

394 

FNUS54 KMRX 201910

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

310 PM EDT SAT SEP 20 2014



.DISCUSSION...

A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN REGION 

ON SUNDAY...BRINGING SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ON SUNDAY 

AFTERNOON AND EVENING. BEHIND THIS COLD FRONT...COOLER AND DRIER AIR 

WILL MOVE INTO THE REGION FOR THE UPCOMING WEEK.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-212015-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

310 PM EDT SAT SEP 20 2014



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      55-60 (+1)   76-81 (-1)   51-56        64-69        

RH % (24H TREND)      91-96 (+2)   51-56 (+5)   93-98        42-47        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  6 G15                 N  5         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W  9 G16     W  8 G16     N  6         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        SHOWERS      NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            50           40           0            

PRECIP DURATION                    1            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN                       8 AM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   8 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.13         0.03         0.00         

LAL                   1            3            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5200                      4900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 20                      N 10         

DISPERSION                         54 GEN GOOD               26 FAIR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  7 G18                 N  6         

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W 11 G20     W 10 G20     N  8 G15     



REMARKS...A FEW STORMS ON SUNDAY AFTERNOON MAY PRODUCE LOCALLY HEAVY 

RAINFALL UP TO AN INCH OR TWO.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS 

THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. 

EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. 

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. 

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-212015-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

310 PM EDT SAT SEP 20 2014



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      53-58 (0)    75-80 (-1)   50-55        61-66        

RH % (24H TREND)      87-92 (-2)   49-54 (+4)   93-98        45-50        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  7 G16                  NW  6        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W  9 G17     W  9 G18     NW  8        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        SHOWERS      NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            50           30           0            

PRECIP DURATION                    1            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN                       12 PM        CONTINUING                

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   8 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.04         0.03         0.00         

LAL                   1            3            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5300                      4900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 20                      NW 12        

DISPERSION                         43 GEN GOOD               21 FAIR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  9 G20                  NW  8 G17    

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W 12 G22     W 11 G23     NW  9 G18    



REMARKS...A FEW STORMS ON SUNDAY AFTERNOON MAY PRODUCE LOCALLY HEAVY 

RAINFALL UP TO AN INCH OR TWO.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS 

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS 

THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. 

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. 

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. 

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. 

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-212015-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

310 PM EDT SAT SEP 20 2014



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      53-58 (-1)   74-79 (-1)   52-57        62-67        

RH % (24H TREND)      88-93 (0)    48-53 (+2)   95-100       41-46        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  8 G16                  N  6         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W 10 G19     W  9 G19     N  7         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        SHOWERS      NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            40           30           0            

PRECIP DURATION                    1            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN                       12 PM        CONTINUING                

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   8 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.07         0.03         0.00         

LAL                   1            3            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5100                      4700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 18                      N 12         

DISPERSION                         32 FAIR                   14 GEN POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  9 G21                  N  8 G17     

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W 12 G24     W 11 G24     N  9 G17     



REMARKS...A FEW STORMS ON SUNDAY AFTERNOON MAY PRODUCE LOCALLY HEAVY 

RAINFALL UP TO AN INCH OR TWO.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S. EAST 

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS 

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. 

NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. WEST 

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S

TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO 

MID 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE 50S. 

HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-212015-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

310 PM EDT SAT SEP 20 2014



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      54-59 (-2)   78-83 (-1)   53-58        69-74        

RH % (24H TREND)      90-95 (+1)   46-51 (+2)   94-99        38-43        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  5                     N  6         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W  8         W  6         N  8 G15     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        SHOWERS      NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            40           30           0            

PRECIP DURATION                    1            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN                       12 PM        CONTINUING                

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   8 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.08         0.03         0.00         

LAL                   1            3            1            1            

LASI                               4                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5000                      4200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 16                      N 14         

DISPERSION                         39 FAIR                   24 FAIR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  7 G16                 N  8 G18     

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W 10 G18     W  8 G17     N 10 G19     



REMARKS...A FEW STORMS ON SUNDAY AFTERNOON MAY PRODUCE LOCALLY HEAVY 

RAINFALL UP TO AN INCH OR TWO.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. EAST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH...

