

301 

FNUS54 KMRX 191348

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

948 AM EDT SUN OCT 19 2014



.DISCUSSION...

DRY AND SLIGHTLY COOLER AIR WILL FLOW INTO THE REGION 

THIS AFTERNOON BEHIND PASSAGE OF AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE. EXPECT 

SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES FOR TODAY AND TONIGHT...THEN A 

SLIGHT WARMING TREND THROUGH TUESDAY.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-201500-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

948 AM EDT SUN OCT 19 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      54-59 (-3)   35-40 (-3)   60-65        

RH % (24H TREND)      39-44 (-12)  95-100 (+2)  40-45        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SW  5        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  7        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4000                      4800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW  8                     SW 15        

DISPERSION            15 GEN POOR               35 FAIR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SW  6 G16    

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  9 G16    



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER

50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN

THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO

LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER

50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID

50S TO UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-201500-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

948 AM EDT SUN OCT 19 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      53-58 (-3)   35-40 (0)    59-64        

RH % (24H TREND)      38-43 (-12)  92-97 (-2)   41-46        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  6                     LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W  5         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4000                      4600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 12                     SW  9        

DISPERSION            11 POOR                   15 GEN POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  7 G15                 SW  5        

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  5        LGT/VAR      W  6         



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO

UPPER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN

THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO

UPPER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID

50S TO UPPER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-201500-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

948 AM EDT SUN OCT 19 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      55-60 (-1)   35-40 (-1)   58-63        

RH % (24H TREND)      29-34 (-19)  91-96 (-2)   39-44        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SW  5        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W  6         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4300                      4500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N  8                      SW 12        

DISPERSION            8 POOR                    14 GEN POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NE  5                     SW  7 G15    

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W  7         



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S.

WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 40S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 60S.

NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 40S TO MID 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO 60S.

NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-201500-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

948 AM EDT SUN OCT 19 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      60-65 (-2)   36-41 (-3)   63-68        

RH % (24H TREND)      32-37 (-14)  95-100 (+4)  40-45        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SW  5        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  5        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3700                      3900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N 10                      SW 10        

DISPERSION            14 GEN POOR               16 GEN POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     N  5                      SW  6        

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  5         LGT/VAR      SW  7        



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 70S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S.

NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO

UPPER 60S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO

UPPER 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID

50S TO LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-201500-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

948 AM EDT SUN OCT 19 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      61-66 (-1)   35-40 (-3)   63-68        

RH % (24H TREND)      26-31 (-19)  95-100 (+4)  35-40        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  5        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4200                      4200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N  8                      SW  9        

DISPERSION            14 GEN POOR               14 GEN POOR  

MAX LVORI             6                         5            

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     N  5                      LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  6        



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.

NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S.

NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID

50S TO UPPER 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO UPPER 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-201500-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

948 AM EDT SUN OCT 19 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      58-63 (-2)   35-40 (-4)   64-69        

RH % (24H TREND)      37-42 (-12)  95-100 (+4)  39-44        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  6        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3400                      4000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N  6                      SW 13        

DISPERSION            9 POOR                    27 FAIR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SW  5 G16    

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  8 G17    



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO

60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN

THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER

60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S

TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-201500-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

948 AM EDT SUN OCT 19 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      59-64 (-2)   37-42 (-3)   64-69        

RH % (24H TREND)      38-43 (-10)  95-100 (+4)  42-47        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  6        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3300                      3900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NE  7                     SW 13        

DISPERSION            12 POOR                   29 FAIR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  8 G15    



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S.

NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S.

NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID

50S TO LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

50S TO LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S

TO LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-201500-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

948 AM EDT SUN OCT 19 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      62-67 (-2)   39-44 (-2)   66-71        

RH % (24H TREND)      37-42 (-6)   95-100 (+8)  40-45        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  5        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3200                      3500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NE  9                     SW 12        

DISPERSION            17 GEN POOR               22 FAIR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NE  5                     LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  7        



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S.

NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. NORTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S

TO LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S

TO LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S

TO LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



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