

313 

FNUS54 KMRX 281435

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

1035 AM EDT SUN SEP 28 2014



.DISCUSSION...UPDATED TO INCLUDE SLIGHT CHANCE OF PRECIP THROUGH 

THE EARLY AFTERNOON HOURS FROM THE CENTRAL VALLEY AND WESTWARD AS 

WELL AS BRINGING SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN FURTHER NORTHWARD INTO THE 

CENTRAL VALLEY FOR LATER THIS AFTERNOON. 



AN AREA OF WEAK SURFACE LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE...FROM 

THE NORTHERN GULF OF MEXICO ACROSS SOUTH GEORGIA THROUGH TUESDAY. 

THE CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION WILL INCREASE LATER TODAY WITH THE BEST 

CHANCES OVERNIGHT AND MONDAY.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-291545-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

1035 AM EDT SUN SEP 28 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      74-79 (-2)   56-61 (+4)   71-76        

RH % (24H TREND)      42-47 (+4)   93-98 (+7)   59-64        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            50           50           

PRECIP DURATION                    2            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       2 AM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.05         0.12         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5600                      5100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  3                     E  7         

DISPERSION            12 POOR                   18 GEN POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. PATCHY FOG. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN.

LOWS IN THE 50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING

LIGHT. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE

70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE

MID TO UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-291545-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

1035 AM EDT SUN SEP 28 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      72-77 (-1)   55-60 (+6)   68-73        

RH % (24H TREND)      46-51 (+4)   95-100 (+11) 61-66        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            70           70           

PRECIP DURATION                    2            3            

PRECIP BEGIN                       8 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.16         0.43         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5600                      5100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S  3                      E  8         

DISPERSION            7 POOR                    17 GEN POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. PATCHY FOG. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS

IN THE 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. EAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH EARLY IN THE

AFTERNOON. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S

TO UPPER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. WEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S.

WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-291545-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

1035 AM EDT SUN SEP 28 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      73-78 (0)    57-62 (+6)   70-75        

RH % (24H TREND)      46-51 (+4)   95-100 (+11) 59-64        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         SHOWERS      RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           70           70           

PRECIP DURATION       1            3            2            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.29         0.26         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5500                      5200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   E  2                      NE 10        

DISPERSION            3 VERY POOR               19 GEN POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NE  6        



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. PATCHY FOG. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS

IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. NORTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID

60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. NORTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S

TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-291545-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

1035 AM EDT SUN SEP 28 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      74-79 (-3)   59-64 (+5)   74-79        

RH % (24H TREND)      47-52 (+6)   92-97 (+9)   56-61        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         SHOWERS      RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           70           60           

PRECIP DURATION       1            3            2            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.28         0.22         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5200                      5100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE  2                     NE  9        

DISPERSION            6 VERY POOR               26 FAIR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   NE  5        

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      N  6         



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. PATCHY FOG. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN.

LOWS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH

SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S.

NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE

70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE

60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-291545-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

1035 AM EDT SUN SEP 28 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      73-78 (-4)   59-64 (+6)   72-77        

RH % (24H TREND)      49-54 (+8)   91-96 (+6)   58-63        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         SHOWERS      RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           70           70           

PRECIP DURATION       1            3            3            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.51         0.29         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5300                      5100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE  5                     NE  9        

DISPERSION            12 POOR                   23 FAIR      

MAX LVORI             5                         4            

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. PATCHY FOG. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN.

LOWS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHEAST LESS

THAN 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE

70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. NORTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE

60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-291545-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

1035 AM EDT SUN SEP 28 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      75-80 (-3)   58-63 (+4)   72-77        

RH % (24H TREND)      43-48 (+6)   94-99 (+10)  59-64        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         SHOWERS      RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            70           60           

PRECIP DURATION                    2            3            

PRECIP BEGIN                       CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.07         0.19         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5600                      5100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S  2                      E  8         

DISPERSION            8 POOR                    27 FAIR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. PATCHY FOG. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN.

LOWS IN THE 50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE

70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE

MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-291545-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

1035 AM EDT SUN SEP 28 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      76-81 (-2)   59-64 (+3)   74-79        

RH % (24H TREND)      47-52 (+6)   95-100 (+10) 56-61        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         SHOWERS      RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           50           50           

PRECIP DURATION       1            2            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.08         0.07         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5400                      5100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S  2                      NE  9        

DISPERSION            8 POOR                    31 FAIR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. PATCHY FOG. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN.

LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 50S. EAST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS NEAR 70.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-291545-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

1035 AM EDT SUN SEP 28 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      76-81 (-3)   60-65 (+2)   75-80        

RH % (24H TREND)      47-52 (+5)   94-99 (+11)  56-61        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         SHOWERS      RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           70           40           

PRECIP DURATION       1            3            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.10         0.05         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4900                      5100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE  5                     NE 10        

DISPERSION            13 GEN POOR               36 FAIR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      N  5         



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. PATCHY FOG. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN.

LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 80. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST AFTER

MIDNIGHT. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS NEAR 80. SOUTH WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID TO UPPER 70S. NORTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS NEAR 70.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



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