

063 

FNUS54 KMRX 211848

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

248 PM EDT TUE OCT 21 2014



.DISCUSSION...

BREEZY NORTHWEST WINDS BEHIND THE COLD FRONT WILL BRING COOLER 

AIR INTO THE REGION THROUGH WEDNESDAY. CLOUDS WILL PERSIST OVER 

SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA AND NORTHEAST TENNESSEE THROUGH WEDNESDAY 

BEFORE ERODING. SOME LIGHT SHOWERS MAY OCCUR WITH THE CLOUD COVER 

TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY. DRY WEATHER AND A WARMING TREND WILL MARK 

THE LATTER PORTION OF THE WEEK. 





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-222000-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

248 PM EDT TUE OCT 21 2014



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      36-41 (-6)   50-55 (-4)   34-39        57-62        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+1)  53-58 (-5)   95-100       37-42        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  5                     LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW  6        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           20           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1            1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING                             

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   2 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.01         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4300                      4000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 16                      N 10         

DISPERSION                         32 FAIR                   17 GEN POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  6 G17                 LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  5        NW  7 G17    LGT/VAR      NW  5        



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING

LIGHT. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.

LIGHT WINDS. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. WEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO

LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO

MID 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S

TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-222000-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

248 PM EDT TUE OCT 21 2014



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      35-40 (-10)  48-53 (-5)   34-39        55-60        

RH % (24H TREND)      92-97 (-3)   48-53 (-12)  85-90        36-41        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW 11 G21                 NW  6        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  8        NW 11 G21    NW  5 G15    NW  6        

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                                   

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM                                                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING                                          

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4500                      4200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 20                     NW 14        

DISPERSION                         28 FAIR                   16 GEN POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW 14 G27                 NW  7 G16    

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 10 G19    NW 14 G27    NW  7 G19    NW  8 G16    



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.

WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO 60S. NORTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S

TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

50S TO MID 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-222000-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

248 PM EDT TUE OCT 21 2014



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      35-40 (-5)   51-56 (-5)   33-38        58-63        

RH % (24H TREND)      91-96 (-3)   38-43 (-13)  80-85        34-39        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NE  8 G21                 LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  5         N  9 G21     N  5         LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SPRINKLES    NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4500                      4300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NE 17                     NE 12        

DISPERSION                         16 GEN POOR               11 POOR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NE 11 G27                 N  5         

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  7 G15     N 11 G26     N  6         N  5         



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. NORTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 60S. NORTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.

NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 70S.

NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER

70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO

MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-222000-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

248 PM EDT TUE OCT 21 2014



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      36-41 (-6)   58-63 (-3)   34-39        63-68        

RH % (24H TREND)      89-94 (-4)   33-38 (-12)  82-87        28-33        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NE  6 G15                 LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      N  7 G15     LGT/VAR      N  5         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3900                      3700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NE 17                     NE 14        

DISPERSION                         26 FAIR                   18 GEN POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NE  8 G19                 N  5         

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      N  9 G18     LGT/VAR      N  6         



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. NORTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S.

NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.

NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO

MID 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER

60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-222000-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

248 PM EDT TUE OCT 21 2014



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       CLEAR        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      35-40 (-5)   60-65 (-2)   33-38        65-70        

RH % (24H TREND)      89-94 (-5)   28-33 (-13)  83-88        25-30        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NE  6                     LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      N  6         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4200                      3900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 15                      N  9         

DISPERSION                         25 FAIR                   13 GEN POOR  

MAX LVORI                          4                         4            

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NE  7 G16                 LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      N  8 G17     LGT/VAR      NW  5        



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. NORTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S.

NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO

MID 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER

60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S

TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-222000-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

248 PM EDT TUE OCT 21 2014



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      37-42 (-9)   54-59 (-6)   35-40        61-66        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (0)   44-49 (-6)   87-92        33-38        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  5                     LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW  6        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SPRINKLES    NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4300                      4000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 13                      N  7         

DISPERSION                         29 FAIR                   15 GEN POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  6 G16                 LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  5        NW  8 G16    LGT/VAR      W  5         



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.

WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. NORTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.

LIGHT WINDS. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 70S. WEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER

70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER

60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-222000-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

248 PM EDT TUE OCT 21 2014



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      37-42 (-7)   56-61 (-5)   34-39        63-68        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (-1)  40-45 (-7)   89-94        33-38        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      N  6         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3900                      3600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NE 14                     NE 10        

DISPERSION                         31 FAIR                   22 FAIR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N  6                      LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      N  7 G15     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS NEAR 40. LIGHT WINDS. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 40S.

NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT.

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID

70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S

TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-222000-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

248 PM EDT TUE OCT 21 2014



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       CLEAR        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      39-44 (-4)   60-65 (-5)   36-41        64-69        

RH % (24H TREND)      88-93 (-5)   35-40 (-6)   89-94        31-36        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N  8 G18                  LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      N  8 G17     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3900                      3600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NE 18                     NE 16        

DISPERSION                         44 GEN GOOD               33 FAIR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N 10 G22                  LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  5         N 10 G21     N  5         N  5         



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING

LIGHT. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S.

NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO

MID 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S

TO UPPER 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S

TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



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