

242 

FNUS54 KMRX 171341

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

941 AM EDT FRI OCT 17 2014



.DISCUSSION...

THE WEATHER WILL BE DRY TODAY...AND MOSTLY DRY THROUGH 

THE WEEKEND.  A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE REGION THIS 

EVENING...WITH COOLER TEMPERATURES FOR THE WEEKEND.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-181445-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

941 AM EDT FRI OCT 17 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      68-73 (+16)  47-52 (+6)   57-62        

RH % (24H TREND)      39-44 (-22)  92-97 (-5)   52-57        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  5                     W  6         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  8        W  7         NW  8        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    2 PM         

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.02         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5500                      3700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 22                     W 16         

DISPERSION            65 GOOD                   23 FAIR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  7 G16                 W  9 G17     

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 11 G19    W  8 G17     NW 10 G18    



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS

IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

50S TO 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.

HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID

40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-181445-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

941 AM EDT FRI OCT 17 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      67-72 (+17)  46-51 (+6)   55-60        

RH % (24H TREND)      32-37 (-28)  83-88 (-13)  48-53        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  5                      NW  9 G17    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  8 G16     W  9 G20     NW 10 G20    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    2 PM         

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.01         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6600                      4000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 21                      NW 20        

DISPERSION            72 GOOD                   20 GEN POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  6                      NW 10 G21    

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 10 G20     W 12 G25     NW 13 G25    



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS

IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

40S TO UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS

5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS

5 TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID

40S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-181445-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

941 AM EDT FRI OCT 17 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      68-73 (+20)  44-49 (+5)   56-61        

RH % (24H TREND)      27-32 (-28)  85-90 (-10)  45-50        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  5                     NW  6        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 10 G20    W 10 G22     NW  8 G19    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6400                      4300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 22                      NW 16        

DISPERSION            63 GOOD                   15 GEN POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  7 G17                 NW  8 G18    

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 12 G25    W 14 G28     NW 11 G24    



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER

40S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.

SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

40S TO UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO

LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO

LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-181445-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

941 AM EDT FRI OCT 17 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      73-78 (+21)  44-49 (+4)   61-66        

RH % (24H TREND)      30-35 (-23)  89-94 (-5)   41-46        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   NW  6        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  8        SW  7 G15    NW  8 G16    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6400                      3700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 18                      NW 14        

DISPERSION            69 GOOD                   19 GEN POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  5                      NW  7 G17    

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 10 G19    SW  9 G18    NW 10 G20    



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS NEAR 40. NORTH WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. NORTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS NEAR 40. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. WEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 40S TO MID 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 40S TO MID 60S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-181445-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

941 AM EDT FRI OCT 17 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      74-79 (+21)  43-48 (+3)   61-66        

RH % (24H TREND)      25-30 (-27)  90-95 (-3)   39-44        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   NW  7        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  7        W  7         NW  8 G15    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    7400                      3800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 18                      NW 14        

DISPERSION            81 GOOD                   17 GEN POOR  

MAX LVORI             4                         4            

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   NW  9 G18    

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  9 G17    W  8 G18     NW 11 G19    



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 40. NORTH WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST EARLY IN THE

AFTERNOON. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 40. SOUTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. WEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID

50S TO UPPER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-181445-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

941 AM EDT FRI OCT 17 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      71-76 (+16)  48-53 (+6)   60-65        

RH % (24H TREND)      35-40 (-23)  89-94 (-8)   49-54        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   W  6         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  8        W  6         W  9 G16     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4800                      3600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 18                     W 14         

DISPERSION            55 GEN GOOD               26 FAIR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  5                     W  8 G17     

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 11 G18    W  8 G16     W 11 G20     



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER

40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.

EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-181445-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

941 AM EDT FRI OCT 17 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      71-76 (+16)  46-51 (+4)   61-66        

RH % (24H TREND)      38-43 (-17)  90-95 (-6)   45-50        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  5                     NW  5        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  8        W  6         NW  7        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4200                      3500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 20                     NW 13        

DISPERSION            50 GEN GOOD               24 FAIR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  6 G15                 NW  6        

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 10 G18    W  7 G16     NW  9 G17    



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID

40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. NORTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS NEAR 40. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-181445-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

941 AM EDT FRI OCT 17 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      73-78 (+19)  47-52 (+6)   63-68        

RH % (24H TREND)      36-41 (-19)  89-94 (-7)   42-47        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   NW  5        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  8        W  5         NW  7        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4600                      3400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 20                     NW 16        

DISPERSION            56 GEN GOOD               30 FAIR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  5                     NW  6 G15    

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 10 G18    W  6         NW  9 G18    



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID

40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 40S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. WEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S.

NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE

50S TO UPPER 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO UPPER 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



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