

836 

FNUS54 KMRX 201900

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

300 PM EDT MON OCT 20 2014



.DISCUSSION...

A COLD FRONT WILL BRING AN INCREASE IN CLOUDS AND JUST A 

SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN FOR NORTHEAST TENNESSEE AND SOUTHWEST 

VIRGINIA. WINDS TUESDAY MAY BE A LITTLE BREEZY FROM THE NORTHWEST AT 

10 TO 12 MPH. 





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-212000-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

300 PM EDT MON OCT 20 2014



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      42-47 (+9)   54-59 (-5)   37-42        50-55        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+5)  56-61 (+5)   95-100       52-57        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  6                      LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW  7        LGT/VAR      NW  5        

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           30           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1            1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING                             

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   8 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.03         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4600                      4300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 17                     NW 12        

DISPERSION                         38 FAIR                   22 FAIR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  7 G17                  NW  6        

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW  9 G17    NW  5        NW  6        



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. NORTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S.

NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.

NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT.

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO

LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-212000-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

300 PM EDT MON OCT 20 2014



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      40-45 (+4)   52-57 (-7)   36-41        48-53        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+7)  54-59 (+3)   87-92        46-51        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  8 G18                 NW  7        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW 10 G19    NW  6        NW  8 G15    

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           20           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1            1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING                             

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   8 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.02         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4700                      4300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 20                     NW 15        

DISPERSION                         32 FAIR                   18 GEN POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW 10 G23                 NW  9 G18    

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW 12 G24    NW  8 G16    NW 10 G19    



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S. NORTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 60S.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. NORTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID

50S TO LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S

TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S

TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-212000-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

300 PM EDT MON OCT 20 2014



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      39-44 (+3)   56-61 (-2)   35-40        52-57        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+10) 44-49 (-8)   81-86        40-45        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  5 G17                 N  5         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW  8 G17    NW  5        N  5         

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     10           0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                                   

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM                                                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING                                          

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5100                      4800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 15                     N 13         

DISPERSION                         24 FAIR                   18 GEN POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  7 G21                 N  7         

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW 10 G21    NW  7 G15    N  7         



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S. NORTH WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. NORTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 70S.

NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO LOWER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO

LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-212000-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

300 PM EDT MON OCT 20 2014



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      42-47 (+4)   60-65 (-3)   36-41        59-64        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+4)  44-49 (-4)   81-86        31-36        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   N  6         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW  7        N  5         N  6         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4900                      4700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 14                     N 15         

DISPERSION                         34 FAIR                   34 FAIR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  5 G16                 N  7         

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW  9 G16    N  7         N  8 G15     



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID TO UPPER 30S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. NORTH WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. NORTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO

LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

50S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-212000-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

300 PM EDT MON OCT 20 2014



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      40-45 (+3)   61-66 (-2)   36-41        61-66        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+3)  40-45 (-6)   80-85        28-33        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW  6        N  5         LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5200                      4900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 15                     N 12         

DISPERSION                         37 FAIR                   28 FAIR      

MAX LVORI                          4                         3            

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  5                     N  5         

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW  9 G16    N  7         N  6         



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. NORTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. NORTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. NORTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S.

NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S

TO LOWER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER

70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO

LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-212000-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

300 PM EDT MON OCT 20 2014



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      42-47 (+4)   59-64 (-4)   37-42        55-60        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+1)  47-52 (-3)   86-91        40-45        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  5                      LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW  7        LGT/VAR      NW  6        

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           20           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1            1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING                             

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   8 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.02         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4800                      4400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 15                     N  9         

DISPERSION                         44 GEN GOOD               24 FAIR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  6 G16                  NW  5        

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW  9 G17    NW  5        NW  7        



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID TO UPPER 30S.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S.

NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.

LIGHT WINDS. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 70S.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO

LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO

LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-212000-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

300 PM EDT MON OCT 20 2014



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      43-48 (+4)   60-65 (-3)   37-42        58-63        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+1)  45-50 (-5)   84-89        38-43        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW  6        LGT/VAR      N  5         

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                                   

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM                                                

PRECIP END            2 AM                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4700                      4400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 14                     N 12         

DISPERSION                         39 FAIR                   32 FAIR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  5                      LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW  8        N  5         N  6         



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. NORTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. NORTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S

TO LOWER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO

LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-212000-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

300 PM EDT MON OCT 20 2014



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      44-49 (+5)   63-68 (-3)   38-43        61-66        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+1)  41-46 (-6)   82-87        33-38        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  5                     N  6         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW  8        LGT/VAR      N  7         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4500                      4400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 15                     N 17         

DISPERSION                         44 GEN GOOD               47 GEN GOOD  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  6 G16                 N  7 G17     

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW 10 G19    N  5         N  9 G17     



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.

NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID

60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO

MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S

TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



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