

987 

FNUS54 KMRX 171836

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

236 PM EDT FRI OCT 17 2014



.DISCUSSION...

A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE REGION EARLY 

SATURDAY...WITH COOLER TEMPERATURES FOR THE WEEKEND.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-181945-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

236 PM EDT FRI OCT 17 2014



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      46-51 (+5)   56-61 (-12)  36-41        56-61        

RH % (24H TREND)      93-98 (-2)   53-58 (+7)   95-100       31-36        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  6                      LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  6         NW  8        NW  6        LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           20           0            

PRECIP DURATION                    1            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN                       2 PM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   2 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.02         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6000                      4900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 20                     N  7         

DISPERSION                         66 GOOD                   17 GEN POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  8 G17                  LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  7         NW 10 G17    NW  7 G17    LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.

LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.MONDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER

50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER

60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-181945-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

236 PM EDT FRI OCT 17 2014



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      46-51 (+6)   55-60 (-12)  35-40        54-59        

RH % (24H TREND)      85-90 (-7)   49-54 (+9)   95-100       29-34        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  8 G16                 NW  6        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  8 G17     NW 10 G17    NW 10 G19    NW  5        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           20           0            

PRECIP DURATION                    1            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN                       2 PM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   2 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.01         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6100                      4800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 23                     N 10         

DISPERSION                         66 GOOD                   18 GEN POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW 10 G20                 NW  8 G16    

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 10 G21     NW 12 G21    NW 12 G24    NW  6        



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.

LIGHT WINDS. 

.MONDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 30S

TO UPPER 40S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO

UPPER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID

50S TO UPPER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-181945-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

236 PM EDT FRI OCT 17 2014



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      44-49 (+5)   56-61 (-12)  36-41        57-62        

RH % (24H TREND)      87-92 (-4)   47-52 (+12)  95-100       17-22        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  6                     N  5         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  9 G18     NW  8        N  6 G15     N  5         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5800                      4700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 17                     NE 10        

DISPERSION                         39 FAIR                   11 POOR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  8 G17                 N  6         

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 11 G22     NW 10 G19    N  8 G19     N  6         



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.

LIGHT WINDS. 

.MONDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 30S

TO UPPER 40S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S

TO UPPER 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S

TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S

TO MID 60S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-181945-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

236 PM EDT FRI OCT 17 2014



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      44-49 (+4)   61-66 (-12)  38-43        62-67        

RH % (24H TREND)      89-94 (-2)   41-46 (+6)   95-100       21-26        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  5                     LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  6        NW  7        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5300                      4600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 16                     N  8         

DISPERSION                         44 GEN GOOD               16 GEN POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  7 G15                 N  5         

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  8 G16    NW 10 G18    N  5 G16     NW  5        



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.

LIGHT WINDS. 

.MONDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

40S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO

60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID

50S TO LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-181945-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

236 PM EDT FRI OCT 17 2014



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      43-48 (+3)   61-66 (-13)  37-42        64-69        

RH % (24H TREND)      90-95 (-1)   39-44 (+7)   95-100       16-21        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  6                     LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  6         NW  8        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5500                      5300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 17                     N  5         

DISPERSION                         48 GEN GOOD               13 GEN POOR  

MAX LVORI                          4                         6            

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  8 G16                 LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  7 G15     NW 10 G18    N  5 G16     LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.

LIGHT WINDS. 

.MONDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 30S

TO UPPER 40S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S

TO MID 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID

50S TO UPPER 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO

LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-181945-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

236 PM EDT FRI OCT 17 2014



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      47-52 (+5)   59-64 (-12)  37-42        59-64        

RH % (24H TREND)      91-96 (-4)   50-55 (+10)  95-100       29-34        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  6                      LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  5         W  8         NW  5        LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           0            

PRECIP DURATION                                 1                         

PRECIP BEGIN                                    CONTINUING                

PRECIP END                                      2 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.01         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5900                      4400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 18                      N  6         

DISPERSION                         70 GOOD                   14 GEN POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  7 G17                  LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  6         W 11 G18     NW  7 G16    LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. LIGHT

WINDS. 

.MONDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

40S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO

60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO

LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO UPPER 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-181945-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

236 PM EDT FRI OCT 17 2014



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      46-51 (+4)   60-65 (-11)  37-42        61-66        

RH % (24H TREND)      91-96 (-3)   47-52 (+4)   95-100       32-37        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  5         NW  7        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5500                      4100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 15                     NE  7        

DISPERSION                         55 GEN GOOD               18 GEN POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  6                     LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  6         NW  9 G16    LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS NEAR 40. LIGHT WINDS. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

40S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO

UPPER 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE

50S TO 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID

50S TO UPPER 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

50S TO LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-181945-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

236 PM EDT FRI OCT 17 2014



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      47-52 (+6)   63-68 (-10)  39-44        62-67        

RH % (24H TREND)      89-94 (-4)   43-48 (+2)   95-100       32-37        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  5                     N  5         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW  8        N  5         LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5100                      4000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 16                     NE 10        

DISPERSION                         54 GEN GOOD               26 FAIR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  6                     N  6         

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  5         NW 10 G18    N  6 G15     LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.

LIGHT WINDS. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID

40S TO LOWER 50S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE

50S TO UPPER 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO UPPER 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO

LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



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