

684 

FNUS54 KMRX 110830

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

430 AM EDT SAT OCT 11 2014



.DISCUSSION...

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS CAN BE EXPECTED ACROSS THE 

SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN REGION THROUGH THE WEEKEND AS A FRONTAL 

BOUNDARY LINGERS ACROSS THE REGION.  





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-120930-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

430 AM EDT SAT OCT 11 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      63-68 (-2)   50-55 (-6)   66-71        

RH % (24H TREND)      76-81 (-1)   95-100 (0)   64-69        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  5         

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           70           60           

PRECIP DURATION       1            3            2            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.13         0.10         0.17         

LAL                   3            3            4            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2400                      4200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW  6                     S 12         

DISPERSION            2 VERY POOR               22 FAIR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SE  6        

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  6         



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH INCREASING TO 10 TO 15 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO

LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID

40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S

TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-120930-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

430 AM EDT SAT OCT 11 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      63-68 (0)    49-54 (-6)   64-69        

RH % (24H TREND)      70-75 (-6)   95-100 (0)   63-68        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  5                     LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  5        LGT/VAR      SE  6        

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           60           60           

PRECIP DURATION       2            3            2            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.23         0.18         0.14         

LAL                   3            3            4            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3200                      5000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 10                     S 12         

DISPERSION            4 VERY POOR               21 FAIR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  6                     SE  6        

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  6        LGT/VAR      SE  7        



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH

INCREASING TO 10 TO 15 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO

LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH

AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.TUESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S.

WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID

50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO

LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-120930-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

430 AM EDT SAT OCT 11 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      66-71 (-1)   54-59 (-1)   66-71        

RH % (24H TREND)      65-70 (-5)   95-100 (+3)  62-67        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  5         

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           60           50           

PRECIP DURATION       3            3            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.42         0.23         0.13         

LAL                   3            3            4            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3800                      5500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W  9                      SW 12        

DISPERSION            6 VERY POOR               23 FAIR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S  5         

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  5        LGT/VAR      S  7         



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE 60S TO 70S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...BREEZY. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE

50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 25 MPH SHIFTING TO THE

SOUTHWEST 15 TO 25 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.TUESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO 60S. WEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO

LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-120930-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

430 AM EDT SAT OCT 11 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      71-76 (-4)   57-62 (-1)   70-75        

RH % (24H TREND)      63-68 (+3)   95-100 (+2)  62-67        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S  6         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  6         

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           60           50           

PRECIP DURATION       3            3            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.41         0.26         0.14         

LAL                   3            3            3            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3600                      4700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W  6                      SW 12        

DISPERSION            8 POOR                    26 FAIR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S  7 G15     

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  7         



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS

5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO

LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST

5 TO 15 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.TUESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. COOLER. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S.

WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID

50S TO UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID

60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-120930-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

430 AM EDT SAT OCT 11 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      71-76 (-6)   57-62 (0)    69-74        

RH % (24H TREND)      60-65 (+3)   93-98 (+2)   62-67        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SE  5        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           60           50           

PRECIP DURATION       3            3            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.33         0.28         0.13         

LAL                   3            3            3            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3700                      5000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW  7                     S 10         

DISPERSION            8 POOR                    23 FAIR      

MAX LVORI             6                         5            

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SE  6        

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  5         



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO

LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST

5 TO 15 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.TUESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. COOLER. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S.

WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S

TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-120930-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

430 AM EDT SAT OCT 11 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      66-71 (-1)   51-56 (-6)   69-74        

RH % (24H TREND)      74-79 (+2)   95-100 (+1)  61-66        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  5         

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           70           60           

PRECIP DURATION       2            3            2            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.25         0.14         0.16         

LAL                   3            3            4            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2700                      4500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W  8                      S 10         

DISPERSION            8 POOR                    28 FAIR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  6         



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. WEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID

60S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-120930-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

430 AM EDT SAT OCT 11 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      67-72 (-3)   53-58 (-5)   70-75        

RH % (24H TREND)      69-74 (-3)   95-100 (+4)  64-69        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  5         

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           60           60           

PRECIP DURATION       3            3            2            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.35         0.15         0.21         

LAL                   3            3            4            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2800                      3800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW  6                     S 12         

DISPERSION            8 POOR                    25 FAIR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  7         



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH

INCREASING TO 10 TO 15 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO

LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. HIGHS IN THE

60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S

TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID

60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-120930-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

430 AM EDT SAT OCT 11 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      71-76 (-7)   57-62 (-3)   73-78        

RH % (24H TREND)      66-71 (+7)   95-100 (+7)  59-64        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  5         

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           60           60           

PRECIP DURATION       3            3            2            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.44         0.22         0.24         

LAL                   3            3            4            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2900                      3700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W  7                      SW 13        

DISPERSION            9 POOR                    27 FAIR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  7         



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 60. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH

INCREASING TO 10 TO 15 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO

LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 5 TO

10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. HIGHS IN THE

60S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S

TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S

TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS NEAR 70.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



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