

939 

FNUS54 KMRX 191904

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

304 PM EDT SUN OCT 19 2014



.DISCUSSION...

SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES TONIGHT...THEN A 

SLIGHT WARMING TREND THROUGH TUESDAY.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-202015-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

304 PM EDT SUN OCT 19 2014



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      35-40 (-3)   60-65 (+6)   43-48        56-61        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+3)  43-48 (-2)   95-100       53-58        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  6        LGT/VAR      NW  6        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            30           30           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    8 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.03         0.03         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5500                      6300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 18                     NW 18        

DISPERSION                         55 GEN GOOD               66 GOOD      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  6 G15                 W  6 G16     

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  8        LGT/VAR      NW  8 G16    



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S. NORTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID

60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO

LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-202015-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

304 PM EDT SUN OCT 19 2014



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      35-40 (0)    59-64 (+6)   40-45        54-59        

RH % (24H TREND)      93-98 (-2)   43-48 (-1)   95-100       49-54        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   NW  7 G17    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NW  9 G18    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           20           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    8 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.02         0.02         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6200                      6500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 12                      NW 21        

DISPERSION                         34 FAIR                   68 GOOD      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   NW  9 G21    

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W  5         LGT/VAR      NW 12 G23    



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID TO UPPER 30S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO

UPPER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO

LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-202015-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

304 PM EDT SUN OCT 19 2014



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      35-40 (-1)   58-63 (+3)   39-44        57-62        

RH % (24H TREND)      93-98 (+1)   42-47 (+6)   95-100       43-48        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   NW  5 G15    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W  5         LGT/VAR      N  7 G16     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            20           

PRECIP DURATION                                              1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                                                   8 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.01         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5800                      6100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 14                     NW 17        

DISPERSION                         32 FAIR                   42 GEN GOOD  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  5                     NW  6 G18    

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W  6         LGT/VAR      N  9 G20     



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S.

NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 60S.

NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. NORTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 60S.

NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO 60S.

NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID

50S TO LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID

50S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-202015-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

304 PM EDT SUN OCT 19 2014



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      36-41 (-3)   63-68 (+3)   42-47        62-67        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+4)  42-47 (+5)   95-100       41-46        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NW  6        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5300                      5700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 14                     NW 15        

DISPERSION                         37 FAIR                   46 GEN GOOD  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  5                     NW  5        

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  6        LGT/VAR      NW  8 G15    



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. NORTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S.

NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 40. NORTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID

50S TO LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER

60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-202015-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

304 PM EDT SUN OCT 19 2014



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      35-40 (-3)   63-68 (+2)   40-45        63-68        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+3)  38-43 (+5)   95-100       37-42        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NW  6        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5900                      6000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 12                     NW 16        

DISPERSION                         36 FAIR                   53 GEN GOOD  

MAX LVORI                          4                         4            

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   N  5         

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  5        LGT/VAR      NW  8        



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.

NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S.

NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER

40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING

LIGHT. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. NORTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER

70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S

TO LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER

60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-202015-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

304 PM EDT SUN OCT 19 2014



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      35-40 (-4)   64-69 (+6)   42-47        60-65        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+2)  41-46 (0)    95-100       46-51        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  5        LGT/VAR      NW  6        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           20           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    8 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.02         0.02         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5600                      6000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 16                     NW 17        

DISPERSION                         58 GEN GOOD               66 GOOD      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  5                     W  5 G15     

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  7        LGT/VAR      NW  8 G16    



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS

NEAR 40. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER

40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING

LIGHT. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S.

NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER

60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S

TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S

TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-202015-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

304 PM EDT SUN OCT 19 2014



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      38-43 (-2)   64-69 (+5)   44-49        62-67        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+2)  43-48 (+1)   95-100       43-48        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  5        LGT/VAR      NW  6        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            10           

PRECIP DURATION                                              1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                                                   8 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.01         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5200                      5600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 17                     NW 14        

DISPERSION                         58 GEN GOOD               54 GEN GOOD  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  6        LGT/VAR      NW  7        



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. NORTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO 60S. NORTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER

40S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 70S.

NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

50S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER

60S TO MID 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER

60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-202015-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

304 PM EDT SUN OCT 19 2014



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      39-44 (-2)   66-71 (+4)   44-49        65-70        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+5)  42-47 (+2)   95-100       39-44        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NW  7        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5000                      5200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 14                     NW 14        

DISPERSION                         45 GEN GOOD               49 GEN GOOD  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   NW  6 G15    

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  6        LGT/VAR      NW  9 G17    



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S.

NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. NORTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID

40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING

LIGHT. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S

TO LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S

TO MID 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S

TO MID 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



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