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318 

FNUS54 KMRX 211041 AAA

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...UPDATED

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

641 AM EDT SUN SEP 21 2014



.DISCUSSION...

 A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE TENNESSEE VALLEY AND 

SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS TODAY PRODUCING SCATTERED SHOWERS AND 

THUNDERSTORMS.  COOLER AND DRY WEATHER IS EXPECTED FOR MONDAY AND 

TUESDAY.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-221145-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

641 AM EDT SUN SEP 21 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      77-82 (0)    51-56 (-4)   64-69        

RH % (24H TREND)      44-49 (0)    89-94 (-2)   44-49        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  8 G17                 LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  9 G18     NW  5        N  5         

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           40           0            

PRECIP DURATION       2            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          11 AM        CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   5 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.16         0.03         0.00         

LAL                   4            3            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5500                      4900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 20                      N 12         

DISPERSION            58 GEN GOOD               28 FAIR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW 10 G22                 NW  6        

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 11 G23     NW  6 G15    N  7         



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. EAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE

MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID

60S TO UPPER 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID

60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-221145-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

641 AM EDT SUN SEP 21 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      76-81 (0)    50-55 (-3)   61-66        

RH % (24H TREND)      45-50 (+1)   89-94 (+5)   47-52        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  8 G18                  NW  5        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  9 G19     NW  6        N  5         

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           40           0            

PRECIP DURATION       1            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          11 AM        CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   5 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.12         0.05         0.00         

LAL                   4            3            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5600                      4900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 20                      NW 13        

DISPERSION            49 GEN GOOD               22 FAIR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  9 G22                  NW  6        

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 12 G24     NW  7 G18    N  6         



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. LIGHT WINDS

BECOMING EAST LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 70S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S

TO UPPER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-221145-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

641 AM EDT SUN SEP 21 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      76-81 (+1)   52-57 (-2)   62-67        

RH % (24H TREND)      44-49 (-1)   88-93 (+4)   44-49        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  6                      N  5         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  7         NW  5        N  5         

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           40           0            

PRECIP DURATION       1            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          11 AM        CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   5 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.21         0.05         0.00         

LAL                   4            3            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5400                      4700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 18                      N 12         

DISPERSION            37 FAIR                   15 GEN POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  8 G17                  N  6         

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  8 G17     NW  7 G15    N  7         



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S.

EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 70S. NORTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER

50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 70S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE

60S TO 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S

TO 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-221145-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

641 AM EDT SUN SEP 21 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      80-85 (+1)   53-58 (-2)   69-74        

RH % (24H TREND)      41-46 (-1)   89-94 (+4)   38-43        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  5                      N  6         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  7         NW  5        N  7         

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           30           0            

PRECIP DURATION       1            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          11 AM        CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   5 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.18         0.05         0.00         

LAL                   4            3            1            

LASI                  4                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5300                      4200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 15                      N 14         

DISPERSION            42 GEN GOOD               26 FAIR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  6 G16                  N  8 G17     

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  9 G16     NW  6        N  8 G17     



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. EAST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. NORTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. EAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID

60S TO UPPER 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-221145-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

641 AM EDT SUN SEP 21 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      78-83 (+1)   52-57 (-2)   70-75        

RH % (24H TREND)      42-47 (-1)   92-97 (+5)   34-39        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  5                      N  6         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  7        LGT/VAR      N  5         

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           30           0            

PRECIP DURATION       1            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          2 PM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   5 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.17         0.05         0.00         

LAL                   4            3            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5800                      4800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 15                      N 12         

DISPERSION            45 GEN GOOD               26 FAIR      

MAX LVORI             4                         4            

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  7 G17                  N  7         

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  9 G17    NW  6        N  7         



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. EAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. EAST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. EAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. EAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S

TO LOWER 80S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO

UPPER 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. EAST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-221145-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

641 AM EDT SUN SEP 21 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      80-85 (0)    52-57 (-4)   68-73        

RH % (24H TREND)      41-46 (0)    87-92 (+2)   42-47        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  7 G16                 LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  8 G16     LGT/VAR      N  5         

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           30           0            

PRECIP DURATION       1            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          11 AM        CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   2 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.18         0.04         0.00         

LAL                   4            3            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4900                      4900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 20                      N  9         

DISPERSION            56 GEN GOOD               27 FAIR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  8 G20                 LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 10 G20     W  5         N  6         



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. NORTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.

EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. EAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE

60S TO UPPER 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO

UPPER 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE

60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-221145-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

641 AM EDT SUN SEP 21 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      81-86 (+1)   53-58 (-5)   68-73        

RH % (24H TREND)      45-50 (+1)   87-92 (+2)   43-48        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  6                     N  5         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  7         LGT/VAR      N  5         

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           30           0            

PRECIP DURATION       2            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          11 AM        CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   2 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.21         0.03         0.00         

LAL                   4            3            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4800                      4300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 20                      N 10         

DISPERSION            58 GEN GOOD               28 FAIR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  8 G18                 N  6         

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  9 G18     NW  5        N  6         



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.

EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S

TO LOWER 80S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S.

EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-221145-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

641 AM EDT SUN SEP 21 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      83-88 (+1)   55-60 (-5)   69-74        

RH % (24H TREND)      45-50 (+2)   82-87 (-3)   40-45        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  6                      N  6         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  7         NW  5        N  7         

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           30           0            

PRECIP DURATION       1            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          11 AM        CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   2 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.17         0.02         0.00         

LAL                   4            3            1            

LASI                  4                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4900                      4100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 17                      N 14         

DISPERSION            55 GEN GOOD               35 FAIR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  7 G18                  N  8 G17     

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  9 G18     NW  6        N  9 G17     



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.

NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID

70S TO LOWER 80S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S.

EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



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