

833 

FNUS54 KMRX 040055

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

855 PM EDT FRI OCT 3 2014



.DISCUSSION...

MUCH COLDER AIR WILL MOVE INTO THE REGION ON SATURDAY 

BEHIND A STRONG COLD FRONT.. WITH TEMPERATURES BELOW NORMAL AND THE 

POSSIBILITY OF FROST BY SUNDAY MORNING. TEMPERATURES RECOVER TO NEAR 

SEASONAL VALUES BY SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-050200-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

855 PM EDT FRI OCT 3 2014



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      41-46 (-16)  51-56 (-20)  30-35        56-61        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+7)  31-36 (-31)  78-83        25-30        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  7 G15                  LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  6         W  8 G15     LGT/VAR      SW  6        

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       2                                                   

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM                                                

PRECIP END            8 AM                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.07         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   2            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6500                      6400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 22                      W 20         

DISPERSION                         86 GOOD                   72 GOOD      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  9 G19                  SW  6        

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  8 G15     W 10 G19     W  5         SW  8 G15    



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID

40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO

MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE

60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S

TO MID 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-050200-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

855 PM EDT FRI OCT 3 2014



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      41-46 (-16)  47-52 (-22)  29-34        55-60        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+5)  32-37 (-31)  72-77        24-29        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  9 G17                  LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  6         W  9 G18     W  6         W  6         

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       2                                                   

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM                                                

PRECIP END            8 AM                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.08         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   2            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 7300                      6500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 25                      W 17         

DISPERSION                         97 GOOD                   57 GEN GOOD  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W 11 G22                  W  5         

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  8 G15     W 12 G22     W  7 G17     W  8 G16     



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

MID 50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID

40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S

TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE

60S TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE

60S TO 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID

60S TO UPPER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-050200-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

855 PM EDT FRI OCT 3 2014



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      39-44 (-19)  48-53 (-20)  30-35        56-61        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+7)  26-31 (-33)  76-81        21-26        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  8 G16                  W  5         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  7 G15     W 10 G18     W  6 G15     W  7         

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                                   

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM                                                

PRECIP END            8 AM                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   2            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 7200                      6100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 21                      W 15         

DISPERSION                         72 GOOD                   38 FAIR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W 10 G20                  W  6 G17     

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  9 G19     W 13 G23     W  8 G19     W  9 G18     



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

MID 50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 40S

TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S

TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE LOWER

60S TO MID 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO UPPER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 50S TO MID 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-050200-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

855 PM EDT FRI OCT 3 2014



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      42-47 (-18)  55-60 (-17)  32-37        62-67        

RH % (24H TREND)      89-94 (-2)   24-29 (-34)  73-78        23-28        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  7 G15                 LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  7         W  9 G17     LGT/VAR      W  5         

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                                   

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM                                                

PRECIP END            5 AM                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   2            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6600                      6100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 20                     W 10         

DISPERSION                         75 GOOD                   35 FAIR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  9 G19                 SW  5        

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  9 G17     W 12 G22     LGT/VAR      W  7 G15     



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

50S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE

MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID

60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO

70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-050200-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

855 PM EDT FRI OCT 3 2014



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      42-47 (-16)  52-57 (-18)  32-37        61-66        

RH % (24H TREND)      87-92 (-4)   24-29 (-34)  72-77        21-26        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  8 G17                 LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  7         NW 10 G17    LGT/VAR      W  6         

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                                   

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM                                                

PRECIP END            5 AM                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.05         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   2            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6600                      6800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 22                     NW 13        

DISPERSION                         82 GOOD                   51 GEN GOOD  

MAX LVORI                          2                         2            

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW 11 G21                 W  5         

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  9 G17     NW 12 G22    LGT/VAR      W  7 G16     



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. WARMER. LOWS IN

THE LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

50S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE

MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID

60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID

60S TO UPPER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-050200-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

855 PM EDT FRI OCT 3 2014



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      42-47 (-16)  54-59 (-20)  30-35        59-64        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+4)  26-31 (-33)  81-86        23-28        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  8                      LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  6         W  9 G16     LGT/VAR      SW  6        

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       2                                                   

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM                                                

PRECIP END            8 AM                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.05         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   2            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6400                      5600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 22                      W 16         

DISPERSION                         93 GOOD                   56 GEN GOOD  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W 10 G18                  SW  6        

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  8 G15     W 11 G21     LGT/VAR      SW  8 G15    



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 40S

TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO

LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO

MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE

60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO

UPPER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-050200-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

855 PM EDT FRI OCT 3 2014



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      41-46 (-20)  57-62 (-17)  33-38        62-67        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+2)  24-29 (-34)  78-83        24-29        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  7 G16                  LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  6        W  9 G16     LGT/VAR      SW  6        

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                                   

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM                                                

PRECIP END            5 AM                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   2            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6200                      5500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 20                      SW 13        

DISPERSION                         84 GOOD                   47 GEN GOOD  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  9 G20                  SW  6        

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  8 G15    W 11 G21     LGT/VAR      SW  7        



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO

LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE

60S TO UPPER 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

60S TO LOWER 80S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-050200-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

855 PM EDT FRI OCT 3 2014



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      40-45 (-22)  60-65 (-15)  34-39        64-69        

RH % (24H TREND)      91-96 (-1)   21-26 (-33)  77-82        23-28        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  7 G16                 LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  6        W  9 G17     LGT/VAR      SW  5        

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                                   

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM                                                

PRECIP END            2 AM                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   2            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5800                      5300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 20                     W 10         

DISPERSION                         77 GOOD                   38 FAIR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  9 G20                 SW  5        

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  9 G16    W 11 G21     LGT/VAR      SW  6        



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO

MID 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S

TO UPPER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S

TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S

TO LOWER 80S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



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