

180 

FNUS54 KMRX 210726

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

326 AM EDT TUE OCT 21 2014



.DISCUSSION...

A COLD FRONT WILL BRING AN INCREASE IN CLOUDS AND JUST A 

SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN OR SPRINKLES FOR NORTHEAST TENNESSEE AND 

SOUTHWESTERN VIRGINIA. NORTHWEST WINDS BEHIND THE COLD FRONT WILL BE 

BREEZY...AND BRING SLIGHTLY COOLER AIR INTO THE REGION THROUGH 

WEDNESDAY. DRY WEATHER RETURNS FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK. 





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-220830-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

326 AM EDT TUE OCT 21 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      54-59 (-5)   37-42 (-6)   49-54        

RH % (24H TREND)      55-60 (+2)   95-100 (-1)  54-59        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  5                      NW  6        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  8 G15    NW  5        N  6         

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           20           0            

PRECIP DURATION       1            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   8 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.01         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4600                      4600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 17                     N 16         

DISPERSION            38 FAIR                   35 FAIR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  6 G16                  NW  7        

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 10 G19    NW  7        N  8 G16     



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S. NORTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 60S.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST AFTER

MIDNIGHT. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S

TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER

60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-220830-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

326 AM EDT TUE OCT 21 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      52-57 (-7)   36-41 (-4)   47-52        

RH % (24H TREND)      51-56 (-3)   88-93 (-8)   50-55        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  6 G15                  NW  8 G15    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  9 G18    NW  7 G16    NW  8 G15    

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           20           0            

PRECIP DURATION       1            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   8 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.02         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4700                      4800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 20                     N 18         

DISPERSION            32 FAIR                   30 FAIR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  8 G19                  NW  9 G18    

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 12 G22    NW  9 G20    NW 10 G19    



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S. NORTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 60S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. WEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID

50S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S

TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

50S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-220830-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

326 AM EDT TUE OCT 21 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      56-61 (-2)   35-40 (-5)   50-55        

RH % (24H TREND)      43-48 (-11)  83-88 (-12)  42-47        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  6 G16                  N  7         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  9 G17    N  7 G15     N  7         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5100                      4600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 15                     N 15         

DISPERSION            24 FAIR                   17 GEN POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  8 G21                  N  9 G17     

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 11 G21    N  9 G19     N  8 G17     



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S. NORTHEAST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 60S. NORTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 40. NORTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 60S. NORTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO LOWER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO

MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-220830-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

326 AM EDT TUE OCT 21 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      61-66 (-2)   36-41 (-7)   56-61        

RH % (24H TREND)      42-47 (-6)   80-85 (-15)  35-40        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  5                     N  7         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  8        N  7         N  8         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4900                      4000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 14                     N 16         

DISPERSION            34 FAIR                   26 FAIR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  6 G17                 N  9 G16     

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 10 G18    N  9 G16     N 10 G18     



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. PATCHY FOG. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. NORTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 40. NORTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. NORTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 50S TO MID 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO

MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER

60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-220830-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

326 AM EDT TUE OCT 21 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      62-67 (-1)   36-41 (-4)   58-63        

RH % (24H TREND)      37-42 (-9)   80-85 (-16)  32-37        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  5 G15                 N  7         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  8 G15    N  6         N  7         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5200                      4400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 15                     N 15         

DISPERSION            37 FAIR                   27 FAIR      

MAX LVORI             4                         3            

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  7 G18                 N  9 G17     

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 11 G19    N  8 G16     N  9         



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. PATCHY FOG. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 40. NORTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. NORTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER

70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO

MID 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-220830-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

326 AM EDT TUE OCT 21 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      59-64 (-4)   37-42 (-5)   53-58        

RH % (24H TREND)      46-51 (-5)   87-92 (-9)   45-50        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  5 G15                  LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  9 G16    LGT/VAR      NW  5        

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SPRINKLES    NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM                                   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING                             

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4800                      4600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 15                     N 12         

DISPERSION            44 GEN GOOD               30 FAIR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  7 G19                  N  5         

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 11 G20    NW  5        NW  6        



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S. NORTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 60S. WEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO

LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER

60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-220830-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

326 AM EDT TUE OCT 21 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      60-65 (-3)   37-42 (-7)   56-61        

RH % (24H TREND)      43-48 (-8)   85-90 (-11)  41-46        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   N  5         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  8        LGT/VAR      N  6         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4700                      4100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 14                     N 13         

DISPERSION            39 FAIR                   30 FAIR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  5 G16                  N  7         

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 10 G19    N  6         N  7         



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. NORTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. NORTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 40. NORTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. NORTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER

60S TO MID 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO

MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-220830-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

326 AM EDT TUE OCT 21 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      65-70 (-1)   39-44 (-5)   59-64        

RH % (24H TREND)      38-43 (-8)   81-86 (-15)  35-40        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   NE  6        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  7        N  5         NE  6        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4500                      3600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 15                     NE 15        

DISPERSION            44 GEN GOOD               32 FAIR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  5 G15                 NE  7 G16    

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  9 G17    N  6         NE  8 G15    



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING

LIGHT. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S

TO MID 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO

MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S

TO UPPER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



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