

369 

FNUS54 KMRX 300834

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

434 AM EDT TUE SEP 30 2014



.DISCUSSION...

HIGH PRESSURE CONTINUES ACROSS THE REGION. A GRADUAL 

WARMING TREND THROUGH THE WEEK...BEFORE A COLD FRONT IMPACTS OUR 

AREA ON FRIDAY BRINGING A CHANCE FOR RAINSHOWERS...FOLLOWED BY 

COOLER TEMPERATURES. 



VAZ001-002-005-006-008-010930-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

434 AM EDT TUE SEP 30 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      75-80 (+4)   51-56 (0)    77-82        

RH % (24H TREND)      40-45 (-12)  93-98 (+1)   34-39        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    7400                      7800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW  8                     W  5         

DISPERSION            35 FAIR                   13 GEN POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN

THE 60S TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND

50. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-010930-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

434 AM EDT TUE SEP 30 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      71-76 (+3)   48-53 (-2)   74-79        

RH % (24H TREND)      42-47 (-15)  93-98 (+1)   36-41        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    7600                      7900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW  9                     NW  5        

DISPERSION            38 FAIR                   9 POOR       

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  5        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S.

WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN

THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-010930-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

434 AM EDT TUE SEP 30 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      73-78 (+3)   49-54 (-2)   75-80        

RH % (24H TREND)      41-46 (-14)  93-98 (+4)   34-39        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    7700                      7400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N  8                      NW  3        

DISPERSION            33 FAIR                   6 VERY POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  5         LGT/VAR      N  5         



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER

60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. WEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. COOLER.

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-010930-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

434 AM EDT TUE SEP 30 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      77-82 (+2)   53-58 (0)    79-84        

RH % (24H TREND)      38-43 (-13)  81-86 (-4)   30-35        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    7300                      6400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N  7                      W  3         

DISPERSION            33 FAIR                   8 POOR       

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NW  5        



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. COOLER.

HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

50S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S

TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S

TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-010930-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

434 AM EDT TUE SEP 30 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      77-82 (+2)   52-57 (-1)   78-83        

RH % (24H TREND)      38-43 (-12)  85-90 (0)    32-37        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    8100                      7700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N  7                      W  3         

DISPERSION            35 FAIR                   9 POOR       

MAX LVORI             4                         4            

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. COOLER.

HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S

TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S

TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S

TO MID 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-010930-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

434 AM EDT TUE SEP 30 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      76-81 (+3)   51-56 (-1)   79-84        

RH % (24H TREND)      39-44 (-12)  93-98 (+3)   30-35        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6800                      5900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW  7                     W  2         

DISPERSION            31 FAIR                   7 POOR       

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S.

EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN

THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER

TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S

TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-010930-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

434 AM EDT TUE SEP 30 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      78-83 (+2)   52-57 (-2)   79-84        

RH % (24H TREND)      37-42 (-12)  91-96 (+3)   31-36        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6800                      5400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW  6                     W  1         

DISPERSION            27 FAIR                   4 VERY POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER

60S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. NOT AS

WARM. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S

TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID

60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-010930-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

434 AM EDT TUE SEP 30 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      79-84 (+2)   54-59 (0)    81-86        

RH % (24H TREND)      37-42 (-12)  91-96 (+3)   31-36        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6700                      5000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW  3                     SW  1        

DISPERSION            18 GEN POOR               5 VERY POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID

60S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN

THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID

60S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S.

WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



SON/TD



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