

692 

FNUS54 KMRX 180831

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

431 AM EDT SAT OCT 18 2014



.DISCUSSION...

COOLER WEATHER WILL BE MOVING INTO THE AREA TODAY...AND 

WILL CONTINUE INTO NEXT WEEK.  SOME SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE IN 

NORTHEAST TENNESSEE AND SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA LATE THIS AFTENOON AND 

TONIGHT...THEN IT SHOULD BE DRY AND SUNNY AREA WIDE FOR SUNDAY.  



VAZ001-002-005-006-008-190945-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

431 AM EDT SAT OCT 18 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      59-64 (-9)   38-43 (-13)  56-61        

RH % (24H TREND)      48-53 (+2)   95-100 (+5)  33-38        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  6                      LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  8        NW  6        LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           20           0            

PRECIP DURATION       1            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          2 PM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   2 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.02         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5000                      4900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 17                     NW  8        

DISPERSION            44 GEN GOOD               18 GEN POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  8 G17                  LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 10 G17    NW  7 G17    LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.

LIGHT WINDS. 

.MONDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO

LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID

50S TO UPPER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-190945-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

431 AM EDT SAT OCT 18 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      56-61 (-11)  35-40 (-20)  55-60        

RH % (24H TREND)      49-54 (+8)   95-100 (+12) 31-36        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  8 G16                 NW  6        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 10 G17    NW 10 G19    LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           30           0            

PRECIP DURATION       1            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          2 PM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   2 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.02         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4900                      4800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 21                     NW 12        

DISPERSION            37 FAIR                   19 GEN POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW 10 G20                 NW  7 G16    

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 12 G21    NW 12 G24    LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S

TO UPPER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-190945-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

431 AM EDT SAT OCT 18 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      56-61 (-12)  36-41 (-16)  57-62        

RH % (24H TREND)      45-50 (+9)   95-100 (+12) 21-26        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  6                     NE  5        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  8        N  6 G15     LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           20           0            

PRECIP DURATION       1            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          2 PM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   2 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.01         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5600                      4700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 17                     NE 10        

DISPERSION            35 FAIR                   11 POOR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  8 G17                 NE  6        

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 10 G19    N  8 G19     LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

MID 40S TO UPPER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE

MID 40S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 40S TO MID 60S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO 60S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-190945-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

431 AM EDT SAT OCT 18 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      61-66 (-12)  38-43 (-16)  61-66        

RH % (24H TREND)      41-46 (+6)   95-100 (+10) 26-31        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  5                     N  5         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  7        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5400                      4300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 16                     N  9         

DISPERSION            47 GEN GOOD               18 GEN POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  7 G15                 N  6         

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 10 G18    N  5 G16     N  5         



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO 60S. NORTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID

50S TO UPPER 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID

50S TO LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-190945-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

431 AM EDT SAT OCT 18 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      61-66 (-13)  37-42 (-13)  62-67        

RH % (24H TREND)      39-44 (+7)   95-100 (+3)  21-26        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  6                     LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  8        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5600                      4900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 18                     N  7         

DISPERSION            54 GEN GOOD               16 GEN POOR  

MAX LVORI             4                         4            

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  8 G16                 N  5         

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 10 G18    N  5 G16     LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. WEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO

UPPER 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

50S TO LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-190945-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

431 AM EDT SAT OCT 18 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      60-65 (-11)  39-44 (-15)  59-64        

RH % (24H TREND)      48-53 (+7)   95-100 (+6)  31-36        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  6                      LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  8         NW  5        LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           0            

PRECIP DURATION                    1                         

PRECIP BEGIN                       CONTINUING                

PRECIP END                         2 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4900                      4400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 17                      N  6         

DISPERSION            50 GEN GOOD               15 GEN POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  7 G17                  LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 11 G18     NW  7 G16    LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. EAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO

60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND

40. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S

TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO UPPER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-190945-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

431 AM EDT SAT OCT 18 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      61-66 (-10)  38-43 (-14)  60-65        

RH % (24H TREND)      45-50 (+2)   95-100 (+9)  34-39        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  7        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4800                      4000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 14                     NE  8        

DISPERSION            43 GEN GOOD               18 GEN POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  6                     NE  5        

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  9 G16    LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS NEAR 40. LIGHT WINDS BECOMING

SOUTHEAST LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

50S TO UPPER 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE

50S TO 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID

50S TO UPPER 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

50S TO LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-190945-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

431 AM EDT SAT OCT 18 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      63-68 (-10)  39-44 (-14)  62-67        

RH % (24H TREND)      42-47 (+2)   95-100 (+9)  33-38        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  5                     NE  5        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  8        N  5         LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4600                      3600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 16                     NE 12        

DISPERSION            47 GEN GOOD               23 FAIR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  6                     NE  6        

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 10 G18    N  6 G15     LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.

LIGHT WINDS BECOMING EAST LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.

WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO UPPER 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO UPPER 60S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO

LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 



$$



