

111 

FNUS54 KMRX 190116

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

916 PM EDT SAT OCT 18 2014



.DISCUSSION...

ANOTHER SHOT OF COOLER AIR WILL BE MOVING INTO THE AREA 

TONIGHT WITH AN INCOMING UPPER LEVEL TROUGH. SOME SHOWERS ARE 

POSSIBLE ACROSS NORTHEAST TENNESSEE AND SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA LATE 

TONIGHT. THEN....DRY AND SUNNY AREA WIDE FOR SUNDAY.  





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-200230-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

916 PM EDT SAT OCT 18 2014



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      36-41 (-15)  55-60 (-2)   34-39        61-66        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+13) 40-45 (-12)  95-100       40-45        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  7        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  5        

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                                   

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM                                                

PRECIP END            5 AM                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4000                      4800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW  8                     SW 14        

DISPERSION                         15 GEN POOR               32 FAIR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SW  5        

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  9 G18    LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  7        



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER

50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN

THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO

LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO UPPER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-200230-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

916 PM EDT SAT OCT 18 2014



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      33-38 (-22)  53-58 (-3)   34-39        59-64        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+16) 39-44 (-12)  95-100       40-45        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  6                     LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  9 G19    LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  6        

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                                   

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM                                                

PRECIP END            5 AM                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.05         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4000                      4600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 12                     SW  9        

DISPERSION                         11 POOR                   14 GEN POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  7 G16                 S  5         

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 12 G24    NW  5        LGT/VAR      SW  8 G16    



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO

UPPER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN

THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID

50S TO UPPER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-200230-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

916 PM EDT SAT OCT 18 2014



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      35-40 (-17)  55-60 (-1)   35-40        59-64        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+14) 30-35 (-20)  95-100       38-43        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  8 G19    LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  6        

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                                   

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM                                                

PRECIP END            5 AM                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4300                      4500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N  8                      SW 12        

DISPERSION                         8 POOR                    13 GEN POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N  5                      SW  5 G15    

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 10 G24    LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  8 G18    



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST LESS THAN 10 MPH

AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

MID 40S TO UPPER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 60S.

NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 40S TO MID 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID

50S TO LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-200230-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

916 PM EDT SAT OCT 18 2014



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      37-42 (-17)  60-65 (-2)   36-41        64-69        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+10) 33-38 (-15)  95-100       39-44        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N  5                      LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  7 G17     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  5        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3700                      3900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 10                      SW 10        

DISPERSION                         14 GEN POOR               15 GEN POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N  6                      LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  9 G21     N  5         LGT/VAR      SW  6        



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE 40S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S.

NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID

50S TO UPPER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

50S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-200230-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

916 PM EDT SAT OCT 18 2014



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      36-41 (-14)  61-66 (-1)   35-40        65-70        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+4)  27-32 (-19)  95-100       34-39        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  8 G17    LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  5        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4200                      4200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N  8                      SW  8        

DISPERSION                         14 GEN POOR               14 GEN POOR  

MAX LVORI                          4                         6            

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N  5                      LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 10 G21    LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  6        



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S.

NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO 60S. NORTHEAST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO

UPPER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

50S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S

TO LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-200230-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

916 PM EDT SAT OCT 18 2014



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      38-43 (-16)  58-63 (-2)   34-39        64-69        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+14) 37-42 (-13)  95-100       38-43        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  6        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  5        

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                                   

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM                                                

PRECIP END            5 AM                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3400                      4000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N  6                      SW 12        

DISPERSION                         9 POOR                    24 FAIR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  8 G17    LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  7        



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

40S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO

60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN

THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S

TO MID 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO UPPER 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO UPPER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-200230-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

916 PM EDT SAT OCT 18 2014



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      37-42 (-15)  59-64 (-2)   37-42        64-69        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+11) 38-43 (-11)  95-100       41-46        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  6         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  5        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            10           

PRECIP DURATION                                              1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 2 PM         

PRECIP END                                                   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.01         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3300                      3900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NE  7                     SW 12        

DISPERSION                         12 POOR                   26 FAIR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  8 G16     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  6        



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE 40S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO 60S. NORTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID

50S TO LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

50S TO LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER

60S TO MID 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-200230-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

916 PM EDT SAT OCT 18 2014



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      38-43 (-15)  61-66 (-3)   39-44        66-71        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+14) 39-44 (-5)   95-100       39-44        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  6 G15     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3200                      3500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NE  9                     SW 10        

DISPERSION                         17 GEN POOR               21 FAIR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NE  5                     LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  8 G18     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  6        



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.

LIGHT WINDS. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S.

NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. NORTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO

LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S

TO MID 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



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