

972 

FNUS54 KMRX 161850

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

250 PM EDT THU OCT 16 2014



.DISCUSSION...

HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD INTO THE AREA TONIGHT LEADING 

TO DRIER CONDITIONS FOR THE WEEKEND. TEMPERATURES WILL BE NEAR 

NORMAL.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-172000-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

250 PM EDT THU OCT 16 2014



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      39-44 (-5)   67-72 (+11)  47-52        56-61        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (0)   47-52 (-18)  94-99        51-56        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   W  6 G15     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  7        W  5         NW  7        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            20           

PRECIP DURATION                                              1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 8 AM         

PRECIP END                                                   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.03         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4000                      3700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 20                     W 15         

DISPERSION                         32 FAIR                   22 FAIR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  5                     W  8 G18     

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  9 G17    W  6         NW  9 G18    



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS

IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.

LIGHT WINDS. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-172000-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

250 PM EDT THU OCT 16 2014



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      37-42 (-6)   66-71 (+12)  46-51        56-61        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (0)   44-49 (-22)  91-96        46-51        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   NW 10 G21    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W  7         W  5         NW 11 G21    

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            20           

PRECIP DURATION                                              1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 8 AM         

PRECIP END                                                   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.02         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4700                      4000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 16                      NW 20        

DISPERSION                         27 FAIR                   20 GEN POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  5                      NW 13 G27    

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  5         W  9 G17     W  7 G16     NW 14 G27    



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS

IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.

LIGHT WINDS. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

50S TO 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS

5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-172000-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

250 PM EDT THU OCT 16 2014



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      37-42 (-7)   67-72 (+11)  44-49        57-62        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (0)   47-52 (-15)  94-99        41-46        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  5                     NW  8 G20    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  8 G15    LGT/VAR      NW  9 G20    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4300                      4300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 18                     NW 17        

DISPERSION                         17 GEN POOR               16 GEN POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  6 G17                 NW 10 G25    

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW 10 G19    W  5         NW 12 G25    



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER

40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.

LIGHT WINDS. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

40S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID

40S TO UPPER 60S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO

MID 60S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID

60S. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-172000-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

250 PM EDT THU OCT 16 2014



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      40-45 (-5)   71-76 (+12)  44-49        63-68        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (0)   47-52 (-12)  95-100       39-44        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   NW  5        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  6        LGT/VAR      NW  7        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3500                      3700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 14                     NW 15        

DISPERSION                         17 GEN POOR               20 GEN POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   NW  7 G18    

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  8 G16    LGT/VAR      NW  9 G18    



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS NEAR 40. NORTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. NORTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS NEAR 40. LIGHT WINDS. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 70S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID

50S TO UPPER 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE

MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID

50S TO UPPER 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-172000-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

250 PM EDT THU OCT 16 2014



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      39-44 (-4)   72-77 (+15)  43-48        64-69        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (0)   45-50 (-14)  95-100       35-40        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   NW  5        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W  5         LGT/VAR      NW  7        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4100                      3800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 13                      NW 15        

DISPERSION                         20 GEN POOR               19 GEN POOR  

MAX LVORI                          5                         5            

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   NW  7 G18    

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W  7         LGT/VAR      NW  9 G18    



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 40. NORTH WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 40. LIGHT WINDS. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S.

WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

50S TO LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

50S TO UPPER 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-172000-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

250 PM EDT THU OCT 16 2014



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      40-45 (-5)   69-74 (+11)  47-52        61-66        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (0)   47-52 (-16)  95-100       47-52        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   NW  5 G15    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  7        LGT/VAR      NW  7        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            10           

PRECIP DURATION                                              1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 8 AM         

PRECIP END                                                   8 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.01         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3500                      3600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 17                     NW 14        

DISPERSION                         30 FAIR                   26 FAIR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   NW  7 G18    

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  9 G18    LGT/VAR      NW  9 G18    



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER

40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.

LIGHT WINDS. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO MID 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-172000-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

250 PM EDT THU OCT 16 2014



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      40-45 (-6)   70-75 (+10)  47-52        62-67        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (0)   49-54 (-11)  95-100       44-49        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  7        LGT/VAR      NW  6        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3300                      3500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 17                     NW 13        

DISPERSION                         30 FAIR                   25 FAIR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   NW  6 G15    

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  8 G18    LGT/VAR      NW  8 G15    



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS NEAR 40. NORTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. NORTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS NEAR 40. LIGHT WINDS. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO UPPER 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE

MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID

50S TO UPPER 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-172000-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

250 PM EDT THU OCT 16 2014



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      42-47 (-5)   71-76 (+11)  47-52        63-68        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (0)   51-56 (-9)   93-98        41-46        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   NW  6        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  7        LGT/VAR      NW  8 G16    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3000                      3400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 16                     NW 16        

DISPERSION                         27 FAIR                   31 FAIR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  5                     NW  8 G17    

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  9 G16    LGT/VAR      NW 11 G20    



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID

40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 40S.

LIGHT WINDS. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. WEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S

TO LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE

60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE

60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



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