SHIFTING TO THE NORTH IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST 

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTH 

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S 

TO LOWER 80S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. NORTH 

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 

50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-212015-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

310 PM EDT SAT SEP 20 2014



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      53-58 (0)    76-81 (-1)   52-57        70-75        

RH % (24H TREND)      90-95 (-4)   47-52 (+2)   95-100       36-41        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  5                      N  6         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W  8         W  6 G15     N  7         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        SHOWERS      NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            40           30           0            

PRECIP DURATION                    1            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN                       12 PM        CONTINUING                

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   8 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.04         0.04         0.00         

LAL                   1            3            1            1            

LASI                               4                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5500                      4800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 15                      N 13         

DISPERSION                         41 GEN GOOD               26 FAIR      

MAX LVORI                          4                         4            

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  6 G16                  N  8 G16     

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W 10 G18     W  8 G19     N  9 G17     



REMARKS...A FEW STORMS ON SUNDAY AFTERNOON MAY PRODUCE LOCALLY HEAVY 

RAINFALL UP TO AN INCH OR TWO.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. EAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S

TO LOWER 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. 

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S.

HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-212015-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

310 PM EDT SAT SEP 20 2014



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      55-60 (0)    79-84 (-1)   52-57        68-73        

RH % (24H TREND)      89-94 (0)    46-51 (+4)   93-98        40-45        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  6 G17                 LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W  9 G18     W  7         N  5         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        SHOWERS      NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            50           30           0            

PRECIP DURATION                    1            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN                       8 AM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   8 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.10         0.03         0.00         

LAL                   1            3            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4600                      4900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 20                      N  9         

DISPERSION                         51 GEN GOOD               27 FAIR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  8 G22                 NW  5        

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W 11 G23     W  9 G17     N  7         



REMARKS...A FEW STORMS ON SUNDAY AFTERNOON MAY PRODUCE LOCALLY HEAVY 

RAINFALL UP TO AN INCH OR TWO.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 40S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS 

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST 

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. 

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. 

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S 

TO LOWER 80S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-212015-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

310 PM EDT SAT SEP 20 2014



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      58-63 (+1)   79-84 (-1)   53-58        68-73        

RH % (24H TREND)      85-90 (-1)   47-52 (+2)   93-98        40-45        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  6 G15                 N  5         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W  8         NW  7 G16    N  6         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        SHOWERS      NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            40           30           0            

PRECIP DURATION                    1            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN                       8 AM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   8 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.16         0.03         0.00         

LAL                   1            3            1            1            

LASI                               4                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4500                      4300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 18                      N 10         

DISPERSION                         53 GEN GOOD               26 FAIR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  8 G19                 N  6         

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W 10 G19     NW  9 G20    N  8         



REMARKS...A FEW STORMS ON SUNDAY AFTERNOON MAY PRODUCE LOCALLY HEAVY 

RAINFALL UP TO AN INCH OR TWO.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST 

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTH 

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S

TO LOWER 80S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO

LOWER 80S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 

50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-212015-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

310 PM EDT SAT SEP 20 2014



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      58-63 (-1)   81-86 (-1)   55-60        69-74        

RH % (24H TREND)      85-90 (0)    45-50 (0)    93-98        38-43        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  5                     N  5         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W  7         NW  7 G16    N  7         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        SHOWERS      NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            40           30           0            

PRECIP DURATION                    1            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN                       8 AM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   8 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.14         0.03         0.00         

LAL                   1            3            1            1            

LASI                               4                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4600                      4100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 17                      N 13         

DISPERSION                         50 GEN GOOD               33 FAIR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  7 G17                 N  7 G17     

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W  9 G17     NW  9 G20    N  9 G17     



REMARKS...A FEW STORMS ON SUNDAY AFTERNOON MAY PRODUCE LOCALLY HEAVY 

RAINFALL UP TO AN INCH OR TWO.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. 

NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHEAST 

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTH WINDS 

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO 

LOWER 80S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO 

LOWER 80S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. 

HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



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