

759 

FNUS54 KMRX 011421 AAA

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...UPDATED

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

1021 AM EDT WED OCT 1 2014



.DISCUSSION...

 

UNSEASONABLY WARM TEMPERATURES WILL LINGER OVER THE SOUTHERN 

APPALACHIAN REGION THROUGH THURSDAY...WITH A COLD FRONT MOVING INTO 

THE AREA LATE THURSDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY. THIS COLD FRONT WILL BRING 

A GOOD CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS...ALONG WITH MUCH COOLER 

TEMPERATURES FOR THE WEEKEND.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-021530-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

1021 AM EDT WED OCT 1 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      77-82 (+2)   52-57 (+2)   79-84        

RH % (24H TREND)      34-39 (-7)   95-100 (+6)  37-42        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    7800                      6400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W  6                      SW  6        

DISPERSION            30 FAIR                   21 FAIR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER

60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO

MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS IN

THE 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. COOLER. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER

60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID

50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-021530-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

1021 AM EDT WED OCT 1 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      74-79 (+2)   49-54 (+1)   75-80        

RH % (24H TREND)      32-37 (-13)  95-100 (+11) 40-45        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    7700                      6300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W  5                      W  5         

DISPERSION            18 GEN POOR               14 GEN POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S.

SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO

MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS IN

THE 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. COOLER. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S.

WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S

TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-021530-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

1021 AM EDT WED OCT 1 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      76-81 (+2)   49-54 (0)    77-82        

RH % (24H TREND)      33-38 (-11)  95-100 (+10) 39-44        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    7700                      6400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW  3                     W  7         

DISPERSION            13 GEN POOR               17 GEN POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO

MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLDER.

LOWS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. COOLER. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER

60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S

TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-021530-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

1021 AM EDT WED OCT 1 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      79-84 (+1)   51-56 (+1)   80-85        

RH % (24H TREND)      34-39 (-7)   95-100 (+8)  40-45        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6800                      6100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW  3                     SW  7        

DISPERSION            12 POOR                   23 FAIR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  5        



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO

MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLDER.

LOWS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. WEST

WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S

TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND

50. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND

50. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-021530-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

1021 AM EDT WED OCT 1 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      78-83 (+2)   49-54 (+2)   79-84        

RH % (24H TREND)      35-40 (-6)   95-100 (+4)  40-45        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    7700                      6700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W  3                      SW  6        

DISPERSION            16 GEN POOR               23 FAIR      

MAX LVORI             5                         5            

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  5         



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO

MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLDER.

LOWS IN THE 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST

WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO

LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. WEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-021530-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

1021 AM EDT WED OCT 1 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      79-84 (+1)   51-56 (+1)   81-86        

RH % (24H TREND)      30-35 (-10)  95-100 (+10) 37-42        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6000                      5700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W  3                      SW  3        

DISPERSION            14 GEN POOR               15 GEN POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO

UPPER 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLDER.

LOWS IN THE 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. COOLER. HIGHS NEAR 60. WEST WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-021530-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

1021 AM EDT WED OCT 1 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      80-85 (+1)   54-59 (+2)   81-86        

RH % (24H TREND)      33-38 (-5)   95-100 (+9)  38-43        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6100                      5600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W  2                      SW  7        

DISPERSION            12 POOR                   26 FAIR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO

MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLDER.

LOWS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. COOLER. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO

LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND

50. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND

50. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-021530-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

1021 AM EDT WED OCT 1 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      81-86 (+1)   55-60 (+2)   82-87        

RH % (24H TREND)      35-40 (-5)   95-100 (+6)  40-45        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  5         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5600                      5600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  2                     SW  9        

DISPERSION            9 POOR                    33 FAIR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  6         



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER

70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. MUCH COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 40S

TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. COOLER. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S.

WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS NEAR 70. SOUTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



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