

358 

FNUS54 KMRX 031436 AAA

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...UPDATED

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

1036 AM EDT FRI OCT 3 2014



.DISCUSSION...

 

A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN REGION 

TODAY...BRINGING NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS. 

MUCH COLDER AIR WILL THEN MOVE INTO THE REGION BEHIND THE COLD 

FRONT ON SATURDAY...WITH TEMPERATURES BELOW NORMAL AND THE 

POSSIBILITY OF FROST BY SUNDAY MORNING.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-041545-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

1036 AM EDT FRI OCT 3 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      71-76 (-8)   41-46 (-16)  51-56        

RH % (24H TREND)      54-59 (+16)  95-100 (+8)  31-36        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  8 G17                  W  8         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  9 G17     SW  8 G16    W  9 G16     

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           60           0            

PRECIP DURATION       4            2                         

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   8 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.57         0.08         0.00         

LAL                   5            4            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4400                      6500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 25                      W 22         

DISPERSION            50 GEN GOOD               86 GOOD      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S 10 G21                  W  9 G18     

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 12 G22     SW 11 G20    W 11 G21     



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO

LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 50.

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE

60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE

60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-041545-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

1036 AM EDT FRI OCT 3 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      69-74 (-7)   40-45 (-17)  47-52        

RH % (24H TREND)      55-60 (+16)  95-100 (+6)  32-37        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  9 G19                  W  9 G17     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  7 G16    SW  8 G17    W  9 G18     

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           60           0            

PRECIP DURATION       4            2                         

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   8 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.55         0.07         0.00         

LAL                   5            4            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4300                      6300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 24                      W 25         

DISPERSION            32 FAIR                   76 GOOD      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S 11 G24                  W 11 G22     

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  9 G20    SW 10 G21    W 12 G22     



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S. WEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE

60S TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE

MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-041545-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

1036 AM EDT FRI OCT 3 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      68-73 (-9)   39-44 (-19)  47-52        

RH % (24H TREND)      56-61 (+15)  95-100 (+9)  25-30        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S 12 G28                  W  7 G15     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 11 G21    W 10 G22     W  9 G18     

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           50           0            

PRECIP DURATION       5            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   8 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.64         0.04         0.00         

LAL                   5            3            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4500                      6100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 28                     W 21         

DISPERSION            33 FAIR                   51 GEN GOOD  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S 15 G35                  W  9 G19     

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 14 G27    W 13 G27     W 12 G22     



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S. WEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S.

SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

50S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

50S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE

60S TO 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-041545-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

1036 AM EDT FRI OCT 3 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      72-77 (-7)   42-47 (-18)  52-57        

RH % (24H TREND)      57-62 (+11)  95-100 (+2)  25-30        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S 10 G20                  NW  7        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  9 G17    W  8 G17     W  9 G16     

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           40           0            

PRECIP DURATION       5            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   2 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.56         0.03         0.00         

LAL                   5            3            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4400                      6200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 24                     NW 20        

DISPERSION            48 GEN GOOD               69 GOOD      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S 12 G25                  NW  8 G17    

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 11 G21    W 10 G21     W 11 G21     



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S.

SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER

60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE

60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID

60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-041545-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

1036 AM EDT FRI OCT 3 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      70-75 (-9)   41-46 (-17)  50-55        

RH % (24H TREND)      60-65 (+14)  95-100 (+2)  25-30        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  8 G16                  NW  8        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  8 G15    W  8 G16     NW  9 G17    

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           50           0            

PRECIP DURATION       5            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   5 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.67         0.04         0.00         

LAL                   5            3            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4400                      6400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 23                     NW 22        

DISPERSION            44 GEN GOOD               77 GOOD      

MAX LVORI             4                         3            

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S 10 G20                  NW 10 G18    

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 10 G19    W 10 G21     NW 11 G21    



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S.

WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER

60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO

UPPER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE

60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-041545-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

1036 AM EDT FRI OCT 3 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      74-79 (-7)   42-47 (-16)  54-59        

RH % (24H TREND)      52-57 (+15)  95-100 (+5)  26-31        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  6 G15                  W  8         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 10 G19    W  8         W  9 G17     

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           60           0            

PRECIP DURATION       5            2                         

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   8 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.55         0.05         0.00         

LAL                   5            4            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4100                      6400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 24                     W 22         

DISPERSION            56 GEN GOOD               92 GOOD      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  8 G19                  W 10 G18     

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 13 G24    W  9 G18     W 11 G22     



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO

LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE

70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-041545-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

1036 AM EDT FRI OCT 3 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      74-79 (-7)   42-47 (-19)  56-61        

RH % (24H TREND)      54-59 (+11)  94-99 (+2)   24-29        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  9 G17                  W  7         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 10 G19    W  8 G15     W  8 G16     

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          40           0            

PRECIP DURATION       3            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   8 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.42         0.03         0.00         

LAL                   5            3            1            

LASI                  3                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3900                      6100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 26                     W 20         

DISPERSION            61 GOOD                   83 GOOD      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S 11 G21                  W  9 G18     

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 13 G24    W  9 G19     W 10 G20     



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID TO UPPER 30S.

WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO

MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE

60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE

70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-041545-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

1036 AM EDT FRI OCT 3 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      75-80 (-7)   43-48 (-19)  58-63        

RH % (24H TREND)      53-58 (+10)  89-94 (-4)   22-27        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  9 G18                  NW  7        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 10 G19    W  8 G18     W  8 G16     

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          30           0            

PRECIP DURATION       3            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   2 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.27         0.02         0.00         

LAL                   5            3            1            

LASI                  3                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4100                      5800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 25                     NW 20        

DISPERSION            63 GOOD                   77 GOOD      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S 11 G22                  NW  9 G18    

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 13 G23    W 11 G22     W 10 G20     



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S.

HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE

70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S

TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



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