

304 

FNUS54 KMRX 020824

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

424 AM EDT THU OCT 2 2014



.DISCUSSION...

UNSEASONABLY WARM TEMPERATURES WILL LINGER OVER THE SOUTHERN 

APPALACHIAN REGION TODAY...WITH A COLD FRONT MOVING INTO 

THE AREA FRIDAY. THIS COLD FRONT WILL BRING SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS LATE TONIGHT AND FRIDAY...ALONG WITH MUCH

COOLER TEMPERATURES FOR THE WEEKEND.



VAZ001-002-005-006-008-030930-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

424 AM EDT THU OCT 2 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      79-84 (+3)   56-61 (+6)   70-75        

RH % (24H TREND)      28-33 (-8)   93-98 (+4)   59-64        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S  6         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  8 G17     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           100          

PRECIP DURATION                    1            5            

PRECIP BEGIN                       2 AM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.02         0.45         

LAL                   1            2            5            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    8500                      5600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  5                     SW 24        

DISPERSION            19 GEN POOR               74 GOOD      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S  8 G17     

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S 10 G22     



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS

IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS IN THE 30S TO LOWER

40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 50.

HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE

60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-030930-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

424 AM EDT THU OCT 2 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      76-81 (+2)   53-58 (+6)   68-73        

RH % (24H TREND)      28-33 (-7)   95-100 (+7)  57-62        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S  7         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  7         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           100          

PRECIP DURATION                    1            5            

PRECIP BEGIN                       5 AM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.02         0.52         

LAL                   1            1            5            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    8700                      5700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W  3                      SW 17        

DISPERSION            15 GEN POOR               44 GEN GOOD  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S  8 G16     

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SE  5        S  8 G16     



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS

IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. WEST

WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS IN THE 30S. WEST

WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 50.

HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE

60S TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-030930-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

424 AM EDT THU OCT 2 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      77-82 (+2)   54-59 (+7)   69-74        

RH % (24H TREND)      29-34 (-6)   95-100 (+9)  64-69        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S  8 G17     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  5         SW  9 G20    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            50           100          

PRECIP DURATION                    1            6            

PRECIP BEGIN                       2 AM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.07         0.79         

LAL                   1            1            5            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    8700                      5700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W  5                      SW 25        

DISPERSION            20 GEN POOR               54 GEN GOOD  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  5                     S 10 G21     

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  7 G16     SW 12 G25    



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. WARMER. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER

60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.

HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 50.

HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE

60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-030930-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

424 AM EDT THU OCT 2 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      80-85 (+2)   58-63 (+10)  72-77        

RH % (24H TREND)      31-36 (-5)   95-100 (+7)  72-77        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S  8 G17     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  5         SW  9 G18    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            50           100          

PRECIP DURATION                    1            7            

PRECIP BEGIN                       2 AM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.14         0.97         

LAL                   1            2            5            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    7800                      5600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  7                     SW 25        

DISPERSION            27 FAIR                   75 GOOD      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S 10 G21     

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  5         S  7 G17     SW 11 G22    



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AND SLIGHT

CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST

WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST

WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS IN THE 30S. WEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS

IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE

60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-030930-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

424 AM EDT THU OCT 2 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      79-84 (+1)   57-62 (+11)  73-78        

RH % (24H TREND)      30-35 (-7)   93-98 (0)    67-72        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S  6         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  7        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            50           100          

PRECIP DURATION                    1            7            

PRECIP BEGIN                       2 AM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.11         1.13         

LAL                   1            2            5            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    8700                      5600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  6                     SW 21        

DISPERSION            26 FAIR                   60 GEN GOOD  

MAX LVORI             4                         4            

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S  7 G16     

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  6         SE  6        SW  9 G18    



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST

WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS IN THE 30S TO LOWER

40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS

IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE

60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-030930-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

424 AM EDT THU OCT 2 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      81-86 (+2)   56-61 (+6)   72-77        

RH % (24H TREND)      25-30 (-7)   95-100 (+8)  56-61        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S  5         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  7 G15     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           100          

PRECIP DURATION                    1            5            

PRECIP BEGIN                       5 AM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.03         0.54         

LAL                   1            1            5            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    8100                      5600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  5                     SW 23        

DISPERSION            16 GEN POOR               85 GOOD      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S  6         

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  9 G19     



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS IN THE 30S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 50.

HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-030930-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

424 AM EDT THU OCT 2 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      81-86 (+1)   59-64 (+7)   72-77        

RH % (24H TREND)      30-35 (-4)   94-99 (+2)   64-69        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S  6         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  9 G18    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            60           100          

PRECIP DURATION                    1            5            

PRECIP BEGIN                       2 AM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.11         0.58         

LAL                   1            2            5            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    7200                      5600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  7                     SW 28        

DISPERSION            30 FAIR                   103 VERY GOOD

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S  8 G18     

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  5         LGT/VAR      SW 11 G22    



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS

5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID TO UPPER 30S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S

TO UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-030930-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

424 AM EDT THU OCT 2 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      82-87 (+1)   62-67 (+9)   72-77        

RH % (24H TREND)      32-37 (-3)   93-98 (+1)   66-71        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S  9 G20     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  5         S  5         SW 11 G20    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            70           100          

PRECIP DURATION                    2            7            

PRECIP BEGIN                       2 AM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.30         0.74         

LAL                   1            2            5            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6500                      5600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 10                      SW 25        

DISPERSION            41 GEN GOOD               99 GOOD      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S 12 G25     

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  7         S  6 G17     SW 14 G25    



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST

WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S

TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TD/SON



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