

831 

FNUS54 KMRX 200809

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

409 AM EDT MON OCT 20 2014



.DISCUSSION...

HIGH PRESSURE WILL GIVE WAY TO A COLD FRONT EARLY TONIGHT...WITH

AN INCREASE IN CLOUDS AND JUST A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN FOR

NORTHEAST TENNESSEE AND SOUTHWESTERN VIRGINIA. A SLIGHT 

WARMING TREND WILL NUDGE TEMPERATURES CLOSE TO SEASONAL VALUES. 



VAZ001-002-005-006-008-210930-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

409 AM EDT MON OCT 20 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      59-64 (+5)   43-48 (+8)   55-60        

RH % (24H TREND)      43-48 (-1)   95-100 (+5)  55-60        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  5                     W  6         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  6        SW  5        NW  7        

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           30           30           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          5 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.03         0.04         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5500                      5300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 17                     NW 18        

DISPERSION            52 GEN GOOD               79 GOOD      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  6 G17                 W  7 G15     

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  8 G17    SW  6        NW  9 G18    



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S. NORTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID

60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO UPPER 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO

LOWER 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-210930-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

409 AM EDT MON OCT 20 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      58-63 (+5)   40-45 (+5)   54-59        

RH % (24H TREND)      42-47 (-1)   95-100 (+8)  49-54        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   W  7 G15     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NW  9 G18    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           20           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       8 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.02         0.03         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6200                      5400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 10                      NW 22        

DISPERSION            31 FAIR                   82 GOOD      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  5                     W  9 G19     

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  6         LGT/VAR      NW 12 G22    



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

40S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID TO UPPER 30S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO

UPPER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

50S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

50S TO LOWER 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-210930-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

409 AM EDT MON OCT 20 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      58-63 (+3)   39-44 (+4)   57-62        

RH % (24H TREND)      40-45 (+4)   95-100 (+10) 43-48        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   W  7         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  5         LGT/VAR      NW  8        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5800                      5400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 13                     NW 16        

DISPERSION            29 FAIR                   55 GEN GOOD  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  6 G15                 W  8 G18     

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  7 G15     W  6 G16     NW 10 G19    



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S.

NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 60S. NORTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. NORTHEAST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 60S.

NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO 60S.

NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID

50S TO LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S

TO LOWER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-210930-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

409 AM EDT MON OCT 20 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      63-68 (+3)   42-47 (+6)   62-67        

RH % (24H TREND)      40-45 (+3)   92-97 (-1)   41-46        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  6        LGT/VAR      NW  7        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5300                      5200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 13                     NW 15        

DISPERSION            33 FAIR                   53 GEN GOOD  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  5 G15                 W  6 G15     

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  7 G15    LGT/VAR      NW  9 G17    



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. NORTH

WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO 60S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 40. NORTHEAST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S.

NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID

50S TO LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

50S TO LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

50S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-210930-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

409 AM EDT MON OCT 20 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      63-68 (+2)   40-45 (+5)   63-68        

RH % (24H TREND)      36-41 (+3)   94-99 (0)    37-42        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   NW  5        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  5        LGT/VAR      NW  8        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5900                      5800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 10                     NW 16        

DISPERSION            32 FAIR                   63 GOOD      

MAX LVORI             4                         4            

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   NW  6 G16    

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  6        LGT/VAR      NW 10 G18    



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.

NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO 60S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER

40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S.

NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER

70S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S

TO LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO

LOWER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-210930-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

409 AM EDT MON OCT 20 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      63-68 (+5)   43-48 (+8)   60-65        

RH % (24H TREND)      41-46 (+1)   95-100 (+2)  46-51        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   W  6         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  5        LGT/VAR      NW  8        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           20           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       8 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.02         0.02         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5600                      5600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 15                     NW 17        

DISPERSION            54 GEN GOOD               79 GOOD      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  5 G16                 W  8 G16     

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  7 G17    LGT/VAR      NW 10 G17    



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS

NEAR 40. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER

40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S.

NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER

60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S

TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO

LOWER 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-210930-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

409 AM EDT MON OCT 20 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      63-68 (+4)   44-49 (+6)   62-67        

RH % (24H TREND)      43-48 (+1)   95-100 (0)   43-48        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  6        LGT/VAR      NW  6        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5200                      5400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 16                     NW 15        

DISPERSION            54 GEN GOOD               64 GOOD      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   W  5         

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  8 G15    SW  5        NW  9        



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.

NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO 60S. NORTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER

40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

50S TO LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER

60S TO MID 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER

60S TO MID 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-210930-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

409 AM EDT MON OCT 20 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      66-71 (+4)   44-49 (+5)   65-70        

RH % (24H TREND)      40-45 (0)    95-100 (0)   39-44        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  6        LGT/VAR      NW  6        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5000                      4800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 13                     NW 15        

DISPERSION            41 GEN GOOD               59 GEN GOOD  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   NW  5        

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  7        LGT/VAR      NW  8 G16    



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S.

NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. NORTH WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID

40S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S

TO LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S

TO MID 70S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S

TO MID 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TG/TD



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