

144 

FNUS54 KMRX 130748

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

348 AM EDT MON OCT 13 2014



.DISCUSSION...

TODAY WILL BE DRIER BEFORE A STRONG LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM 

MOVES INTO THE REGION TONIGHT AND TUESDAY...BRINGING ANOTHER ROUND 

OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.   





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-140900-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

348 AM EDT MON OCT 13 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      73-78 (+9)   58-63 (+4)   72-77        

RH % (24H TREND)      52-57 (-21)  91-96 (-6)   55-60        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE  5                     S 14 G27     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  9         SE  9 G21    SE 14 G28    

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           20           70           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            2            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         2 AM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            12 PM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.02         0.26         

LAL                   1            3            3            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4600                      4500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 16                      S 33         

DISPERSION            37 FAIR                   72 GOOD      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE  6 G16                 S 18 G34     

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 11 G19     SE 11 G27    SE 17 G35    



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE

MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 60S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS

IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID

50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-140900-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

348 AM EDT MON OCT 13 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      70-75 (+10)  56-61 (+4)   69-74        

RH % (24H TREND)      51-56 (-26)  93-98 (-4)   59-64        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE  6 G17                 SE 18 G34    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 10 G22     SE 15 G32    SE 18 G36    

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           30           70           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            3            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         11 PM        CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            12 PM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.07         0.41         

LAL                   1            3            3            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4700                      5500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 17                      SE 40        

DISPERSION            30 FAIR                   93 GOOD      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE  8 G21                 SE 23 G43    

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 13 G28     SE 19 G40    SE 23 G45    



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE

50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS

IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO

MID 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO UPPER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID

50S TO UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-140900-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

348 AM EDT MON OCT 13 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      69-74 (+4)   56-61 (+1)   68-73        

RH % (24H TREND)      52-57 (-19)  95-100 (-1)  62-67        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  9 G20                  S 20 G39     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 12 G27     SE 18 G36    S 18 G36     

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           50           90           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            7            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         11 PM        CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            12 PM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.15         0.69         

LAL                   1            3            3            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5100                      4200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 21                      S 43         

DISPERSION            39 FAIR                   35 FAIR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S 11 G26                  S 25 G49     

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 15 G34     SE 23 G45    S 23 G46     



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS

IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER

50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S

TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-140900-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

348 AM EDT MON OCT 13 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      73-78 (+3)   59-64 (+1)   71-76        

RH % (24H TREND)      51-56 (-13)  94-99 (+3)   61-66        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  6 G18                  SE 15 G28    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE 11 G23    SE 14 G27    S 14 G29     

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           70           100          

PRECIP DURATION       1            2            8            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         8 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            12 PM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.23         1.39         

LAL                   1            3            3            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3800                      2500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE 20                     S 35         

DISPERSION            31 FAIR                   13 GEN POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  8 G22                  SE 18 G35    

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE 14 G28    SE 18 G34    S 18 G36     



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH DECREASING TO LESS THAN

10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

50S TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S

TO LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

50S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-140900-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

348 AM EDT MON OCT 13 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      73-78 (+2)   58-63 (+1)   72-77        

RH % (24H TREND)      52-57 (-11)  95-100 (+5)  62-67        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SE 13 G25    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  9 G18    SE 12 G22    S 12 G24     

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           70           100          

PRECIP DURATION       1            2            8            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         8 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            12 PM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.25         1.27         

LAL                   1            3            3            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4600                      2800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE 18                     SE 30        

DISPERSION            38 FAIR                   13 GEN POOR  

MAX LVORI             4                         6            

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  5 G18                  SE 17 G32    

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE 11 G23    SE 15 G28    S 15 G30     



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S

TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S

TO LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO

UPPER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-140900-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

348 AM EDT MON OCT 13 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      76-81 (+9)   58-63 (+3)   73-78        

RH % (24H TREND)      45-50 (-24)  90-95 (-7)   56-61        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SE 13 G26    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  9 G16     SE  8 G20    S 13 G26     

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           20           80           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            5            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         11 PM        CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            12 PM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.05         0.32         

LAL                   1            3            3            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4100                      3500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 16                      S 31         

DISPERSION            34 FAIR                   55 GEN GOOD  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE  6 G17                 SE 17 G32    

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 11 G20     SE 10 G25    S 17 G33     



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 60S.

WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS

IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN

THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S

TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID

60S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO

UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-140900-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

348 AM EDT MON OCT 13 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      75-80 (+4)   60-65 (+1)   71-76        

RH % (24H TREND)      51-56 (-14)  90-95 (-5)   62-67        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE  5 G15                 SE 10 G21    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  9 G17     SE  8 G17    S 10 G20     

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           60           90           

PRECIP DURATION       1            2            8            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.15         1.02         

LAL                   2            3            3            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4600                      2900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 17                      S 23         

DISPERSION            57 GEN GOOD               32 FAIR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE  6 G19                 SE 13 G26    

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 12 G22     SE  9 G22    S 12 G26     



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT

CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID

60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-140900-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

348 AM EDT MON OCT 13 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      75-80 (+1)   63-68 (+4)   71-76        

RH % (24H TREND)      52-57 (-10)  89-94 (-5)   62-67        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  6 G17                  SE 13 G24    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE 10 G18    SE  9 G17    S  9 G22     

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           80           100          

PRECIP DURATION       1            5            7            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.42         1.40         

LAL                   2            3            3            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4000                      2800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 20                      S 23         

DISPERSION            54 GEN GOOD               32 FAIR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  8 G21                  SE 16 G30    

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE 13 G23    SE 11 G22    S 12 G28     



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 60S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS

IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S

TO UPPER 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS NEAR 70.

NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S

TO LOWER 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



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