (-2)   65-70        

RH % (24H TREND)      30-35 (-6)   82-87 (+1)   18-23        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     N  5                      LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  6         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3300                      3900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N 12                      N  9         

DISPERSION            9 POOR                    13 GEN POOR  

MAX LVORI             5                         4            

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     N  6                      LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  7         N  5         NW  5        



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. PATCHY FROST. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING

LIGHT. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS NEAR 40. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO

MID 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER

60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-230845-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

332 AM EDT WED OCT 22 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      53-58 (-8)   34-39 (-3)   60-65        

RH % (24H TREND)      45-50 (-2)   92-97 (+8)   32-37        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3300                      4000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N  8                      N  7         

DISPERSION            13 GEN POOR               15 GEN POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  5         LGT/VAR      W  5         



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. PATCHY FROST. LOWS IN THE 30S TO

LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING

BECOMING LIGHT. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. NORTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS NEAR 40. LIGHT WINDS. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S.

WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER

70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER

60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-230845-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

332 AM EDT WED OCT 22 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      56-61 (-8)   34-39 (-3)   62-67        

RH % (24H TREND)      40-45 (-3)   91-96 (+3)   31-36        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3100                      3600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NE 10                     NE 10        

DISPERSION            15 GEN POOR               22 FAIR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NE  5                     LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  5         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS NEAR 40. LIGHT WINDS. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.

NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT.

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID

70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID

70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-230845-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

332 AM EDT WED OCT 22 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           CLEAR        CLEAR        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      59-64 (-8)   36-41 (-3)   65-70        

RH % (24H TREND)      36-41 (-3)   87-92 (+5)   30-35        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NE  5                     LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  5         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2800                      3600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NE 13                     NE 16        

DISPERSION            18 GEN POOR               33 FAIR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NE  6                     LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  6         LGT/VAR      N  5         



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING

LIGHT. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. NORTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 70S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S

TO UPPER 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



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