

914 

FNUS54 KMRX 270639

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

239 AM EDT SAT SEP 27 2014



.DISCUSSION...

DRY CONDITIONS...WITH TEMPERATURES A FEW DEGREES ABOVE 

SEASONAL NORMALS EXPECTED TODAY. A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE AND 

ASSOCIATED MOISTURE WILL SPREAD NORTH FROM THE GULF OF 

MEXICO...RESULTING IN AN INCREASED CHANCE OF RAINFALL ACROSS THE 

SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN REGION SUNDAY...AND MONDAY. 





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-280745-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

239 AM EDT SAT SEP 27 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      76-81 (0)    54-59 (0)    73-78        

RH % (24H TREND)      34-39 (-9)   83-88 (-3)   47-52        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    12 PM        

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.02         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6100                      5400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   E  7                      S  8         

DISPERSION            25 FAIR                   24 FAIR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO

LOWER 60S. LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHEAST LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER

MIDNIGHT. 

.MONDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. NORTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE 50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 60S

TO UPPER 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S

TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S.

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-280745-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

239 AM EDT SAT SEP 27 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      73-78 (+2)   52-57 (+1)   70-75        

RH % (24H TREND)      36-41 (-13)  87-92 (+1)   48-53        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SE  5        LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            30           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    12 PM        

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.02         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5900                      5400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE  8                     S  8         

DISPERSION            21 FAIR                   19 GEN POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SE  5        

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SE  6        LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. EAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S.

NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 60S

TO UPPER 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S.

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-280745-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

239 AM EDT SAT SEP 27 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      73-78 (0)    54-59 (+2)   71-76        

RH % (24H TREND)      38-43 (-10)  86-91 (-2)   50-55        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            30           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    8 AM         

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.02         

LAL                   1            1            2            

LASI                  2                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5500                      5400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   E  5                      SE  7        

DISPERSION            9 POOR                    13 GEN POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SE  5        NE  5        



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. EAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S.

NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 40S

TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 60S

TO 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S.

HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-280745-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

239 AM EDT SAT SEP 27 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      77-82 (0)    57-62 (+3)   72-77        

RH % (24H TREND)      36-41 (-9)   81-86 (-3)   52-57        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            50           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    8 AM         

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.04         

LAL                   1            1            2            

LASI                  2                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5000                      5300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   E  6                      SE  8        

DISPERSION            14 GEN POOR               24 FAIR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS

IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S.

NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE

70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.



$$



NCZ060-061-280745-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

239 AM EDT SAT SEP 27 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      77-82 (-1)   57-62 (+3)   72-77        

RH % (24H TREND)      36-41 (-8)   83-88 (-3)   53-58        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            50           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    8 AM         

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.06         

LAL                   1            1            2            

LASI                  2                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5000                      5500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE  7                     SE  9        

DISPERSION            16 GEN POOR               25 FAIR      

MAX LVORI             4                         3            

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS

IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST EARLY

IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 60S

TO UPPER 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE

70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-280745-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

239 AM EDT SAT SEP 27 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      78-83 (0)    56-61 (+1)   74-79        

RH % (24H TREND)      32-37 (-8)   84-89 (0)    49-54        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    12 PM        

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.02         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5600                      5300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE  6                     S  7         

DISPERSION            22 FAIR                   23 FAIR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO

LOWER 60S. LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHEAST LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER

MIDNIGHT. 

.MONDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING

BECOMING LIGHT. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE

70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE

MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S.

HIGHS IN THE 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-280745-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

239 AM EDT SAT SEP 27 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      78-83 (-1)   57-62 (+1)   74-79        

RH % (24H TREND)      38-43 (-4)   87-92 (+1)   52-57        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            30           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    8 AM         

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.02         

LAL                   1            1            2            

LASI                  2                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5400                      5000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   E  3                      SE  7        

DISPERSION            12 POOR                   22 FAIR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS NEAR 60. NORTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 70S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY

IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE MID

70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS NEAR 80.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND

60. HIGHS NEAR 80. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-280745-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

239 AM EDT SAT SEP 27 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      79-84 (+1)   60-65 (+2)   74-79        

RH % (24H TREND)      40-45 (-5)   78-83 (-5)   53-58        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            50           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    8 AM         

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.07         

LAL                   1            1            2            

LASI                  2                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4900                      5100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE  6                     SE  9        

DISPERSION            19 GEN POOR               33 FAIR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS

IN THE LOWER TO MID 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID TO

UPPER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS

NEAR 60. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS NEAR 80. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE MID TO UPPER 70S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



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