

427 

FNUS54 KMRX 261856

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

256 PM EDT FRI SEP 26 2014



.DISCUSSION...

DRY CONDITIONS...WITH TEMPERATURES A FEW DEGREES ABOVE 

SEASONAL NORMALS EXPECTED OVERNIGHT...AND THROUGH SATURDAY. A BROAD 

AREA OF LOW PRESSURE AND ASSOCIATED MOISTURE WILL SPREAD NORTH FROM 

THE GULF OF MEXICO...RESULTING IN AN INCREASED CHANCE OF RAINFALL 

ACROSS THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN REGION SUNDAY...AND MONDAY. 





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-272000-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

256 PM EDT FRI SEP 26 2014



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      54-59 (0)    76-81 (0)    54-59        74-79        

RH % (24H TREND)      90-95 (0)    35-40 (-10)  79-84        43-48        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            20           

PRECIP DURATION                                              1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 2 PM         

PRECIP END                                                   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.02         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5600                      4700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SE  6                     S  6         

DISPERSION                         17 GEN POOR               13 GEN POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 50S TO

LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH

AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.MONDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S.

NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S

TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-272000-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

256 PM EDT FRI SEP 26 2014



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      51-56 (0)    73-78 (+2)   52-57        71-76        

RH % (24H TREND)      90-95 (-3)   36-41 (-16)  82-87        42-47        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SE  5        LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            30           

PRECIP DURATION                                              1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 8 AM         

PRECIP END                                                   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.02         

LAL                   1            1            1            2            

LASI                               4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5400                      4700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SE  8                     S  6         

DISPERSION                         17 GEN POOR               10 POOR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SE  5                     SE  5        

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  5        LGT/VAR      SE  6        LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 50S TO

LOWER 60S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. NORTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE

70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO

MID 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-272000-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

256 PM EDT FRI SEP 26 2014



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      52-57 (0)    73-78 (0)    54-59        71-76        

RH % (24H TREND)      92-97 (-1)   40-45 (-10)  83-88        44-49        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            30           

PRECIP DURATION                                              1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                                                   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.02         

LAL                   1            1            1            2            

LASI                               4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5000                      4800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                E  5                      SE  3        

DISPERSION                         8 POOR                    4 VERY POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NE  5        SE  5        LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S.

NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S.

NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS IN

THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 80S.

NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID

60S TO LOWER 80S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER

60S TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-272000-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

256 PM EDT FRI SEP 26 2014



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      54-59 (-1)   77-82 (0)    57-62        74-79        

RH % (24H TREND)      88-93 (-2)   37-42 (-9)   78-83        43-48        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           30           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    2 AM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.01         0.05         

LAL                   1            1            1            2            

LASI                               4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4500                      4600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                E  6                      SE  7        

DISPERSION                         12 POOR                   15 GEN POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO

UPPER 70S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 50S

TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING

BECOMING LIGHT. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S.

NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE

70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S

TO UPPER 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-272000-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

256 PM EDT FRI SEP 26 2014



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      54-59 (0)    77-82 (-1)   57-62        73-78        

RH % (24H TREND)      88-93 (-4)   38-43 (-8)   80-85        43-48        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           30           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    2 AM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.01         0.05         

LAL                   1            1            1            2            

LASI                               4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4500                      5000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SE  7                     SE  7        

DISPERSION                         12 POOR                   17 GEN POOR  

MAX LVORI                          5                         3            

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SE  5                     LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SE  5        LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S.

NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING

BECOMING LIGHT. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S

TO LOWER 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO

UPPER 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-272000-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

256 PM EDT FRI SEP 26 2014



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      55-60 (0)    78-83 (0)    56-61        76-81        

RH % (24H TREND)      87-92 (-3)   34-39 (-8)   81-86        41-46        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            20           

PRECIP DURATION                                              1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 2 PM         

PRECIP END                                                   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.02         

LAL                   1            1            1            2            

LASI                               4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5100                      4200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                E  6                      S  5         

DISPERSION                         18 GEN POOR               11 POOR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO

LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

60S TO MID 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING

BECOMING LIGHT. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE

MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S.

WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-272000-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

256 PM EDT FRI SEP 26 2014



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      56-61 (0)    78-83 (-1)   57-62        75-80        

RH % (24H TREND)      89-94 (0)    39-44 (-3)   83-88        46-51        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            30           

PRECIP DURATION                                              1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 8 AM         

PRECIP END                                                   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.03         

LAL                   1            1            1            2            

LASI                               4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4900                      4000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                E  3                      SE  3        

DISPERSION                         11 POOR                   8 POOR       

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS NEAR 60.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 70S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN

THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S.

NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE

MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND

60. HIGHS NEAR 80. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S.

WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-272000-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

256 PM EDT FRI SEP 26 2014



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      58-63 (0)    79-84 (+1)   60-65        74-79        

RH % (24H TREND)      86-91 (+1)   41-46 (-4)   75-80        48-53        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           30           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    2 AM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.01         0.07         

LAL                   1            1            1            2            

LASI                               4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4400                      3700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SE  7                     SE  8        

DISPERSION                         20 GEN POOR               17 GEN POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 60S.

NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID TO

UPPER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN

THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS NEAR 80. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID

TO UPPER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



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