

892 

FNUS54 KMRX 291431 AAA

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...UPDATED

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

1031 AM EDT MON SEP 29 2014



.DISCUSSION...

AN AREA OF WEAK SURFACE LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE FROM THE 

NORTHERN GULF OF MEXICO ACROSS SOUTH GEORGIA THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT. 

HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD INTO OUR REGION FOR THE MIDDLE PART OF THE 

WEEK.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-301545-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

1031 AM EDT MON SEP 29 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      72-77 (-1)   52-57 (-3)   74-79        

RH % (24H TREND)      53-58 (+5)   95-100 (+8)  46-51        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           20           0            

PRECIP DURATION       1            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   12 AM                     

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.05         0.01         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5500                      4700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW  1                     NW  7        

DISPERSION            5 VERY POOR               17 GEN POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NW  5        



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. LIGHT WINDS

BECOMING WEST LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S. SOUTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S.

WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S

TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-301545-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

1031 AM EDT MON SEP 29 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      68-73 (-4)   50-55 (-4)   71-76        

RH % (24H TREND)      57-62 (+8)   95-100 (+6)  49-54        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NW  5        

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           30           0            

PRECIP DURATION       2            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   12 AM                     

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.12         0.02         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5400                      4700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W  1                      NW  8        

DISPERSION            3 VERY POOR               14 GEN POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NW  6        



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST AFTER

MIDNIGHT. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S. SOUTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. WEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO

LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-301545-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

1031 AM EDT MON SEP 29 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      70-75 (-2)   51-56 (-5)   72-77        

RH % (24H TREND)      54-59 (+4)   95-100 (+12) 48-53        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      N  5         

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           30           0            

PRECIP DURATION       2            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   12 AM                     

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.08         0.02         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5300                      4900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW  5                     N  9         

DISPERSION            9 POOR                    13 GEN POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      N  6         



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. EAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. NORTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO UPPER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO

LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-301545-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

1031 AM EDT MON SEP 29 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      74-79 (+2)   54-59 (-5)   76-81        

RH % (24H TREND)      51-56 (0)    95-100 (+11) 46-51        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           30           0            

PRECIP DURATION       2            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   12 AM                     

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.08         0.02         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5200                      4600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N  2                      N  8         

DISPERSION            6 VERY POOR               17 GEN POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NW  5        



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. WEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST EARLY IN THE

AFTERNOON. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. NORTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S

TO LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID

60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-301545-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

1031 AM EDT MON SEP 29 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      74-79 (+3)   53-58 (-6)   75-80        

RH % (24H TREND)      51-56 (-3)   95-100 (+14) 46-51        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           30           0            

PRECIP DURATION       2            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   12 AM                     

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.12         0.02         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5200                      4900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N  1                      N  7         

DISPERSION            3 VERY POOR               17 GEN POOR  

MAX LVORI             5                         5            

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NW  5        



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S.

LIGHT WINDS BECOMING EAST LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S

TO LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID

60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-301545-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

1031 AM EDT MON SEP 29 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      74-79 (-1)   52-57 (-4)   75-80        

RH % (24H TREND)      51-56 (+6)   95-100 (+8)  46-51        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           20           0            

PRECIP DURATION       2            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   12 AM                     

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.07         0.01         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5300                      4500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N  1                      NW  7        

DISPERSION            6 VERY POOR               19 GEN POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST EARLY IN THE

AFTERNOON. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S.

EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID

60S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID

60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-301545-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

1031 AM EDT MON SEP 29 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      76-81 (+1)   54-59 (-5)   77-82        

RH % (24H TREND)      51-56 (+2)   95-100 (+8)  44-49        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM                                   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING                             

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5200                      4600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N  3                      NW  6        

DISPERSION            11 POOR                   18 GEN POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID TO UPPER 50S.

NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT.

.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS NEAR 80. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS NEAR 60. EAST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS NEAR 80. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID

60S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS NEAR 70. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-301545-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

1031 AM EDT MON SEP 29 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      76-81 (+1)   55-60 (-5)   79-84        

RH % (24H TREND)      51-56 (0)    95-100 (+10) 44-49        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM                                   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING                             

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5000                      4500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW  2                     N  5         

DISPERSION            6 VERY POOR               15 GEN POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. LIGHT

WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID

60S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS NEAR 70.

NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



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