

344 

FNUS54 KMRX 281916

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

316 PM EDT SUN SEP 28 2014



.DISCUSSION...

AN AREA OF WEAK SURFACE LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE FROM THE 

NORTHERN GULF OF MEXICO ACROSS SOUTH GEORGIA THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT. 

HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD INTO OUR REGION FOR THE MIDDLE PART OF THE 

WEEK. MUCH LIGHTER PRECIP AMOUNTS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY THAN 

ANTICPATED A FEW DAYS AGO. 





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-292030-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

316 PM EDT SUN SEP 28 2014



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      55-60 (+3)   72-77 (-2)   53-58        72-77        

RH % (24H TREND)      87-92 (+2)   49-54 (+5)   89-94        47-52        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      RAIN         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           50           20           0            

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   2 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.06         0.01         0.00         

LAL                   1            2            1            1            

LASI                               4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5200                      4900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W  1                      N  3         

DISPERSION                         4 VERY POOR               10 POOR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      N  5         



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING

LIGHT. 

.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. LIGHT WINDS

BECOMING NORTHWEST LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S. LIGHT WINDS

BECOMING SOUTHEAST LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S.

WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-292030-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

316 PM EDT SUN SEP 28 2014



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      54-59 (+5)   70-75 (-2)   51-56        70-75        

RH % (24H TREND)      89-94 (+4)   54-59 (+8)   92-97        48-53        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      TSTMS        RAIN         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           70           30           0            

PRECIP DURATION       2            3            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   2 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.06         0.17         0.02         0.00         

LAL                   1            2            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5100                      5000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW  1                     N  6         

DISPERSION                         3 VERY POOR               11 POOR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      N  5         



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING

LIGHT. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. WEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH EARLY IN THE

AFTERNOON. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID

50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING

LIGHT. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO UPPER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS

5 TO 15 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-292030-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

316 PM EDT SUN SEP 28 2014



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      56-61 (+5)   71-76 (-1)   52-57        72-77        

RH % (24H TREND)      86-91 (+2)   51-56 (+3)   90-95        44-49        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      N  5         

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      TSTMS        RAIN         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           70           20           0            

PRECIP DURATION       2            3            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   2 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.07         0.11         0.02         0.00         

LAL                   1            2            1            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5000                      5000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N  5                      N  8         

DISPERSION                         6 VERY POOR               12 POOR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      N  6         LGT/VAR      N  7         



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S.

WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH EARLY IN THE

AFTERNOON. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT.

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 80S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-292030-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

316 PM EDT SUN SEP 28 2014



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      59-64 (+5)   74-79 (+2)   55-60        76-81        

RH % (24H TREND)      78-83 (-3)   50-55 (+1)   87-92        44-49        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      N  5         

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      TSTMS        RAIN         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           70           20           0            

PRECIP DURATION       3            2            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   2 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.11         0.11         0.02         0.00         

LAL                   1            2            1            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4900                      4500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NE  2                     N  7         

DISPERSION                         6 VERY POOR               14 GEN POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      N  5         LGT/VAR      N  7         



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. PATCHY FOG. LOWS IN THE 50S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST EARLY IN THE

AFTERNOON. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER

60S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. WEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE

60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-292030-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

316 PM EDT SUN SEP 28 2014



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      59-64 (+6)   72-77 (+1)   54-59        75-80        

RH % (24H TREND)      78-83 (-5)   53-58 (0)    87-92        44-49        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      TSTMS        RAIN         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           70           30           0            

PRECIP DURATION       3            3            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   2 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.15         0.19         0.02         0.00         

LAL                   1            2            1            1            

LASI                               4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4900                      5000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                E  2                      N  6         

DISPERSION                         6 VERY POOR               13 GEN POOR  

MAX LVORI                          4                         4            

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NW  5        



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. PATCHY FOG. LOWS IN THE 50S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING

LIGHT. 

.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. WEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. WEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE

60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. WEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-292030-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

316 PM EDT SUN SEP 28 2014



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      56-61 (+2)   74-79 (-1)   53-58        74-79        

RH % (24H TREND)      88-93 (+4)   48-53 (+7)   91-96        45-50        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      TSTMS        RAIN         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           70           20           0            

PRECIP DURATION       2            2            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   2 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.08         0.02         0.00         

LAL                   1            2            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5000                      4100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW  2                     N  3         

DISPERSION                         6 VERY POOR               7 POOR       

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 50S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. WEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID

60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-292030-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

316 PM EDT SUN SEP 28 2014



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      58-63 (+2)   75-80 (-1)   55-60        77-82        

RH % (24H TREND)      86-91 (+2)   44-49 (-2)   88-93        42-47        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      TSTMS        RAIN         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           50           10           0            

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   2 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.03         0.01         0.00         

LAL                   1            2            1            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4900                      4300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N  2                      N  3         

DISPERSION                         6 VERY POOR               9 POOR       

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      N  5         



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS NEAR 80. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER

60S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE

MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS NEAR 70. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-292030-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

316 PM EDT SUN SEP 28 2014



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      60-65 (+2)   76-81 (+1)   56-61        78-83        

RH % (24H TREND)      86-91 (+3)   47-52 (-2)   89-94        42-47        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      TSTMS        RAIN         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           50           10           0            

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   2 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.03         0.01         0.00         

LAL                   1            2            1            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4700                      4300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NE  2                     N  3         

DISPERSION                         7 POOR                    10 POOR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING

LIGHT. 

.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER

60S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS NEAR 80. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS NEAR 70.

WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



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