

247 

FNUS54 KMRX 280135 AAA

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...UPDATED

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

935 PM EDT SAT SEP 27 2014



.DISCUSSION...

LOW LEVEL MOISTURE WILL BE ON THE INCREASE SUNDAY AS 

WILL RAIN CHANCES. BY LATE AFTERNOON RAIN CHANCES WILL INCREASE FROM 

SOUTH TO NORTH. THE MOST SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL CHANCES WILL OCCUR 

SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY WITH AMOUNTS RANGING FROM ONE HALF INCH TO 

THREE QUARTERS OF AN INCH BY MONDAY AFTERNOON. 





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-290245-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

935 PM EDT SAT SEP 27 2014



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      52-57 (-2)   74-79 (-2)   55-60        67-72        

RH % (24H TREND)      86-91 (+1)   40-45 (+3)   86-91        66-71        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           70           60           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            2            2            

PRECIP BEGIN                       4 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.19         0.16         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5800                      3300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S  3                      N  7         

DISPERSION                         12 POOR                   7 POOR       

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SE  5        



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE 50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. NORTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S. EAST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE

70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S.

WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-290245-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

935 PM EDT SAT SEP 27 2014



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      49-54 (-2)   72-77 (-1)   54-59        64-69        

RH % (24H TREND)      87-92 (+3)   43-48 (+2)   86-91        68-73        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  5        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           80           80           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            5            6            

PRECIP BEGIN                       12 PM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.35         0.47         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5800                      3600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SE  5                     N  6         

DISPERSION                         13 GEN POOR               4 VERY POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  7 G16    LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. NORTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S

TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-290245-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

935 PM EDT SAT SEP 27 2014



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      51-56 (-1)   72-77 (-1)   56-61        66-71        

RH % (24H TREND)      87-92 (0)    46-51 (+4)   84-89        65-70        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           80           70           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            5            2            

PRECIP BEGIN                       12 PM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.02         0.50         0.30         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5700                      4000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                E  2                      N  6         

DISPERSION                         5 VERY POOR               4 VERY POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  5        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NE  5        



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 80S. NORTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S.

NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT.

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-290245-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

935 PM EDT SAT SEP 27 2014



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      54-59 (0)    73-78 (-4)   58-63        70-75        

RH % (24H TREND)      83-88 (0)    46-51 (+7)   85-90        63-68        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            40           80           60           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            5            2            

PRECIP BEGIN                       12 PM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.04         0.53         0.26         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5400                      3400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SE  6                     N  5         

DISPERSION                         15 GEN POOR               5 VERY POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE 50S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S.

NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. EAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE

70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. WEST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE

60S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-290245-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

935 PM EDT SAT SEP 27 2014



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      53-58 (-1)   73-78 (-4)   58-63        68-73        

RH % (24H TREND)      87-92 (+3)   47-52 (+8)   86-91        65-70        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            40           80           70           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            5            2            

PRECIP BEGIN                       12 PM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.05         0.60         0.33         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5500                      3600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SE  6                     N  5         

DISPERSION                         17 GEN POOR               5 VERY POOR  

MAX LVORI                          3                         5            

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE 50S. LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHEAST LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER

MIDNIGHT. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S.

LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHWEST LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE

AFTERNOON. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. EAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE

70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE

MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-290245-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

935 PM EDT SAT SEP 27 2014



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      54-59 (-1)   75-80 (-3)   57-62        68-73        

RH % (24H TREND)      85-90 (+2)   40-45 (+5)   85-90        66-71        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           80           70           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            5            2            

PRECIP BEGIN                       4 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.32         0.23         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5800                      3000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SE  3                     N  6         

DISPERSION                         14 GEN POOR               7 POOR       

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      E  5         



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE 50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE

MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE

MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-290245-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

935 PM EDT SAT SEP 27 2014



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      56-61 (0)    75-80 (-3)   58-63        70-75        

RH % (24H TREND)      85-90 (0)    46-51 (+7)   88-93        63-68        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           70           60           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            3            2            

PRECIP BEGIN                       12 PM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.02         0.27         0.11         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5600                      3100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SE  2                     N  2         

DISPERSION                         11 POOR                   3 VERY POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE 50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID TO UPPER 50S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING

LIGHT. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS NEAR 80. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS NEAR 80. SOUTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE

MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-290245-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

935 PM EDT SAT SEP 27 2014



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      58-63 (0)    75-80 (-4)   59-64        72-77        

RH % (24H TREND)      82-87 (-1)   46-51 (+6)   86-91        61-66        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            40           70           50           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            3            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       12 PM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.06         0.32         0.09         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5100                      2900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SE  8                     N  3         

DISPERSION                         25 FAIR                   4 VERY POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S.

LIGHT WINDS. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS NEAR 80. LIGHT WINDS BECOMING

NORTHEAST LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S.

LIGHT WINDS. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO

MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



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