

483 

FNUS54 KMRX 211906

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

306 PM EDT SUN SEP 21 2014



.DISCUSSION...

A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN REGION 

TONIGHT...WITH COOLER AND DRIER AIR MOVING INTO THE AREA FOR MONDAY 

AND TUESDAY. DRY CONDITIONS WITH NEAR NORMAL TEMPERATURES ARE 

EXPECTED TO LINGER FOR MOST OF THE UPCOMING WEEK.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-222015-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

306 PM EDT SUN SEP 21 2014



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      49-54 (-4)   65-70 (-10)  41-46        68-73        

RH % (24H TREND)      93-98 (-1)   41-46 (-12)  85-90        35-40        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  5                     LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  8 G16    N  6         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                                   

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM                                                

PRECIP END            5 AM                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   3            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5300                      4100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 12                     NE  9        

DISPERSION                         33 FAIR                   16 GEN POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  6                     LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 10 G20    N  7         LGT/VAR      NE  5        



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. EAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. EAST 

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 

10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. EAST 

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. 

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. 

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-222015-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

306 PM EDT SUN SEP 21 2014



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      48-53 (-4)   65-70 (-10)  39-44        65-70        

RH % (24H TREND)      92-97 (0)    40-45 (-12)  90-95        36-41        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  7                     LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  8 G18    NW  7        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                                   

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM                                                

PRECIP END            5 AM                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   3            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5400                      4300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 14                     E  9         

DISPERSION                         31 FAIR                   13 GEN POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  9 G17                 LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 11 G23    NW  9 G16    LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 

10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 70S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. EAST 

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 

MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S

TO MID 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S 

TO MID 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. 

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-222015-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

306 PM EDT SUN SEP 21 2014



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      50-55 (-3)   65-70 (-10)  40-45        65-70        

RH % (24H TREND)      91-96 (0)    40-45 (-14)  95-100       33-38        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N  6                      LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  8 G19    N  7         NE  5        LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                                   

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM                                                

PRECIP END            5 AM                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   3            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5100                      4300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 14                      NE  9        

DISPERSION                         22 FAIR                   10 POOR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N  7 G16                  LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 10 G23    N  9 G17     NE  7 G15    NE  5        



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. 

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. NORTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S TO LOWER 50S.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. 

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO 

MID 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE 50S. 

HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 50S. 

HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-222015-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

306 PM EDT SUN SEP 21 2014



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      51-56 (-3)   69-74 (-10)  43-48        72-77        

RH % (24H TREND)      91-96 (-1)   38-43 (-12)  93-98        31-36        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N  7                      LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  8 G17    N  8         NE  5        LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                                   

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM                                                

PRECIP END            5 AM                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.05         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   3            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4800                      4300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 16                      NE  9        

DISPERSION                         36 FAIR                   18 GEN POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N  9 G18                  LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  9 G21    N 10 G18     NE  7        LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.

NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTH 

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. 

NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 

50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 60. 

HIGHS IN THE 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-222015-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

306 PM EDT SUN SEP 21 2014



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      50-55 (-2)   68-73 (-9)   43-48        72-77        

RH % (24H TREND)      93-98 (-2)   40-45 (-11)  93-98        30-35        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N  6                      LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  7        N  7         N  5         LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                                   

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM                                                

PRECIP END            5 AM                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   3            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5100                      4500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 14                      E  9         

DISPERSION                         35 FAIR                   18 GEN POOR  

MAX LVORI                          4                         5            

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N  8 G17                  LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  9 G18    N  9 G17     N  6         LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. EAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. 

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 

50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 60. 

HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-222015-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

306 PM EDT SUN SEP 21 2014



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      50-55 (-5)   69-74 (-10)  43-48        70-75        

RH % (24H TREND)      88-93 (-2)   38-43 (-10)  88-93        33-38        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  6         N  5         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                                   

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM                                                

PRECIP END            5 AM                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   3            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5100                      3700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 12                     NE  9        

DISPERSION                         36 FAIR                   18 GEN POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  6                     LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  8 G18     N  6         LGT/VAR      NE  5        



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. EAST WINDS 

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. 

EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS 

THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. EAST 

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S

TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 60. 

HIGHS IN THE 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-222015-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

306 PM EDT SUN SEP 21 2014



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      51-56 (-7)   69-74 (-10)  44-49        71-76        

RH % (24H TREND)      90-95 (+2)   38-43 (-13)  87-92        32-37        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N  5                      LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  6        N  6         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                                   

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM                                                

PRECIP END            5 AM                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   3            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4600                      3600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 13                      NE  9        

DISPERSION                         36 FAIR                   20 GEN POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N  6                      LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  8 G17    N  7         N  5         NE  5        



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. EAST WINDS 

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. 

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO

LOWER 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. 

HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 

60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-222015-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

306 PM EDT SUN SEP 21 2014



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      53-58 (-6)   72-77 (-10)  47-52        74-79        

RH % (24H TREND)      87-92 (+2)   36-41 (-13)  86-91        30-35        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N  6                      LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  7        N  7         N  6         LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                                   

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM                                                

PRECIP END            2 AM                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   3            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4700                      3700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 15                      NE  9        

DISPERSION                         46 GEN GOOD               21 FAIR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N  8 G17                  NE  5        

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  9 G18    N  9 G18     N  7         NE  5        



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST 

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS 

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTH 

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S 

TO LOWER 80S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS AROUND 60.

HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 

60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. EAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.



$$



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