

279 

FNUS54 KMRX 160849

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

449 AM EDT THU OCT 16 2014



.DISCUSSION...

SCATTERED LIGHT RAIN SHOWERS AND SPRINKLES WILL LINGER 

ACROSS THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN REGION THIS MORNING.  CONDITIONS 

WILL IMPROVE FROM SOUTH TO NORTH THIS AFTERNOON.  THEN...HIGH 

PRESSURE BUILDS IN..PROVIDING DRY CONDITIONS FOR THE REST OF THE 

WEEK. 





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-171000-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

449 AM EDT THU OCT 16 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      56-61 (-2)   39-44 (-5)   67-72        

RH % (24H TREND)      66-71 (+4)   95-100 (+1)  38-43        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  5                     LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  6         LGT/VAR      SW  7 G15    

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM                                   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING                             

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.12         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4700                      3700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 16                      SW 20        

DISPERSION            36 FAIR                   27 FAIR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  6                     SW  5 G15    

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  7         SW  5        SW  9 G19    



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 50. WEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 60S. WEST

WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO

LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-171000-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

449 AM EDT THU OCT 16 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      54-59 (-4)   37-42 (-6)   66-71        

RH % (24H TREND)      67-72 (+6)   95-100 (+1)  34-39        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  5                      W  5         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  7         W  5         W  8 G15     

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM                                   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING                             

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.13         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4800                      3800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 16                      W 20         

DISPERSION            28 FAIR                   17 GEN POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  6                      W  6         

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  8 G16     W  7         W 10 G19     



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.

WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO 60S. NORTHWEST

WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO

LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 60S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 40S

TO UPPER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-171000-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

449 AM EDT THU OCT 16 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      56-61 (+5)   37-42 (-7)   67-72        

RH % (24H TREND)      63-68 (-2)   95-100 (+1)  34-39        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  6                      SW  6        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  6         LGT/VAR      SW  9 G18    

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM                                   

PRECIP END            8 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.09         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4900                      4100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 16                      SW 22        

DISPERSION            24 FAIR                   19 GEN POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  7 G15                  SW  7 G17    

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  7         W  6         SW 11 G22    



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.

WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 70S.

NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO

LOWER 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 40S

TO UPPER 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO

MID 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-171000-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

449 AM EDT THU OCT 16 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      59-64 (+3)   40-45 (-5)   71-76        

RH % (24H TREND)      59-64 (-5)   95-100 (+3)  31-36        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  5         LGT/VAR      SW  7        

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM                                   

PRECIP END            4 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4800                      3900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 13                      SW 18        

DISPERSION            30 FAIR                   29 FAIR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  5                      S  5         

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  6         LGT/VAR      SW  8 G16    



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.

WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 70S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS NEAR 40. NORTHEAST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID

50S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID

50S TO LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE

MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-171000-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

449 AM EDT THU OCT 16 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      57-62 (+1)   39-44 (-4)   72-77        

RH % (24H TREND)      59-64 (-5)   95-100 (+3)  28-33        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  6        LGT/VAR      W  5         

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM                                   

PRECIP END            4 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.06         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5000                      4000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 13                      W 18         

DISPERSION            30 FAIR                   27 FAIR      

MAX LVORI             4                         4            

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  5                      LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  7        LGT/VAR      W  7         



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 40. NORTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

50S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

50S TO LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S

TO UPPER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-171000-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

449 AM EDT THU OCT 16 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      58-63 (-3)   40-45 (-5)   69-74        

RH % (24H TREND)      63-68 (+1)   95-100 (+1)  36-41        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  5                     LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  6        LGT/VAR      SW  8 G15    

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM                                   

PRECIP END            8 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.11         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4500                      3400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 15                      SW 20        

DISPERSION            40 FAIR                   31 FAIR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  6                     LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  7        LGT/VAR      SW 10 G19    



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.

WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 70S. WEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO

LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID

50S TO UPPER 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-171000-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

449 AM EDT THU OCT 16 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      60-65 (+3)   40-45 (-6)   70-75        

RH % (24H TREND)      61-66 (-2)   95-100 (+2)  38-43        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  5         LGT/VAR      SW  7        

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM                                   

PRECIP END            4 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.05         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4400                      3500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 13                      SW 21        

DISPERSION            35 FAIR                   40 FAIR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  6                      S  5         

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  6         LGT/VAR      SW  9 G18    



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.

WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS NEAR 40. NORTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

50S TO LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE

MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-171000-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

449 AM EDT THU OCT 16 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      61-66 (+5)   42-47 (-5)   71-76        

RH % (24H TREND)      57-62 (-4)   95-100 (+3)  38-43        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  5         LGT/VAR      SW  7        

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM                                   

PRECIP END            12 PM                                  

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4400                      3500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 13                      SW 21        

DISPERSION            36 FAIR                   41 GEN GOOD  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  5                      SW  5        

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  6         LGT/VAR      SW  9 G17    



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S.

WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO

MID 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S

TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO

LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE

60S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



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