

799 

FNUS54 KMRX 120725

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

325 AM EDT SUN OCT 12 2014



.DISCUSSION...

THE ATMOSPHERE WILL REMAIN RATHER MOIST TODAY INTO 

MONDAY. A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE AREA ON TUESDAY.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-130830-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

325 AM EDT SUN OCT 12 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      66-71 (+3)   53-58 (+2)   74-79        

RH % (24H TREND)      69-74 (-10)  95-100 (0)   48-53        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S  6         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  7         

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           60           20           

PRECIP DURATION       3            2            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.19         0.12         0.02         

LAL                   3            1            3            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4500                      4500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 10                      S 16         

DISPERSION            22 FAIR                   35 FAIR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S  8 G16     

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  9 G17     



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS NEAR 60. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID

70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. COOLER. LOWS IN THE 50S. SOUTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. HIGHS IN

THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID

40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S.

WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-130830-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

325 AM EDT SUN OCT 12 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      63-68 (-1)   52-57 (0)    70-75        

RH % (24H TREND)      68-73 (-7)   95-100 (0)   52-57        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S  7 G16     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SE  5        S  8 G18     

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           60           30           

PRECIP DURATION       3            2            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.14         0.11         0.04         

LAL                   3            1            3            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4800                      4600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE 12                     S 20         

DISPERSION            18 GEN POOR               31 FAIR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE  5                     S  9 G20     

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  5        SE  7        S 11 G22     



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS

5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID

70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S.

SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. HIGHS IN

THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID

40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S

TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-130830-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

325 AM EDT SUN OCT 12 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      66-71 (0)    54-59 (0)    70-75        

RH % (24H TREND)      66-71 (-7)   93-98 (-2)   50-55        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S  9 G19     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  6         S 10 G23     

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           50           30           

PRECIP DURATION       3            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.12         0.11         0.04         

LAL                   3            1            3            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6000                      5200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  9                     S 25         

DISPERSION            23 FAIR                   41 GEN GOOD  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  5                     S 11 G24     

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  7 G18     S 13 G29     



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO

20 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...BREEZY. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER

60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 25 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS

IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH DECREASING

TO UP TO 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. HIGHS IN

THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S.

WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-130830-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

325 AM EDT SUN OCT 12 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      71-76 (-1)   56-61 (-1)   73-78        

RH % (24H TREND)      59-64 (-5)   92-97 (+8)   53-58        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S  8 G17     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SE 10 G20    

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           50           30           

PRECIP DURATION       3            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.13         0.10         0.03         

LAL                   3            1            3            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5200                      4300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 13                      S 23         

DISPERSION            34 FAIR                   44 GEN GOOD  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S 10 G21     

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SE 13 G25    



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS NEAR 60.

SOUTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO

MID 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS

IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE

SOUTHWEST LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. HIGHS IN

THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID

60S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S

TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-130830-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

325 AM EDT SUN OCT 12 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      72-77 (0)    55-60 (-1)   72-77        

RH % (24H TREND)      58-63 (-6)   95-100 (+11) 53-58        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S  6         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SE  8 G16    

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           50           30           

PRECIP DURATION       3            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.10         0.10         0.04         

LAL                   3            1            3            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4800                      4800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 12                      S 21         

DISPERSION            26 FAIR                   44 GEN GOOD  

MAX LVORI             4                         4            

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S  8 G18     

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SE 10 G20    



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO

LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO

LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS

IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. HIGHS IN

THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S

TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S

TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-130830-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

325 AM EDT SUN OCT 12 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      70-75 (+3)   54-59 (+1)   75-80        

RH % (24H TREND)      62-67 (-11)  95-100 (0)   44-49        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SE  5        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  7         

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           60           20           

PRECIP DURATION       3            2            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.16         0.11         0.02         

LAL                   3            1            3            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4700                      4000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S  7                      S 16         

DISPERSION            18 GEN POOR               34 FAIR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SE  7 G16    

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  9 G18     



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS

5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID

70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS

IN THE 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST

AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. HIGHS IN

THE 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S

TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID

60S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-130830-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

325 AM EDT SUN OCT 12 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      71-76 (+2)   56-61 (+1)   76-81        

RH % (24H TREND)      66-71 (-5)   95-100 (+1)  47-52        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S  6         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  8         

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           60           30           

PRECIP DURATION       3            2            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.23         0.20         0.03         

LAL                   3            1            3            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4500                      4400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S  9                      S 18         

DISPERSION            25 FAIR                   51 GEN GOOD  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S  7 G17     

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S 10 G18     



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE

LOWER TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID

70S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS

IN THE 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. HIGHS IN

THE 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID

60S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID

60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-130830-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

325 AM EDT SUN OCT 12 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      74-79 (+1)   59-64 (0)    77-82        

RH % (24H TREND)      58-63 (-3)   93-98 (+6)   47-52        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S  6 G15     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SE  9        

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           50           40           

PRECIP DURATION       3            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.23         0.20         0.04         

LAL                   3            1            3            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4300                      4500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 12                      S 21         

DISPERSION            33 FAIR                   61 GOOD      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S  8 G18     

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  5         LGT/VAR      SE 11 G19    



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO

MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO

MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS

IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS NEAR 70.

WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS NEAR 70.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



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